These Election Results Offer Clues about What's Next for Climate Politics | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Politics

These Election Results Offer Clues about What’s Next for Climate Politics

Published

 on

Credit: Bill Pugliano/Getty Images
Advertisement

<div class=”article-block article-text” data-behavior=”newsletter_promo dfp_article_rendering” data-dfp-adword=”Advertisement” data-newsletterpromo_article-text=”

Sign up for Scientific American&rsquo;s free newsletters.

” data-newsletterpromo_article-image=”https://static.scientificamerican.com/sciam/cache/file/4641809D-B8F1-41A3-9E5A87C21ADB2FD8_source.png” data-newsletterpromo_article-button-text=”Sign Up” data-newsletterpromo_article-button-link=”https://www.scientificamerican.com/page/newsletter-sign-up/?origincode=2018_sciam_ArticlePromo_NewsletterSignUp” name=”articleBody” itemprop=”articleBody”>

The midterm elections ushered in a new era of climate politics in Washington. It’s going to be messy.

Republicans were favored to win the House in Tuesday’s elections — but early results signaled a drastic underperformance. House control was still undetermined as of 5 a.m., and any Republican majority would be slim. Democrats also flipped a Senate seat, giving them a greater chance of retaining the upper chamber.

But the election results, which will take weeks to finalize, already have clear consequences for President Joe Biden: Months after passing the biggest climate bill in U.S. history, Congress will become more hostile to climate action.

That reality threatens Biden’s goal of halving U.S. emissions by 2030 — the rate of action scientists say is needed to avoid catastrophic warming. Republicans have vowed to use their new power to undermine the Inflation Reduction Act, as well as climate programs that have passed in bipartisan bills such as the infrastructure deal.

Even so, the lackluster GOP results could limit their options. House Republicans are on track to win a majority of fewer than 20 members, and possibly much less. That’s far from the shellacking President Barack Obama experienced in 2010, when his party lost 63 seats, or President Donald Trump’s 2018 midterm loss of 40 seats. And retaining the Senate would mean Democrats could continue to confirm judges and administration officials.

Perhaps even more consequential were the Democratic gubernatorial victories. Those officials will be in charge of steering hundreds of billions of dollars from Congress — the bulk of Biden’s climate agenda — into real-world pollution cuts.

Republicans bet on inflation, and especially high gasoline prices, to win over voters. But so far, election returns show Democrats overcame the GOP’s energy attacks to win dozens of competitive campaigns.

Even in the oil patch, Democrats showed strength. Key races in New Mexico, Colorado, Pennsylvania and Texas saw Republicans fizzle against both moderate and progressive opponents. Democrats were poised to sweep all of the Keystone State’s competitive races after Biden and Trump both campaigned heavily there.

“Definitely not a Republican wave, that’s for darn sure,” Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina said on NBC News. He said Republicans would be forced to find some common ground with Biden.

“Maybe we can do something with energy,” said Graham, who has flirted with climate legislation in the past.

But the midterm results point to a chaotic Congress.

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), who is widely expected to take the speaker’s gavel in January, has said a top priority would be to roll back the Inflation Reduction Act, which included $370 billion for climate programs.

How much room McCarthy has to negotiate climate policy with Democrats — and Senate Republicans — would depend on the size of his majority. The smaller the GOP majority, the more McCarthy will rely on far-right lawmakers, which gives them leverage to demand a hard line against climate policy.

House Republicans already have discussed using the debt limit to extract concessions on government spending. They’ll also have more power to force a confrontation over government funding bills. But those tactics have backfired before — including in 2011 and 2013, when Republican majorities saw their poll numbers plunge after forcing a confrontation.

GOP-led congressional investigations will pose a major threat to Biden’s climate agenda. A decade after Republicans used the bankruptcy of Solyndra to tar federal renewable energy subsidies, conservatives are eager to once again portray climate programs as wasteful or harmful.

At the powerful Energy and Commerce Committee, top Republican Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers of Washington has vowed to probe the Energy Department’s loans and spending, calling it “Solyndra on steroids.” She also said she would investigate how Biden “shut down American energy.”

