The Daily — Labour Force Survey, October 2023 - Statistique Canada | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Business

The Daily — Labour Force Survey, October 2023 – Statistique Canada

Published

 on

Released: 2023-11-03

Highlights

Employment was little changed in October (+18,000; +0.1%) and the employment rate fell 0.1 percentage points to 61.9%.

The unemployment rate rose 0.2 percentage points to 5.7%, marking the fourth monthly increase in the past six months.

Employment was up in construction (+23,000; +1.5%) and information, culture and recreation (+21,000; +2.5%) in October. This was offset by decreases in wholesale and retail trade (-22,000; -0.7%) and manufacturing (-19,000; -1.0%).

Employment increased in four provinces in October, led by Alberta (+38,000; +1.5%), while it declined in Quebec (-22,000; -0.5%).

Total hours worked were virtually unchanged in October but were up by 2.1% on a year-over-year basis.

On a year-over-year basis, average hourly wages rose 4.8% (+$1.56 to $34.08) in October, following an increase of 5.0% in September.

Employment holds steady in October

Employment was little changed in October (+18,000; +0.1%), after increasing by 64,000 (+0.3%) in September and by 40,000 (+0.2%) in August. Both full-time and part-time employment held steady in October.

The employment rate—the proportion of the working-age population that is employed—fell 0.1 percentage points to 61.9% in October, as the population aged 15 and older in the Labour Force Survey (LFS) increased by 85,000 (+0.3%).

Since January 2023, employment growth has averaged 28,000 per month, while growth in the population aged 15 and older in the LFS has averaged 81,000 per month. The employment rate in October (61.9%) was down from the recent peak of 62.5% recorded in January 2023, but was little changed from October 2022 (62.0%). The employment rate has varied between 61.9% and 62.0% since July 2023.

Chart 1 


Employment rate falls in October, little changed from a year earlier

Employment up among men aged 55 and older

Among men aged 55 and older, employment rose by 31,000 (+1.3%) in October, the first increase for this group since April. Employment was unchanged for women aged 55 and older.

Employment among core-aged (aged 25 to 54) men and women was little changed in October. While there was an increase (+28,000; +0.5%) in full-time employment among core-aged women, this was offset by a decrease in part-time employment for that same group (-24,000; -2.4%).

For those aged 15 to 24, employment in October was also little changed. Increases among male youth (+14,000; +1.0%) were concentrated in part-time employment but were offset by decreases in female youth employment (-19,000; -1.5%), which were concentrated in full-time work.

Unemployment rate increases in October, continuing upward trend since April

The unemployment rate rose 0.2 percentage points to reach 5.7% in October, marking the fourth monthly increase in the past six months. Since April, the rate has increased by 0.7 percentage points, after holding steady at a near record-low 5.0% from December 2022 to April 2023.

There were 1.2 million unemployed persons in October, an increase of 171,000 (+16.2%) since April. Among those who were unemployed in September, 60.1% remained unemployed in October—a greater proportion than 12 months earlier (55.4%) (not seasonally adjusted), and an indication that job seekers are facing more difficulties finding employment than a year ago.

As unemployment has increased and job vacancies have decreased in recent months, the labour force participation rate—the proportion of the population aged 15 and older that was either employed or looking for work—has remained relatively high. The participation rate in October (65.6%) was unchanged from the previous month and up 0.2 percentage points on a year-over-year basis.

Chart 2 


Unemployment rate reaches 5.7%, up 0.7 percentage points from April

Youth unemployment rate trends up

The unemployment rate among youth (aged 15 to 24 years) increased by 0.9 percentage points in October to reach 11.4%. From March to October, the unemployment rate rose by 2.7 percentage points among female youth and by 1.8 percentage points among male youth. On a year-over-year basis, the youth unemployment rate for students was up 1.9 percentage points to 11.1% in October, while it was little changed at 10.7% for non-students (not seasonally adjusted).

The youth unemployment rate has historically been higher than that for older adults, but the size of the difference has varied over time. In October, the youth unemployment rate (11.4%) was 2.4 times the corresponding rate for adults aged 25 to 54 (4.8%). This represents an increase from March, when the youth unemployment rate was 2.1 times the rate of core-aged adults, but was virtually unchanged from the pre-pandemic 2019 average.

In October, the unemployment rate remained notably higher for youth who were part of a racialized group and for Indigenous youth.

