This Week’s Top Stories: Toronto and Vancouver Real Estate Out of Reach For Local Incomes, and Tens of Thousands Are Behind on Rent - Better Dwelling | Canada News Media
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This Week’s Top Stories: Toronto and Vancouver Real Estate Out of Reach For Local Incomes, and Tens of Thousands Are Behind on Rent – Better Dwelling

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Time for your weekly cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. 

Canadian Real Estate

Buying A Typical Home In Canada? Cities Now Require Incomes Of Up To $230,000

Buying a typical home across Canada is now out of reach for many, especially if it’s where the jobs are. A typical non-condo apartment in Toronto, requires a household income of $178,499 per year. That’s more than double the median income. In Vancouver, a “typical” non-condo unit requires a household income of $230,488 to carry a mortgage. The middle class is basically priced out of anything but a small, one-bedroom condo. Even then, they’d have to spend years saving a downpayment. 

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Over 125,000 Canadian Renters Are In Arrears, And Toronto Represents Almost A Third

Tens of thousands of renters are in arrears, and Toronto represents almost a third of them. There were 125,200 people behind in rent as of October 2020, representing 6.11% of private rental stock. Toronto represents 50.36% of Ontario’s rental arrears, and 29.81% of Canada’s total. The arrears stat, as high as it is, is only a part of the total in arrears, since it only includes rentals with 4 or more units. 

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Canadian Households Now Need Up To 34 Years Of Savings For A Downpayment

Canadians now need to save for the longest time in history for the minimum downpayment on a home. National Bank of Canada estimates the median household needs 60 months of savings for a downpayment. This blows past the 1989 previous peak, and it’s much worse in major cities. Greater Toronto requires up to 289 months to save for a “typical” non-condo. In Vancouver, the median household needs 409 months to save for a non-condo. That’s 24 and 34 years, respectively, to just save the minimum downpayment in two of Canada’s largest job markets.

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The Bottom Fifth Of Canada’s Households Can No Longer Afford Housing In Big Cities

The bottom fifth of households can no longer afford housing of any kind, in Canada’s big cities. In Toronto and Vancouver, this income bracket can only afford 0.2% of purpose-built apartment rentals. Montreal is a little better with 15.3% of rentals affordable to this income bracket. That said, it’s still insufficient for the level of housing required. No market has ever been able to maintain such a disconnect for very long. Young people tend to leave and move to cities they can afford. Hollowing out a whole class of people tends to not exactly be sustainable.

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Pandemic Sees Canadians Become The Most Dissatisfied Since 2003, Says StatCan Study

Canadians are becoming increasingly more dissatisfied with life, according to a StatCan study. The average Canadian rated life satisfactions as a 6.71 out of 10, down 1.38 points from 2018. Breaking it down, 40% of people rate life at or above 8, and 40% rated live a 6 or lower. Comparing the data to 2018, they found a polarization of people. More people are now ranking higher or lower in life satisfaction. The middle class is disappearing, and so is a middle level satisfaction with life.

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Bank Of Canada Data Shows They’re Past Peak Mortgage Bond Buying

Canada’s central bank holdings show they’ve scaled back Canada Mortgage Bond (CMB) buying. Disclosure data shows they held $9.66 billion in CMBs on Dec 30, 2020, down 0.65% from a month before. The annual increase is still 1,803 % from a year before, but this is the first decline we’ve seen. The slowing can potentially lead to higher mortgage rates in the not so distant future. Which is a good thing, considering home sales are moving at a record pace, and don’t need stimulus.

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Vancouver Real Estate

Greater Vancouver Real Estate Prices Jump, While City Condos Slump

Greater Vancouver real estate prices are rising, but the gains are mostly for detached homes. Detached homes reached a typical price of $1,576,800 in January, up 10.8% from a year ago. A typical condo apartment reached a price of $680,800, up 2.2% over the same period. Both are down from three years ago, with prices still down 0.5% and 1.4% from 3 years ago, respectively. Detached homes are driving the trend, and it’s largely driven by fast rising suburban prices. 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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