The same is expected from the House Natural Resources Committee, where top Republican Rep. Bruce Westerman of Arkansas has previewed wide-ranging inquiries into the Interior Department, NOAA, the Forest Service and the White House’s Council on Environmental Quality.

Citing this year’s Supreme Court decision curtailing executive authority, West Virginia v. EPA, Westerman has warned Cabinet officials that Republicans would closely scrutinize Biden’s climate regulations.

It’s also likely that a Republican-controlled House will disband or drastically change the Select Committee on the Climate Crisis.

Though Tuesday’s election won’t be resolved for some time, a number of elections showed how climate and energy played into races.

New Mexico governor

Democratic Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham defeated Republican candidate Mark Ronchetti, a former television meteorologist.

This race mattered to climate politics because the Land of Enchantment is one of the top oil and gas states in the country. In spite of that, Grisham has enacted pioneering regulations against flaring and venting methane, and she’s cracked down on methane leaks from drilling operations.

Democrats have viewed her approach as a national model. Ronchetti had campaigned on cutting regulations and boosting oil production.

Grisham’s victory enables New Mexico to continue its climate policy, while also demonstrating to other Democratic governors that the issue can be a political winner.

Pennsylvania Senate

Democratic Lt. Gov. John Fetterman defeated Republican candidate Mehmet Oz.

The race mattered to climate politics because Pennsylvania is the country’s second-largest natural gas producer, and it is key to determining Senate control. Both candidates ran as fracking supporters, though both have criticized hydraulic fracturing in the past.

Fetterman, however, has said he wants to push his party further on climate change policy while Oz wanted to boost oil and gas production. Biden, Trump and former President Barack Obama all spent the final days of the campaign in Pennsylvania, rallying voters on gas prices, energy production and climate.

Oregon governor

This was a three-way race between Democrat Tina Kotek, Republican Christine Drazan and independent candidate Betsy Johnson.

The election matters to climate politics because after Republicans derailed cap-and-trade bills in 2019 and 2020 by fleeing the state’s Capitol, term-limited Gov. Kate Brown (D) enacted emissions-cutting policies through executive action. That means if Democrats lose this race, the Beaver State’s climate regime could be undone quickly.

Johnson, a former Democratic state senator with a hefty campaign account, has attracted enough moderate voters that both parties see a chance for Republicans to win the governor’s mansion for the first time since 1982. Last month, Democrats even dispatched Biden to campaign in this normally progressive stronghold.

Kotek was a driving force behind the failed cap-and-trade bill, and she’s promised to pursue more climate policy. Drazan helped lead the GOP walkout that stalled the climate bill, and she has vowed to dismantle the state’s climate programs.

Oregon votes by universal mail ballots, and ballots postmarked by Election Day are accepted up to seven days later. As of 5 a.m., Kotek and Drazen were running neck-and-neck.

Pennsylvania’s 8th District

Democratic Rep. Matt Cartwright faced Jim Bognet, a political operative and former Trump appointee at the U.S. Export-Import Bank.

This race matters to climate politics because northeastern Pennsylvania is a major area for fracking. Cartwright, who has represented the area since 2013, has tried to strike a balance on the issue. He supports it, but he has advocated for some environmental and public health restrictions on fracking — a potentially risky move in his Republican-leaning district.

Bognet, who also ran for the seat in 2020, campaigned on expanding fossil fuel production. And he got major support from Trump and national Republicans who were eager to flip the district that contains Scranton, the hometown of Biden.

As of 5 a.m., Cartwright had a 2.4 percent lead with most of the votes counted.

Colorado’s 8th District

Republican Barbara Kirkmeyer, a state senator, faced Democrat Yadira Caraveo, a state representative.

This race matters to climate politics because it was a new district that covers Colorado’s biggest oil and gas region, and it was drawn to have an even partisan split of voters. Kirkmeyer has made defending fossil fuel jobs a cornerstone of her campaign.

Caraveo, a pediatrician, has sponsored legislation to restrict drilling — which featured prominently in Republican attack ads. Caraveo has doubled down on her stance, framing it as a public health issue. But she’s more often emphasized abortion and other social issues.

As of 5 a.m., Caraveo was leading Kirkmeyer by less than 2 percentage points with about two-thirds of the vote counted.