Among the largest racialized groups, the unemployment rate was higher in October for Black (17.7%) and Chinese (14.7%) Canadian youth than for the total youth population (three-month moving averages, not seasonally adjusted). The rate for South Asian Canadians was 12.7%, similar to the overall youth unemployment rate. On a year-over-year basis, the unemployment rate was little changed among South Asian and Chinese Canadian youth, but it was up by 3.9 percentage points among Black youth.

In October, the unemployment rate for First Nations youth living off-reserve was 16.4%, up 4.2 percentage points on a year-over-year basis. Among Métis youth, the unemployment rate was 13.2%, little changed from the same month in 2022.

More workers in construction and in information, culture and recreation

In construction, employment increased by 23,000 (+1.5%) in October, more than offsetting a decline of 18,000 (-1.1%) in September. Despite the increase, employment in this industry in October was little changed from the same month in 2022, and down by 32,000 (-2.0%) from the record high reached in January 2023.

Employment in information, culture, and recreation rose by 21,000 (+2.5%) in October, partly offsetting decreases in September (-12,000; -1.4%) and July (-16,000; -1.8%) (there was little change in August). On a year-over-year basis, employment in this industry—which includes telecommunications carriers, broadcasting providers, and amusement and recreation—was up by 7.8% (+61,000) in October, outpacing growth across all industries (+2.5%). Employment in the industry began an upward trend in the fall of 2022 and reached a record-high level in May 2023.

In wholesale and retail trade, employment declined by 22,000 (-0.7%) in October, the first decline since October 2022. Employment in this industry was up by 49,000 (+1.7%) on a year-over-year basis.

In manufacturing, employment fell by 19,000 (-1.0%) in October 2023, but was little changed on a year-over-year basis.

Employment in health care and social assistance remained little changed in October for the third month in a row. Year over year, employment in this industry grew by 60,000 (+2.3%), similar to the average pace of growth across all industries (+2.5%). According to the most recent data from the Job Vacancy and Wage Survey, available for the month of August 2023, job vacancies in health care and social assistance had not declined from the same month the previous year, unlike in most other sectors, and the job vacancy rate in August 2023 was the second-highest of any sector.

Chart 3 


Construction and information, culture and recreation lead employment growth in October

Employment up in four provinces in October, while Quebec records a decline

Employment rose in Alberta, Saskatchewan, Nova Scotia, and New Brunswick in October, while it declined in Quebec. There was little change in the other provinces. For further information on key province and industry level labour market indicators, see “Labour Force Survey in brief: Interactive app.”

Employment increased by 38,000 (+1.5%) in Alberta in October, offsetting the decline in September. The unemployment rate was little changed at 5.8%. In the 12 months to October, employment in the province rose by 92,000 (+3.8%) with sizable gains in health care and social assistance, manufacturing, transportation and warehousing, and natural resources.

In Saskatchewan, employment increased by 9,100 (+1.5%) in October, the second consecutive monthly increase. The unemployment rate fell 0.5 percentage points to 4.4%, while the employment rate rose 0.8 percentage points to 64.5%.

Employment increased in Nova Scotia (+8,200; +1.7%) and New Brunswick (+2,400; +0.6%) in October. The unemployment rate was little changed at 6.6% in Nova Scotia, and was down 0.6 percentage points to 6.6% in New Brunswick.

In Quebec, employment fell by 22,000 (-0.5%) in October, after increasing by 39,000 (+0.9%) in September. From January to August 2023, employment in the province varied little. The unemployment rate in October rose 0.5 percentage points to 4.9% and the employment rate decreased 0.4 percentage points to 61.9%. In the Montréal census metropolitan area (CMA), the unemployment rate increased 1.0 percentage points and reached 6.0% in October.

Employment was little changed in Ontario in October for the fourth consecutive month. The employment rate in October (61.4%) was down 0.3 percentage points from September and 0.9 percentage points from the recent high of 62.3% in April 2023. The unemployment rate rose 0.2 percentage points to 6.2% in October, mostly due to more youth searching for work.

Map 1 


Unemployment rate up in Quebec and Ontario in October

In the spotlight: One in three Canadians live in a household experiencing financial difficulties

Inflationary pressures have eased compared with 2022, and year-over-year growth in the Consumer Price Index decelerated from a peak of 8.1% in June 2022 to 3.8% in September 2023. However, the higher cost of essential goods and services continues to place financial pressures on many households across Canada. In September, for example, increases in the cost of shelter (+6.0%) and food (+5.9%) outpaced annual wage growth (+5.0%).

