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The New Reality: How COVID-19 could impact the commercial real estate market – Globalnews.ca

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This is the 15th in a series of stories looking at the new reality of life during the COVID-19 pandemic in the Maritimes. You can find the full series here.

Even before COVID-19 hit, Halifax’s commercial real estate vacancy rate was at about 20 per cent.

While a well-balanced market is considered to be under 10 per cent, Andrew Bergen with commercial real estate company CBRE, says Halifax’s high rate isn’t overly concerning.

“That’s been a result of new supply, which I think has been great for the city,” he said.

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Much of that new supply has been contributed by two major developments in the downtown core — the Nova Centre and the Queen’s Marque.

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But in the last quarter, the sublease vacancy rate in the municipality jumped 21 per cent.

Bergen says part of that is due to some of the Queen’s Marque being put on the market but admits that the COVID-19 pandemic is putting some unforeseen pressures on the market.

With the provincial restrictions shutting down much of the economy for months, many businesses have struggled to make ends meet, and with employees being forced to work from home there’s been a decrease in the need for office space.

“I think it’s too early to assess and truly understand what the long-term impact will be,” said Bergen.

“But I will say a lot of organizations are having to reassess and reevaluate their real estate models and strategies given what we’ve gone through over the last few months.”

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One of those organizations is marketing company Simply Cast. The company currently rents about 7,000 square feet of office space in a building in Dartmouth.

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But with the majority of their employees working from home throughout the pandemic, most of that space has been empty for months.

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CEO Saeed El-Darahali says even before the pandemic they were looking at ways to offer work from home options to their employees, but since the pandemic two-thirds of their workforce has indicated they would like to continue working from home on a permanent basis.

It has El-Darahali reconsidering their office space needs.

“If our staff decide not to come back to the office we don’t want to be spending a lot of money on office space that’s not being utilized.”

Their current lease expires at the end of the year and El-Darahali says after that they will likely downsize to about 2,000-3,000 square feet.






3:12
Home sales rebounding in Greater Vancouver


Home sales rebounding in Greater Vancouver

But there is a concern more businesses will follow Simply Casts’ lead, particularly businesses in the downtown core.

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Ahsan Habib is the director of Dalhousie University’s school of planning and says that downtown is an important part of any city fabric, and currently much of downtown buildings are populated by offices.

“For various reasons, we need to have a vibrant downtown,” he says.

Part of that is being able to sustain downtown businesses outside of tourism, as well as being able to have a functioning transit system, Habib said.

“You cannot have a public transit viable until you have a strong downtown, or a strong core, or concentration of activities.”

Habib says that if the office space vacancy rate continues to rise, the vibrancy of downtown could be at risk.

Read more:
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He says city planners, politicians and policymakers need to start considering this possibility and coming up with plans now to address any future impacts.

“We need to think through how these vacant office spaces can be repurposed, and really keeping that concentration of activities [in the downtown.]”

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Habib says transforming office spaces into residential spaces is one solution, which could also help to address Halifax’s low rental vacancy rate.






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Quebec’s moving day complicated by COVID-19, low vacancy rates


Quebec’s moving day complicated by COVID-19, low vacancy rates

But Bergen says it’s still too early to be raising concern. He says compared to other cities, Halifax is doing well, pointing to Toronto and Vancouver which saw much higher subvacancy rates, with an increase of 85 per cent and 200 per cent respectively.

“I think Atlantic Canada is positioned to weather this storm and really come out of this quicker than a lot of provinces,” said Bergen.

While he admits that Halifax is not in the clear and they will continue to keep an eye on the numbers over the next few quarters, he believes that the demand for office space will bounce back.

“I think having an office obviously drives productivity, creates culture and gives people an environment to collaborate and exchange ideas.”

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© 2020 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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