California’s 47th District

Democratic Rep. Katie Porter faced Republican Scott Baugh, the former minority leader of the California Assembly.

This race matters to climate politics because Porter is a rising star in the Democratic Party who has become an increasingly prominent voice on climate. As chair of the investigations subcommittee of the House Natural Resources Committee, she has grilled oil company executives.

She’s also a major fundraiser who could potentially seek the Senate seat held by 89-year-old Dianne Feinstein (D), who’s facing pressure to retire. A victory by Baugh could derail that.

As of 5 a.m., Porter led Baugh by less than a percentage point with about half the votes counted.

Texas’ 28th District

Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar defeated Republican Cassy Garcia, a former aide to Sen. Ted Cruz.

This race mattered to climate politics because Cuellar is the House Democrat most closely aligned with the oil sector. He’s twice survived primaries by Jessica Cisneros, who campaigned on the Green New Deal. Republicans saw a chance to flip the seat after an FBI raid of Cuellar’s home, which did not result in charges.

Now, Cuellar’s victory returns him to the House, where he serves in leadership, and bolsters his argument that sticking close to the oil industry is the way for Democrats to win tough races.

Reprinted from E&E News with permission from POLITICO, LLC. Copyright 2022. E&E News provides essential news for energy and environment professionals.

Source link

News

Virginia Democrats advance efforts to protect abortion, voting rights, marriage equality

Published

 on

 

RICHMOND, Va. (AP) — Democrats who control both chambers of the Virginia legislature are hoping to make good on promises made on the campaign trail, including becoming the first Southern state to expand constitutional protections for abortion access.

The House Privileges and Elections Committee advanced three proposed constitutional amendments Wednesday, including a measure to protect reproductive rights. Its members also discussed measures to repeal a now-defunct state constitutional ban on same-sex marriage and ways to revise Virginia’s process to restore voting rights for people who served time for felony crimes.

“This meeting was an important next step considering the moment in history we find ourselves in,” Democratic Del. Cia Price, the committee chair, said during a news conference. “We have urgent threats to our freedoms that could impact constituents in all of the districts we serve.”

The at-times raucous meeting will pave the way for the House and Senate to take up the resolutions early next year after lawmakers tabled the measures last January. Democrats previously said the move was standard practice, given that amendments are typically introduced in odd-numbered years. But Republican Minority Leader Todd Gilbert said Wednesday the committee should not have delved into the amendments before next year’s legislative session. He said the resolutions, particularly the abortion amendment, need further vetting.

“No one who is still serving remembers it being done in this way ever,” Gilbert said after the meeting. “Certainly not for something this important. This is as big and weighty an issue as it gets.”

The Democrats’ legislative lineup comes after Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin, to the dismay of voting-rights advocates, rolled back a process to restore people’s civil rights after they completed sentences for felonies. Virginia is the only state that permanently bans anyone convicted of a felony from voting unless a governor restores their rights.

“This amendment creates a process that is bounded by transparent rules and criteria that will apply to everybody — it’s not left to the discretion of a single individual,” Del. Elizabeth Bennett-Parker, the patron of the voting rights resolution, which passed along party lines, said at the news conference.

Though Democrats have sparred with the governor over their legislative agenda, constitutional amendments put forth by lawmakers do not require his signature, allowing the Democrat-led House and Senate to bypass Youngkin’s blessing.

Instead, the General Assembly must pass proposed amendments twice in at least two years, with a legislative election sandwiched between each statehouse session. After that, the public can vote by referendum on the issues. The cumbersome process will likely hinge upon the success of all three amendments on Democrats’ ability to preserve their edge in the House and Senate, where they hold razor-thin majorities.

It’s not the first time lawmakers have attempted to champion the three amendments. Republicans in a House subcommittee killed a constitutional amendment to restore voting rights in 2022, a year after the measure passed in a Democrat-led House. The same subcommittee also struck down legislation supporting a constitutional amendment to repeal an amendment from 2006 banning marriage equality.

On Wednesday, a bipartisan group of lawmakers voted 16-5 in favor of legislation protecting same-sex marriage, with four Republicans supporting the resolution.

