The Ice and Fire of Toronto’s Real Estate Market amidst Global Uncertainty | Canada News Media
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The Ice and Fire of Toronto’s Real Estate Market amidst Global Uncertainty

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Indeed, the current real estate climate in Toronto is a bewildering mixture of contrasts. On one side, there are areas witnessing a dearth of inventory, forcing prices to climb or at least remain steady. On the other side, an influx of newly completed pre-construction homes prompts homeowners, unable to close due to soaring interest rates, to put their properties on the market. It is this distinct and divergent ‘ice and fire’ state of affairs that is creating a dynamically volatile environment.

One of the critical influences behind this flux is the exodus of many Chinese investors from the market. The spike in interest rates has prompted these investors to divest, rapidly unloading their property assets. Alan Zheng, a renowned Chinese Real Estate Agent with Remax, has been in the thick of this trend, witnessing the various elements triggering the retreat of Chinese investors.

Firstly, China’s stumbling economy is a considerable instigator. Confronted with economic uncertainties, numerous investors are feeling the pressure to liquidate their foreign investments, such as those in Toronto’s real estate market, to safeguard their financial position.

Secondly, the tight monetary control policies in China are another significant driving force. These restrictions have made it notably difficult for Chinese investors to transfer additional funds from China to Canada. This issue becomes particularly acute as the elevated interest rates in Canada are causing negative cash flows for their property investments. Consequently, many investors are unable to cover the losses incurred, leading to an increasing financial strain. In such a scenario, many Chinese investors find themselves with no other option but to sell their properties in an attempt to mitigate the ongoing fiscal pressure.

Lastly, the prevailing global uncertainty, including the conflict in Ukraine, a shift away from globalization, and other geopolitical tensions, is creating a far from ideal environment for stable investments. Investors, whether Chinese or not, typically shy away from uncertainty, making the current global situation a potent deterrent.

Indeed, a prime example of this market instability can be seen in Stouffville. Numerous properties that were purchased at the market’s zenith for $2 million are now being assigned at a discounted rate of $1.7 million. Confronted with escalating interest rates and a multitude of other fiscal pressures, homeowners have found themselves in a tight spot, leading to the painful decision to sell. This scenario, all too common in the current climate, is a testament to the unprecedented volatility influencing the Toronto real estate market.

Amidst the maelstrom, however, certain areas in Toronto are still seeing a shortage in inventory. This dearth continues to put upward pressure on prices in these pockets, or at the very least, helps to maintain them. The outcome is a market where the laws of supply and demand are in constant flux, fostering an unpredictable landscape for both investors and homeowners.

The current Toronto real estate market resembles a game of thrones, where the only constant is the unpredictable. It’s a harsh reality where only the most informed and adaptable can navigate the ‘ice and fire’ terrain. Yet, within these dynamic market shifts, lie opportunities for both buyers and sellers, making it an intriguing period for the city’s real estate.

 

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

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