In October 2023, 1 in 3 Canadians aged 15 and older (33.1%) was living in a household that had found it difficult or very difficult to meet its financial needs in terms of transportation, housing, food, clothing and other necessary expenses over the previous four weeks (not seasonally unadjusted). This included nearly 1 in 10 (9.3%) Canadians living in a household that found it very difficult to meet financial needs. While the proportion of people in households finding it either difficult or very difficult to meet financial needs in October 2023 was down slightly compared with the same month a year earlier (35.5%), it remained notably higher than the proportion recorded in October 2020 (20.4%).

In October 2023, people living in a rented dwelling were more likely to be in a household experiencing difficulties meeting financial needs (41.3%), compared with those living in a dwelling owned by a household member with a mortgage (36.1%) or without a mortgage (20.0%).

Among Canadians living in dual-earner households with children, 36.1% experienced difficulties meeting financial needs in October. Among single-earner households with children, this proportion increased to 45.5%.

Nearly half (48.7%) of those living in lone-parent families in which the parent was employed reported difficulties meeting their financial needs. The proportion increased to almost 7 in 10 (69.8%) among lone-parent families in which the parent was not employed.

Among immigrants who had landed in the previous 10 years, 44.7% lived in a household that found it difficult or very difficult to meet its financial needs, compared with 30.8% for people born in Canada.

Among the largest racialized population groups, South Asian (47.0%) and Black (43.9%) Canadians were more likely to be in a household experiencing difficulties meeting its financial needs. The proportion was lower for Chinese Canadians (26.8%).

Among First Nations people living off-reserve, 39.5% lived in a household experiencing financial difficulties, and for Métis the proportion was 40.6%.

Among the 20 largest CMAs in Canada, the highest proportions of persons living in households reporting difficulties meeting financial needs were in Southern Ontario, led by St. Catharines–Niagara (41.8%), Windsor (41.0%), Kitchener–Cambridge–Waterloo (40.7%) and Toronto (38.1%). In contrast, the proportion was lowest in Québec (20.5%), Kelowna (26.7%) and Gatineau (26.9%).

Chart 4 


Households in Southern Ontario most likely to report difficulty meeting financial needs

 

Sustainable Development Goals

On January 1, 2016, the world officially began implementation of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development—the United Nations’ transformative plan of action that addresses urgent global challenges over the next 15 years. The plan is based on 17 specific sustainable development goals.

The Labour Force Survey is an example of how Statistics Canada supports the reporting on the Global Goals for Sustainable Development. This release will be used in helping to measure the following goals:


  Note to readers

The Labour Force Survey (LFS) estimates for October are for the week of October 8 to 14, 2023.

The LFS estimates are based on a sample and are therefore subject to sampling variability. As a result, monthly estimates will show more variability than trends observed over longer time periods. For more information, see “Interpreting Monthly Changes in Employment from the Labour Force Survey.”

This analysis focuses on differences between estimates that are statistically significant at the 68% confidence level.

LFS estimates at the Canada level do not include the territories.

The LFS estimates are the first in a series of labour market indicators released by Statistics Canada, which includes indicators from programs such as the Survey of Employment, Payrolls and Hours (SEPH); Employment Insurance Statistics; and the Job Vacancy and Wage Survey. For more information on the conceptual differences between employment measures from the LFS and those from the SEPH, refer to section 8 of the Guide to the Labour Force Survey (Catalogue number71-543-G).

Face-to-face personal interviewing resumed in November 2022. Telephone interviews continued to be conducted by interviewers working from their homes rather than Statistics Canada’s call centres, as they have since March 2020. About 48,200 interviews were completed in October and in-depth data quality evaluations conducted each month confirm that the LFS continues to produce an accurate portrait of Canada’s labour market.

The employment rate is the number of employed people as a percentage of the population aged 15 and older. The rate for a particular group (for example, youths aged 15 to 24) is the number employed in that group as a percentage of the population for that group.

The unemployment rate is the number of unemployed people as a percentage of the labour force (employed and unemployed).

The participation rate is the number of employed and unemployed people as a percentage of the population aged 15 and older.

Full-time employment consists of persons who usually work 30 hours or more per week at their main or only job.

Part-time employment consists of persons who usually work less than 30 hours per week at their main or only job.