“To say the least, voters enacted this (amendment) in 2006, and we have had 100,000 voters a year become of voting age since then,” said Del. Mark Sickles, who sponsored the amendment as one of the first openly gay men serving in the General Assembly. “Many people have changed their opinions of this as the years have passed.”

A constitutional amendment protecting abortion previously passed the Senate in 2023 but died in a Republican-led House. On Wednesday, the amendment passed on party lines.

If successful, the resolution proposed by House Majority Leader Charniele Herring would be part of a growing trend of reproductive rights-related ballot questions given to voters. Since 2022, 18 questions have gone before voters across the U.S., and they have sided with abortion rights advocates 14 times.

The voters have approved constitutional amendments ensuring the right to abortion until fetal viability in nine states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Ohio and Vermont. Voters also passed a right-to-abortion measure in Nevada in 2024, but it must be passed again in 2026 to be added to the state constitution.

As lawmakers debated the measure, roughly 18 members spoke. Mercedes Perkins, at 38 weeks pregnant, described the importance of women making decisions about their own bodies. Rhea Simon, another Virginia resident, anecdotally described how reproductive health care shaped her life.

Then all at once, more than 50 people lined up to speak against the abortion amendment.

“Let’s do the compassionate thing and care for mothers and all unborn children,” resident Sheila Furey said.

The audience gave a collective “Amen,” followed by a round of applause.

___

Associated Press writer Geoff Mulvihill in Cherry Hill, New Jersey, contributed to this report.

___

Olivia Diaz is a corps member for The Associated Press/Report for America Statehouse News Initiative.

Source link

Continue Reading

News

Trump chooses anti-vaccine activist Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as health secretary

Published

 on

 

NEW YORK (AP) — President-elect Donald Trump says he will nominate anti-vaccine activist Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to lead the Department of Health and Human Services, putting him in charge of a massive agency that oversees everything from drug, vaccine and food safety to medical research and the social safety net programs Medicare and Medicaid.

“For too long, Americans have been crushed by the industrial food complex and drug companies who have engaged in deception, misinformation, and disinformation when it comes to Public Health,” Trump said in a post on his Truth Social site announcing the appointment. Kennedy, he said, would “Make America Great and Healthy Again!”

Kennedy, a former Democrat who ran as an independent in this year’s presidential race, abandoned his bid after striking a deal to give Trump his endorsement with a promise to have a role in health policy in the administration.

He and Trump have since become good friends, with Kennedy frequently receiving loud applause at Trump’s rallies.

The expected appointment was first reported by Politico Thursday.

A longtime vaccine skeptic, Kennedy is an attorney who has built a loyal following over several decades of people who admire his lawsuits against major pesticide and pharmaceutical companies. He has pushed for tighter regulations around the ingredients in foods.

With the Trump campaign, he worked to shore up support among young mothers in particular, with his message of making food healthier in the U.S., promising to model regulations imposed in Europe. In a nod to Trump’s original campaign slogan, he named the effort “Make America Healthy Again.”

It remains unclear how that will square with Trump’s history of deregulation of big industries, including food. Trump pushed for fewer inspections of the meat industry, for example.

Kennedy’s stance on vaccines has also made him a controversial figure among Democrats and some Republicans, raising question about his ability to get confirmed, even in a GOP-controlled Senate. Kennedy has espoused misinformation around the safety of vaccines, including pushing a totally discredited theory that childhood vaccines cause autism.

He also has said he would recommend removing fluoride from drinking water. The addition of the material has been cited as leading to improved dental health.

HHS has more than 80,000 employees across the country. It houses the Food and Drug Administration, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the Medicare and Medicaid programs and the National Institutes of Health.

Kennedy’s anti-vaccine nonprofit group, Children’s Health Defense, currently has a lawsuit pending against a number of news organizations, among them The Associated Press, accusing them of violating antitrust laws by taking action to identify misinformation, including about COVID-19 and COVID-19 vaccines. Kennedy took leave from the group when he announced his run for president but is listed as one of its attorneys in the lawsuit.

