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Tiny micro-condos are flooding Toronto's real estate market – blogTO

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There’s never been a better time to be in the market for a “micro-condo” in downtown Toronto — or a worse time to live in one, I’m afraid.

Once hailed as the future of downtown real estate, these ultra-tiny, sky-high units — some so small that they can’t fit ovens — were immensely popular in Toronto two years ago, when vacancy rates were at historic lows and rent prices were skyrocketing.

Now, thanks to the pandemic and all of the various lifestyle changes it has inspired, realtors are having trouble selling off anything less than 500 square feet — let alone getting contracts signed for piddly pre-construction pads.

The proof is in the pudding, as they say, if “pudding” is to mean “local housing market data.”

Real estate broker and prolific data analyst John Pasalis of Realosophy released a comprehensive report on Wednesday detailing how the GTA market is faring this month amid ongoing COVID-19 woes.

His November 2020 Move Smartly report looks at everything from rent prices (still falling) and detached home sales (still rising) to which condo sizes, specifically, are selling the best — and the worst — right now.

Consistent with what we’ve seen from TRREB, Urbanation, BILD and other leading data resources in recent months, Pasalis found that buyers are skewing away from tiny units in favour of larger, more-liveable spaces.

“While Toronto’s condo market is showing signs of cooling, some units are performing better than others,” reads his report.

“One way to measure this is to compare the current number of properties for sale against the number of homes that sold over the past month which gives us a metric called the Months of Inventory (MOI).”

Basically, the higher the MOI, the “the more inventory there is relative to current demand.”

Last October, condos larger than 2,000 square feet led the pack in terms of available supply across the GTA. This October, units smaller than 500 square feet are far and above the most oversupplied, followed by units between 500 and 600 square feet.

“The most oversupplied units in the condo market today are units that are smaller than 600sq ft. In fact, these units are more oversupplied and harder to sell than units that are over 2,000 sq ft in size which tend to be in the luxury segment,” wrote Pasalis.

“If you’re looking to buy a condo that is smaller than 500 sq ft, the supply of units significantly exceeds demand today.”

Micro-condos were by far the most-oversupplied type of unit in the GTA as of October 2020 — a sharp change from the year previous. Image via movesmartly.com.

Pasalis, like others, blames the shift away from micro-condos on “a desire for larger living spaces as more people are working from home due to COVID restrictions.”

Indeed, people in Toronto are leaving their tiny homes for bigger spaces either within or outside of the city.

Landlords are selling off units too as they become less profitable thanks to high long-term vacancy rates (and harder to fill with Airbnb guests thanks to border closures.)

New condo listings were up by 79 per cent in October, according to Pasalis, which pushed the active number of condos available for sale in October up by 125 per cent, year over year.

“This spike in inventory is leading to a cooling down in the condo market with the MOI increasing from just under 2 months in July to 2.8 in October,” notes the report.

“Toronto area condo prices are up 3 per cent over last year, but are down 4 per cent from the peak reached in the first quarter.”

Condo prices may not have spiked as high as new listings, but at least things are turning in the right direction for prospective buyers — especially those who are cool with living in a glorified walk-in closet.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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