The Fed's Hawkish Pause; rates higher for longer with fewer rate cuts in 2024 | Canada News Media
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The Fed’s Hawkish Pause; rates higher for longer with fewer rate cuts in 2024

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The rate hike pause by the Federal Reserve was already factored into market prices; but the hawkish tone almost assures that interest rates will remain elevated not only through the rest of this year but well into 2024 was not. The revision to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy sent shockwaves through the financial markets at large.

The Fed is likely to raise rates one more time by ¼ % this year. This would take the Fed funds rates interest rate to between 5.5% and 5.75%. The new projections indicate that the Fed intends to keep its terminal rate above 5% throughout the entire calendar year of 2024.

The largest shockwave was that the Federal Reserve now intends to only implement two rate cuts next year rather than four. This means the American public and businesses can expect to see the cost of borrowing remain extremely elevated above 5% for the entire upcoming year. This was unexpected and took a day to sink in as seen in the financial markets across the board.

According to MarketWatch, “The Fed’s revised “dot plot” forecast released on Wednesday fortified a view that the potential path of interest rates could remain higher for longer, with the central bank’s policy rate pegged to remain above 5% for some time. That could put stress on companies and landlords with trillions of dollars of debt coming due, and could also weigh on stocks.”

U.S. equities sank to their lowest level in about a month trading sharply lower. The S&P 500 lost 1.6%, the NASDAQ composite dropped by 1.8%, and the Dow Jones industrial average fell by 1.1%.

U.S. Bond yields rose tremendously this week with the largest spike occurring in the 30-year government bond which gained 3.62% taking the yield to 4.578%. The 10-year US bond is now yielding 4.49%.

During Chairman Powell’s press conference, he stated that inflation appeared to be “well-anchored,” and that the fight was not over. “The process of getting inflation down to 2%  has a long way to go,”

“What we have right now is what’s still a very strong labor market that’s coming back into balance. We are making progress on inflation. Growth is strong. Many, many forecasts called for growth to moderate over the course of next year. That’s where we are.”

Powell’s hawkish opening remarks as well as his answers during the Q&A session resulted in a much deeper understanding of the upcoming steps the Fed would take to get inflation to their target of 2%. This is what caused gold to sell off sharply once Powell took the podium. Gold futures had been trading higher hitting a high of $1968.90 after the release of the updated policy statement of the Federal Reserve. However, by the close today gold futures had lost $27.50, or a decline of 1.40% taking the most active December contract to $1939.60.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

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