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The resurrection of the US political establishment – Al Jazeera English

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Joe Biden has rerisen. 

His resurrection is the resurrection of the establishment. 

In this case, and in this context, the resurrection of the Democratic Party as a political party by, for, and of, the establishment. A political party that will embrace and protect the status quo of money: money in politics, money buying influence, and money exercising power – though in the polite, familiar ways we are used to, not in the vulgar, low-life, rub everyone’s face in it, Trump-style. 

Joe absolutely represents the establishment. Barack Obama picked him, the oldest most establishment white guy around, as his vice president to balance against the radical shock of having an African-American president. At the start of this run, all the establishment figures in the party and in the media embraced him. 

The positive is that he is about as honest and decent a representative of the breed that there is.  

1,991 delegates are needed to win the nomination. 

At the moment, Biden has 565 to Sanders‘s 506. While some of that represents estimates and it is changing, the basic ratio is correct. The consensus – especially the establishment consensus – is that the Super Tuesday victories that got us to this delegate count have put Biden on the road to certain victory. Barring unforeseen jarring events, this is likely true. 

In the candidate selection process, delegates are awarded proportionally. In the real election, that happens in only two minor states – Maine and Nebraska. In all the rest, the winner – albeit by a single vote – gets all the votes from that state. 

That introduces a whole set of distortions. 

The most important is that winning in the primaries may have nothing to do with winning the general election. 

What states are genuinely up for grabs?

There are all kinds of polls and tracking trends and this and thats, but the most realistic and practical view is to assume that all the states that went Republican in the Obama-McCain election of 2008 are Republican and all those that went for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in 2016 are Democratic. By that rule of thumb, only one of the 14 states that had Democratic primaries on Super Tuesday will be genuinely contested in the 2020 election – North Carolina. 

Yes, the Dems dream of converting Texas. The media loves the idea because it is exciting. But it is very unlikely. If they do win Texas, it will mark a change as sweeping as Ronald Reagan’s victory over Jimmy Carter in 1980, when he took all but six states and the District of Columbia. 

The establishment’s sales pitch against Sanders and for Biden (or – until now – a Biden substitute) has been that Trump would beat a radical, but will fall to an establishment type. It seems sort of sensible. Americans voting for a Socialist? Never! Except that they elected an African-American! Then an orange-skinned, pu*** grabber with a long history of cheating people.

Both represent revolts against the establishment. Biden, who has lost his two previous attempts, could certainly be the Hillary of 2020. Does the electorate have enough rage and disgust at the Trumpian version of establishment destruction to come out and vote for a return to the dull older virtues? Also, if Sanders voters see Biden’s nomination as an establishment manipulation, will they come to vote or stay home to sulk? 

In a lot of states – including Super Tuesday’s California, Massachusetts, Minnesota, even Virginia – it does not matter – because of the electoral college. They are Dem states. 

We have not yet had primaries in most of the states where it does matter. 

We are far from seeing how the various factions will conduct themselves when the real election comes. 

Right now, it looks like Biden is the nominee. But there is a level on which Sanders has already won. The party’s positions on healthcare, raising taxes on the rich, the Green New Deal, did not come from Biden, they came from Bernie. It would be great if he – and his followers – can celebrate that. For that matter, if Biden can, too, and say thank you, please join us in making your ideas come true. 

Almost as a footnote, it brings up the issue of prosecutions. 

Let us presume that a Democrat wins. 

Trump, his family, and his administration are rife with corruption and abuse of the law. One of the great and enduring flaws of the Obama administration was the failure to prosecute the financial crimes that led to the crash of 2008. Obama was very eager to say, “Hey, I’m one of you. You rich, white guys don’t have to be afraid.” But it backfired. The rage of the people against the rich turned to the Right. It became the Tea Party then the Trumpers. It put the Obama seal on the Age of No Accountability, and Trump has run with it. 

