Tiff Macklem sees Bank of Canada cutting interest rates in 2024 | Canada News Media
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Tiff Macklem sees Bank of Canada cutting interest rates in 2024

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Policymakers need to see “not one or two months” but “a number of months” of deceleration in underlying inflation before considering cutting rates, Macklem said.

It’s the clearest statement the governor has made to date about the potential timeline for the Bank of Canada to start easing monetary policy, and it lines up with how most economists see events unfolding. It also highlights a shift in how officials are thinking — they’ve moved their focus from how high rates must go, to how long they must stay at current levels.

The United States Federal Reserve held borrowing costs steady last week, but forecasts showed broader consensus for rate cuts in 2024. In a news conference, chair Jerome Powell indicated policymakers are also turning their focus to when to cut rates as inflation continues its descent toward their two per cent goal, prompting a rally in bonds and stocks.

For the Bank of Canada, one of its preferred measures of core inflation, a three-month moving average of the so-called trim and median core rates, slowed to an annualized pace of 2.96 per cent in October. That’s within the bank’s inflation control range of one to three per cent for the first time since March 2021.

Core Inflation Proves Less Sticky in Canada | Closely watched measures of underlying price pressures ease

The trim and median core rates averaged a yearly 3.6 per cent in October but are expected to ease in November inflation data, to be released Tuesday at 8:30 a.m. Ottawa time. The deceleration has raised questions about whether rate cuts might be around the corner, but Macklem indicated they’re still at least a few months away. Traders in overnight index swaps have priced in a first rate cut in April.

“We are certainly feeling more confident that monetary policy is working and increasingly the conditions are in place to get us back to two per cent inflation,” Macklem said. “We’re not there yet. There are a few more things we need to see to be more confident that we’re headed back to two per cent and we’re watching those closely.”

Last week, Macklem told reporters that the bank’s six-person governing council increasingly agree rates are restrictive enough, though they’re still prepared to hike if necessary. On Wednesday, the central bank will release a detailed summary of deliberations for the December decision, when officials held interest rates at five per cent for a third straight meeting.

In the interview, Macklem reiterated that he believes that borrowing costs won’t likely fall to their pre-pandemic lows.

“We had 10, 12 years of unusually low interest rates post-global financial crisis. I think there are good reasons to believe that we’re not going back to those very low rates.”

Macklem’s full interview runs on “Taking Stock with Amanda Lang” on Friday at 6 p.m. New York time on BNN Bloomberg Television.

 

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Canada Goose to get into eyewear through deal with Marchon

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TORONTO – Canada Goose Holdings Inc. says it has signed a deal that will result in the creation of its first eyewear collection.

The deal announced on Thursday by the Toronto-based luxury apparel company comes in the form of an exclusive, long-term global licensing agreement with Marchon Eyewear Inc.

The terms and value of the agreement were not disclosed, but Marchon produces eyewear for brands including Lacoste, Nike, Calvin Klein, Ferragamo, Longchamp and Zeiss.

Marchon plans to roll out both sunglasses and optical wear under the Canada Goose name next spring, starting in North America.

Canada Goose says the eyewear will be sold through optical retailers, department stores, Canada Goose shops and its website.

Canada Goose CEO Dani Reiss told The Canadian Press in August that he envisioned his company eventually expanding into eyewear and luggage.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GOOS)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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A timeline of events in the bread price-fixing scandal

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Almost seven years since news broke of an alleged conspiracy to fix the price of packaged bread across Canada, the saga isn’t over: the Competition Bureau continues to investigate the companies that may have been involved, and two class-action lawsuits continue to work their way through the courts.

Here’s a timeline of key events in the bread price-fixing case.

Oct. 31, 2017: The Competition Bureau says it’s investigating allegations of bread price-fixing and that it was granted search warrants in the case. Several grocers confirm they are co-operating in the probe.

Dec. 19, 2017: Loblaw and George Weston say they participated in an “industry-wide price-fixing arrangement” to raise the price of packaged bread. The companies say they have been co-operating in the Competition Bureau’s investigation since March 2015, when they self-reported to the bureau upon discovering anti-competitive behaviour, and are receiving immunity from prosecution. They announce they are offering $25 gift cards to customers amid the ongoing investigation into alleged bread price-fixing.

Jan. 31, 2018: In court documents, the Competition Bureau says at least $1.50 was added to the price of a loaf of bread between about 2001 and 2016.

Dec. 20, 2019: A class-action lawsuit in a Quebec court against multiple grocers and food companies is certified against a number of companies allegedly involved in bread price-fixing, including Loblaw, George Weston, Metro, Sobeys, Walmart Canada, Canada Bread and Giant Tiger (which have all denied involvement, except for Loblaw and George Weston, which later settled with the plaintiffs).

Dec. 31, 2021: A class-action lawsuit in an Ontario court covering all Canadian residents except those in Quebec who bought packaged bread from a company named in the suit is certified against roughly the same group of companies.

June 21, 2023: Bakery giant Canada Bread Co. is fined $50 million after pleading guilty to four counts of price-fixing under the Competition Act as part of the Competition Bureau’s ongoing investigation.

Oct. 25 2023: Canada Bread files a statement of defence in the Ontario class action denying participating in the alleged conspiracy and saying any anti-competitive behaviour it participated in was at the direction and to the benefit of its then-majority owner Maple Leaf Foods, which is not a defendant in the case (neither is its current owner Grupo Bimbo). Maple Leaf calls Canada Bread’s accusations “baseless.”

Dec. 20, 2023: Metro files new documents in the Ontario class action accusing Loblaw and its parent company George Weston of conspiring to implicate it in the alleged scheme, denying involvement. Sobeys has made a similar claim. The two companies deny the allegations.

July 25, 2024: Loblaw and George Weston say they agreed to pay a combined $500 million to settle both the Ontario and Quebec class-action lawsuits. Loblaw’s share of the settlement includes a $96-million credit for the gift cards it gave out years earlier.

Sept. 12, 2024: Canada Bread files new documents in Ontario court as part of the class action, claiming Maple Leaf used it as a “shield” to avoid liability in the alleged scheme. Maple Leaf was a majority shareholder of Canada Bread until 2014, and the company claims it’s liable for any price-fixing activity. Maple Leaf refutes the claims.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:L, TSX:MFI, TSX:MRU, TSX:EMP.A, TSX:WN)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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TD CEO to retire next year, takes responsibility for money laundering failures

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TORONTO – TD Bank Group, which is mired in a money laundering scandal in the U.S., says chief executive Bharat Masrani will retire next year.

Masrani, who will retire officially on April 10, 2025, says the bank’s, “anti-money laundering challenges,” took place on his watch and he takes full responsibility.

The bank named Raymond Chun, TD’s group head, Canadian personal banking, as his successor.

As part of a transition plan, Chun will become chief operating officer on Nov. 1 before taking over the top job when Masrani steps down at the bank’s annual meeting next year.

TD also announced that Riaz Ahmed, group head, wholesale banking and president and CEO of TD Securities, will retire at the end of January 2025.

TD has taken billions in charges related to ongoing U.S. investigations into the failure of its anti-money laundering program.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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