Total hours worked refers to the number of hours actually worked at the main job by the respondent during the reference week, including paid and unpaid hours. These hours reflect temporary decreases or increases in work hours (for example, hours lost due to illness, vacation, holidays or weather; or more hours worked due to overtime).

In general, month-to-month or year-to-year changes in the number of people employed in an age group reflect the net effect of two factors: (1) the number of people who changed employment status between reference periods, and (2) the number of employed people who entered or left the age group (including through aging, death or migration) between reference periods.

Information on racialized groups

A new set of data tables presenting annual employment characteristics of racialized groups is now available on the Statistics Canada website (14-10-0438-01, 14-10-0438-02, and 14-10-0438-03). The employment characteristics included in these tables are class of worker, industry and occupation.

Data on “racialized groups” are derived from the “visible minority” variable. “Visible minority” refers to whether or not a person belongs to one of the visible minority groups defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as “persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour.” The visible minority population consists mainly of the following groups: South Asian, Chinese, Black, Filipino, Latin American, Arab, Southeast Asian, West Asian, Korean and Japanese.

Seasonal adjustment

Unless otherwise stated, this release presents seasonally adjusted estimates, which facilitate comparisons by removing the effects of seasonal variations. For more information on seasonal adjustment, see Seasonally adjusted data – Frequently asked questions.

Population growth in the Labour Force Survey

The LFS target population includes all persons aged 15 years and older whose usual place of residence is in Canada, with the exception of those living on reserves, full-time members of the regular Armed Forces and persons living in institutions (including inmates of penal institutions and patients in hospitals and nursing homes).

The LFS target population includes temporary residents—that is, those with a valid work or study permit, their families, and refugee claimants—as well as permanent residents (landed immigrants) and the Canadian-born.

Information gathered from LFS respondents is weighted to represent the survey target population using population calibration totals. These totals are updated each month, using the most recently available information on population changes, including changes in the number of non-permanent residents. LFS population calibration totals are derived from Canada’s official population estimates using similar sources and methods, with minor adjustments being made to reflect exclusions from the LFS target population.

Next release

The next release of the LFS will be on December 1, 2023. November 2023 data will reflect labour market conditions during the week of November 5 to 11, 2023.

Products

More information about the concepts and use of the Labour Force Survey is available online in the Guide to the Labour Force Survey (Catalogue number71-543-G).

The product “Labour Force Survey in brief: Interactive app” (Catalogue number14200001) is also available. This interactive visualization application provides seasonally adjusted estimates by province, sex, age group and industry.

The product “Labour Market Indicators, by province and census metropolitan area, seasonally adjusted” (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available. This interactive dashboard provides customizable access to key labour market indicators.

The product “Labour Market Indicators, by province, territory and economic region, unadjusted for seasonality” (Catalogue number71-607-X) is also available. This dynamic web application provides access to labour market indicators for Canada, provinces, territories and economic regions.

The product Labour Force Survey: Public Use Microdata File (Catalogue number71M0001X) is also available. This public use microdata file contains non-aggregated data for a wide variety of variables collected from the Labour Force Survey. The data have been modified to ensure that no individual or business is directly or indirectly identified. This product is for users who prefer to do their own analysis by focusing on specific subgroups in the population or by cross-classifying variables that are not in our catalogued products.

Contact information

For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact us (toll-free 1-800-263-1136; 514-283-8300; infostats@statcan.gc.ca) or Media Relations (statcan.mediahotline-ligneinfomedias.statcan@statcan.gc.ca).

Adblock test (Why?)

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Carry On Canadian Business. Carry On!

Published

 on

business to start in Canada

Human Resources Officers must be very busy these days what with the general turnover of employees in our retail and business sectors. It is hard enough to find skilled people let alone potential employees willing to be trained. Then after the training, a few weeks go by then they come to you and ask for a raise. You refuse as there simply is no excess money in the budget and away they fly to wherever they come from, trained but not willing to put in the time to achieve that wanted raise.

I have had potentials come in and we give them a test to see if they do indeed know how to weld, polish or work with wood. 2-10 we hire, and one of those is gone in a week or two. Ask that they want overtime, and their laughter leaving the building is loud and unsettling. Housing starts are doing well but way behind because those trades needed to finish a project simply don’t come to the site, with delay after delay. Some people’s attitudes are just too funny. A recent graduate from a Ivy League university came in for an interview. The position was mid-management potential, but when we told them a three month period was needed and then they would make the big bucks they disappeared as fast as they arrived.