__ Seitz reported from Washington.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

News

In Cyprus, Ukrainians learn how to dispose of landmines that kill and maim hundreds

Published

 on

 

NICOSIA, Cyprus (AP) — In a Cypriot National Guard camp, Ukrainians are being trained on how to identify, locate and dispose of landmines and other unexploded munitions that litter huge swaths of their country, killing and maiming hundreds of people, including children.

Analysts say Ukraine is among the countries that are the most affected by landmines and discarded explosives, as a result of Russia’s ongoing war.

According to U.N. figures, some 399 people have been killed and 915 wounded from landmines and other munitions since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022, equal to the number of casualties reported from 2014-2021. More than 1 in 10 of those casualties have been children.

The economic impact is costing billions to the Ukrainian economy. Landmines and other munitions are preventing the sowing of 5 million hectares, or 10%, of the country’s agricultural land.

Cyprus stepped up to offer its facilities as part of the European Union’s Military Assistance Mission to Ukraine. So far, almost 100 Ukrainian armed forces personnel have taken part in three training cycles over the last two years, said Cyprus Foreign Ministry spokesperson Theodoros Gotsis.

“We are committed to continuing this support for as long as it takes,” Gotsis told the Associated Press, adding that the Cyprus government has covered the 250,000 euro ($262,600) training cost.

Cyprus opted to offer such training owing to its own landmine issues dating back five decades when the island nation was ethnically divided when Turkey invaded following a coup that sought union with Greece. The United Nations has removed some 27,000 landmines from a buffer zone that cuts across the island, but minefields remain on either side. The Cypriot government says it has disposed of all anti-personnel mines in line with its obligations under an international treaty that bans the use of such munitions.

In Cyprus, Ukrainians undergo rigorous theoretical and practical training over a five-week Basic Demining and Clearance course that includes instruction on distinguishing and safely handling landmines and other explosive munitions, such as rockets, 155 mm artillery shells, rocket-propelled grenades and mortar shells.

Theoretical training uses inert munitions identical to the actual explosives.

Most of the course is comprised of hands-on training focusing on the on-site destruction of unexploded munitions using explosives, the chief training officer told the Associated Press. The officer spoke on condition of anonymity because he’s not authorized to disclose his identity for security reasons.

“They’re trained on ordnance disposal using real explosives,” the officer said. “That will be the trainees’ primary task when they return.”

Cypriot officials said the Ukrainian trainees did not want to be either interviewed or photographed.

Defusing discarded munitions or landmines in areas where explosive charges can’t be used — for instance, near a hospital — is not part of this course because that’s the task of highly trained teams of disposal experts whose training can last as long as eight months, the officer said.

Trainees, divided into groups of eight, are taught how to operate metal detectors and other tools for detecting munitions like prodders — long, thin rods which are used to gently probe beneath the ground’s surface in search of landmines and other explosive ordnance.

Another tool is a feeler, a rod that’s used to detect booby-trapped munitions. There are many ways to booby-trap such munitions, unlike landmines which require direct pressure to detonate.

“Booby-trapped munitions are a widespread phenomenon in Ukraine,” the chief training officer explained.

Training, primarily conducted by experts from other European Union countries, takes place both in forested and urban areas at different army camps and follows strict safety protocols.

The short, intense training period keeps the Ukrainians focused.

“You see the interest they show during instruction: they ask questions, they want to know what mistakes they’ve made and the correct way of doing it,” the officer said.

Humanitarian data and analysis group ACAPS said in a Jan. 2024 report that 174,000 sq. kilometers (67,182 sq. miles) or nearly 29% of Ukraine’s territory needs to be surveyed for landmines and other explosive ordnance.

More than 10 million people are said to live in areas where demining action is needed.

Since 2022, Russian forces have used at least 13 types of anti-personnel mines, which target people. Russia never signed the 1997 Ottawa Convention banning the use of anti-personnel mines, but the use of such mines is nonetheless considered a violation of its obligations under international law.

Russia also uses 13 types of anti-tank mines.

The International Campaign to Ban Landmines said in its 2023 Landmine Monitor report that Ukrainian government forces may have also used antipersonnel landmines in contravention of the Mine Ban Treaty in and around the city of Izium during 2022, when the city was under Russian control.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version