Biden and the establishment figures around him are peddling “reconciliation”. If that leads to no prosecutions, it will be a huge mistake. It will also be an affront to truth. It is only in criminal prosecutions, with documents dragged out by subpoena and testimony under penalty of perjury, that any kind of hard truth is established. All else remains “he said, she said”, Kellyanne Conway’s world of “alternative facts, Trump-verse where there are no consequences for lying. 

This is not an issue that any Democrat has run on. It is hard to know if it would be negative or positive as a campaign issue. Trump ran on it. “Lock her up, lock her up!” It sure worked for him. Will it work better or worse when there are actual crimes to go after? 

The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect Al Jazeera’s editorial stance. 

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‘Disgraceful:’ N.S. Tory leader slams school’s request that military remove uniform

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston says it’s “disgraceful and demeaning” that a Halifax-area school would request that service members not wear military uniforms to its Remembrance Day ceremony.

Houston’s comments were part of a chorus of criticism levelled at the school — Sackville Heights Elementary — whose administration decided to back away from the plan after the outcry.

A November newsletter from the school in Middle Sackville, N.S., invited Armed Forces members to attend its ceremony but asked that all attendees arrive in civilian attire to “maintain a welcoming environment for all.”

Houston, who is currently running for re-election, accused the school’s leaders of “disgracing themselves while demeaning the people who protect our country” in a post on the social media platform X Thursday night.

“If the people behind this decision had a shred of the courage that our veterans have, this cowardly and insulting idea would have been rejected immediately,” Houston’s post read. There were also several calls for resignations within the school’s administration attached to Houston’s post.

In an email to families Thursday night, the school’s principal, Rachael Webster, apologized and welcomed military family members to attend “in the attire that makes them most comfortable.”

“I recognize this request has caused harm and I am deeply sorry,” Webster’s email read, adding later that the school has the “utmost respect for what the uniform represents.”

Webster said the initial request was out of concern for some students who come from countries experiencing conflict and who she said expressed discomfort with images of war, including military uniforms.

Her email said any students who have concerns about seeing Armed Forces members in uniform can be accommodated in a way that makes them feel safe, but she provided no further details in the message.

Webster did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

At a news conference Friday, Houston said he’s glad the initial request was reversed but said he is still concerned.

“I can’t actually fathom how a decision like that was made,” Houston told reporters Friday, adding that he grew up moving between military bases around the country while his father was in the Armed Forces.

“My story of growing up in a military family is not unique in our province. The tradition of service is something so many of us share,” he said.

“Saying ‘lest we forget’ is a solemn promise to the fallen. It’s our commitment to those that continue to serve and our commitment that we will pass on our respects to the next generation.”

Liberal Leader Zach Churchill also said he’s happy with the school’s decision to allow uniformed Armed Forces members to attend the ceremony, but he said he didn’t think it was fair to question the intentions of those behind the original decision.

“We need to have them (uniforms) on display at Remembrance Day,” he said. “Not only are we celebrating (veterans) … we’re also commemorating our dead who gave the greatest sacrifice for our country and for the freedoms we have.”

NDP Leader Claudia Chender said that while Remembrance Day is an important occasion to honour veterans and current service members’ sacrifices, she said she hopes Houston wasn’t taking advantage of the decision to “play politics with this solemn occasion for his own political gain.”

“I hope Tim Houston reached out to the principal of the school before making a public statement,” she said in a statement.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Saskatchewan NDP’s Beck holds first caucus meeting after election, outlines plans

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REGINA – Saskatchewan Opposition NDP Leader Carla Beck says she wants to prove to residents her party is the government in waiting as she heads into the incoming legislative session.

Beck held her first caucus meeting with 27 members, nearly double than what she had before the Oct. 28 election but short of the 31 required to form a majority in the 61-seat legislature.

She says her priorities will be health care and cost-of-living issues.

Beck says people need affordability help right now and will press Premier Scott Moe’s Saskatchewan Party government to cut the gas tax and the provincial sales tax on children’s clothing and some grocery items.

Beck’s NDP is Saskatchewan’s largest Opposition in nearly two decades after sweeping Regina and winning all but one seat in Saskatoon.

