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Too much wealth tied up in real estate can hurt your retirement, report suggests

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Houses on a hill in Vancouver, on Nov. 23. Near-retirees are too dependent on their houses for wealth, according to a report from Deloitte Canada.DARRYL DYCK/The Canadian Press

Canadians heading into retirement are in a great position, said no one ever.

But even by this usual standard of negativity, a new report on retirement by Deloitte Canada is a stunner. It says that 55 per cent of people aged 55 to 64, about 1.7 million individuals, will have to make lifestyle compromises to have a comfortable retirement. Near-retirees are too dependent on their houses for wealth, they invest too conservatively and they don’t have access to the advice and investing products they need.

The Deloitte reports includes some suggested remedies, including more options for people tap into their home equity to finance retirement. But the takeaway for people retiring in the next few years can be summed up follows: Find a way to save more, or scale back your retirement lifestyle expectations.

The report is based on a study of 4,000 households of people between 55 and 64 who are heading into or already in retirement. Fourteen per cent of these households are in great shape for retirement, and 31 per cent are low-income households that will find their employment income largely replaced by the Canada Pension Plan, Old Age Security and possibly the Guaranteed Income Supplement.

Eighteen per cent can afford retirement, but will need to lower their lifestyle expectations, while 37 per cent are at risk of not having enough to get by, even when including personal savings, government pensions and GIS payments.

How much does retirement income depend on investment returns?

The Deloitte report demands attention because, refreshingly, it comes from a consulting company and not a bank or investment company angling for more customers. The report is also original in that it acknowledges the impact of expensive housing on retirees, and debt as well.

About 25 per cent of retirees have a mortgage, the report says. “Sure,” home-owning, near-retirees are saying at this point. “But at least I have my home equity.”

The Deloitte report is not sympathetic to this line of thinking. First off, it notes that home equity has traditionally been hard to access as a source of money to pay costs like basic living expenses in retirement.

“There also appears to be a prevailing taboo around using real estate to fund retirement,” the report says. “We found that only 17 per cent of near-retiree Canadian households would consider using their real estate to supplement their retirement income.”

Reverse mortgages are one option for tapping into home equity, but the report says the fees involved affect their appeal. Also, there are only two companies providing this product on a large scale. To improve public confidence in reverse mortgages, the reports suggests that regulators introduce rules governing how these products are managed.

Despite its questionable utility as a source of retirement income, home equity’s share of individual wealth has grown to 46 per cent in 2019 from 38 per cent in 1999. This growth rate surpasses private pension and non-pension assets.

Rising home values explain this trend in part, but price growth has either stalled or turned into price declines in some cities recently. Compounding this, the Deloitte study notes a tendency for people to overestimate the value of their real estate.

A unique aspect of the study is its acknowledgement of the effect on retirement saving of supporting adult children financially. Here, again, housing is a factor. In addition to helping their kids with money for down payments, parents are providing money to cover the costs of owning a home and covering the mortgage payment increases many young buyers have experienced since interest rates began climbing.

Would-be retirees: Should you start your CPP pension before year-end or wait until 2024?

A rough, Deloitte-suggested diagnostic for your retirement readiness: To maintain a modest lifestyle until the average life expectancy of 82, near retirees should have at least $340,000 in savings, pension money included. Of course, many people will live longer than that and require substantially more savings to cover long-term care costs.

One more step suggested by the report is to check the mix of stocks and bonds in your retirement investments. A conservative approach with a preponderance of bonds can reduce the volatility of your portfolio and the pain of stock market declines, but it also reduces your benefit from stock market gains.

A few other recommendations apply to employers and the financial industry, and they’re worth highlighting. One is to create more investment products designed to pay income in retirement. Two current such products are the Vanguard Retirement Income ETF Portfolio (VRIF-T) and the Purpose Longevity Pension Fund.

Also, employers should do more to encourage participation in their retirement savings programs. Mandatory participation would be controversial, but also serves the greater good.


I’m tracking the extent to which parents are helping their adult children with housing costs. If you gave your kids money for a home down payment, to cover rising mortgage costs or for other housing-related purposes, please take this quick, anonymous survey.

Are you a young Canadian with money on your mind? To set yourself up for success and steer clear of costly mistakes, listen to our award-winning Stress Test podcast.

 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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