Government agencies are really no help, sending us people unsuited or unwilling to carry out the jobs we offer. Handing money over to staffing firms whose referrals are weak and ineffectual. Perhaps with the Fall and Winter upon us, these folks will have to find work and stop playing on the golf course or cottaging away. Tried to hire new arrivals in Canada but it is truly difficult to find someone who has a real identity card and is approved to live and work here. Who do we hire? Several years ago my father’s firm was rocking and rolling with all sorts of work. It was a summer day when the immigration officers arrived and 30+ employees hit the bricks almost immediately. The investigation that followed had threats of fines thrown at us by the officials. Good thing we kept excellent records, photos and digital copies. We had to prove the illegal documents given to us were as good as the real McCoy.

Restauranteurs, builders, manufacturers, finishers, trades-based firms, and warehousing are all suspect in hiring illegals, yet that becomes secondary as Toronto increases its minimum wage again bringing our payroll up another $120,000. Survival in Canada’s financial and business sectors is questionable for many. Good luck Chuck!. at least your carbon tax refund check should be arriving soon.

Steven Kaszab
Bradford, Ontario
skaszab@yahoo.ca

Continue Reading

Business

Imperial to cut prices in NWT community after low river prevented resupply by barges

Published

 on

 

NORMAN WELLS, N.W.T. – Imperial Oil says it will temporarily reduce its fuel prices in a Northwest Territories community that has seen costs skyrocket due to low water on the Mackenzie River forcing the cancellation of the summer barge resupply season.

Imperial says in a Facebook post it will cut the air transportation portion that’s included in its wholesale price in Norman Wells for diesel fuel, or heating oil, from $3.38 per litre to $1.69 per litre, starting Tuesday.

The air transportation increase, it further states, will be implemented over a longer period.

It says Imperial is closely monitoring how much fuel needs to be airlifted to the Norman Wells area to prevent runouts until the winter road season begins and supplies can be replenished.

Gasoline and heating fuel prices approached $5 a litre at the start of this month.

Norman Wells’ town council declared a local emergency on humanitarian grounds last week as some of its 700 residents said they were facing monthly fuel bills coming to more than $5,000.

“The wholesale price increase that Imperial has applied is strictly to cover the air transportation costs. There is no Imperial profit margin included on the wholesale price. Imperial does not set prices at the retail level,” Imperial’s statement on Monday said.

The statement further said Imperial is working closely with the Northwest Territories government on ways to help residents in the near term.

“Imperial Oil’s decision to lower the price of home heating fuel offers immediate relief to residents facing financial pressures. This step reflects a swift response by Imperial Oil to discussions with the GNWT and will help ease short-term financial burdens on residents,” Caroline Wawzonek, Deputy Premier and Minister of Finance and Infrastructure, said in a news release Monday.

Wawzonek also noted the Territories government has supported the community with implementation of a fund supporting businesses and communities impacted by barge cancellations. She said there have also been increases to the Senior Home Heating Subsidy in Norman Wells, and continued support for heating costs for eligible Income Assistance recipients.

Additionally, she said the government has donated $150,000 to the Norman Wells food bank.

In its declaration of a state of emergency, the town said the mayor and council recognized the recent hike in fuel prices has strained household budgets, raised transportation costs, and affected local businesses.

It added that for the next three months, water and sewer service fees will be waived for all residents and businesses.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 21, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

U.S. vote has Canadian business leaders worried about protectionist policies: KPMG

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – A new report says many Canadian business leaders are worried about economic uncertainties related to the looming U.S. election.

The survey by KPMG in Canada of 735 small- and medium-sized businesses says 87 per cent fear the Canadian economy could become “collateral damage” from American protectionist policies that lead to less favourable trade deals and increased tariffs

It says that due to those concerns, 85 per cent of business leaders in Canada polled are reviewing their business strategies to prepare for a change in leadership.

The concerns are primarily being felt by larger Canadian companies and sectors that are highly integrated with the U.S. economy, such as manufacturing, automotive, transportation and warehousing, energy and natural resources, as well as technology, media and telecommunications.

Shaira Nanji, a KPMG Law partner in its tax practice, says the prospect of further changes to economic and trade policies in the U.S. means some Canadian firms will need to look for ways to mitigate added costs and take advantage of potential trade relief provisions to remain competitive.

Both presidential candidates have campaigned on protectionist policies that could cause uncertainty for Canadian trade, and whoever takes the White House will be in charge during the review of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement in 2026.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 22, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version