The Saskatchewan Party won 34 seats, retaining its hold on all of the rural ridings and smaller cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Nova Scotia election: Liberals say province’s immigration levels are too high

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia‘s growing population was the subject of debate on Day 12 of the provincial election campaign, with Liberal Leader Zach Churchill arguing immigration levels must be reduced until the province can provide enough housing and health-care services.

Churchill said Thursday a plan by the incumbent Progressive Conservatives to double the province’s population to two million people by the year 2060 is unrealistic and unsustainable.

“That’s a big leap and it’s making life harder for people who live here, (including ) young people looking for a place to live and seniors looking to downsize,” he told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

Anticipating that his call for less immigration might provoke protests from the immigrant community, Churchill was careful to note that he is among the third generation of a family that moved to Nova Scotia from Lebanon.

“I know the value of immigration, the importance of it to our province. We have been built on the backs of an immigrant population. But we just need to do it in a responsible way.”

The Liberal leader said Tim Houston’s Tories, who are seeking a second term in office, have made a mistake by exceeding immigration targets set by the province’s Department of Labour and Immigration. Churchill said a Liberal government would abide by the department’s targets.

In the most recent fiscal year, the government welcomed almost 12,000 immigrants through its nominee program, exceeding the department’s limit by more than 4,000, he said. The numbers aren’t huge, but the increase won’t help ease the province’s shortages in housing and doctors, and the increased strain on its infrastructure, including roads, schools and cellphone networks, Churchill said.

“(The Immigration Department) has done the hard work on this,” he said. “They know where the labour gaps are, and they know what growth is sustainable.”

In response, Houston said his commitment to double the population was a “stretch goal.” And he said the province had long struggled with a declining population before that trend was recently reversed.

“The only immigration that can come into this province at this time is if they are a skilled trade worker or a health-care worker,” Houston said. “The population has grown by two per cent a year, actually quite similar growth to what we experienced under the Liberal government before us.”

Still, Houston said he’s heard Nova Scotians’ concerns about population growth, and he then pivoted to criticize Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for trying to send 6,000 asylum seekers to Nova Scotia, an assertion the federal government has denied.

Churchill said Houston’s claim about asylum seekers was shameful.

“It’s smoke and mirrors,” the Liberal leader said. “He is overshooting his own department’s numbers for sustainable population growth and yet he is trying to blame this on asylum seekers … who aren’t even here.”

In September, federal Immigration Minister Marc Miller said there is no plan to send any asylum seekers to the province without compensation or the consent of the premier. He said the 6,000 number was an “aspirational” figure based on models that reflect each province’s population.

In Halifax, NDP Leader Claudia Chender said it’s clear Nova Scotia needs more doctors, nurses and skilled trades people.

“Immigration has been and always will be a part of the Nova Scotia story, but we need to build as we grow,” Chender said. “This is why we have been pushing the Houston government to build more affordable housing.”

Chender was in a Halifax cafe on Thursday when she promised her party would remove the province’s portion of the harmonized sales tax from all grocery, cellphone and internet bills if elected to govern on Nov. 26. The tax would also be removed from the sale and installation of heat pumps.

“Our focus is on helping people to afford their lives,” Chender told reporters. “We know there are certain things that you can’t live without: food, internet and a phone …. So we know this will have the single biggest impact.”

The party estimates the measure would save the average Nova Scotia family about $1,300 a year.

“That’s a lot more than a one or two per cent HST cut,” Chender said, referring to the Progressive Conservative pledge to reduce the tax by one percentage point and the Liberal promise to trim it by two percentage points.

Elsewhere on the campaign trail, Houston announced that a Progressive Conservative government would make parking free at all Nova Scotia hospitals and health-care centres. The promise was also made by the Liberals in their election platform released Monday.

“Free parking may not seem like a big deal to some, but … the parking, especially for people working at the facilities, can add up to hundreds of dollars,” the premier told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

— With files from Keith Doucette in Halifax

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