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Top 10 Investment For 2020 by Forbe

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1. Positioning For A Year With Two Distinct Halves: I believe that a dovish Federal Reserve, along with the continued strength of the U.S. consumer and underlying U.S. economy, will allow for additional upside potential for U.S. stocks during the first half of 2020. However, as we begin the second half of the new year and enter the thick of the election cycle, periods of intermittent volatility and overall investor apathy, will be likely based on changing predictions of who may, or may not, be in the Oval Office and which political party may, or may not, be in control of Congress after November 15. As a result, having a strategy positioned for this “Tale of Two Cities” outlook that provides exposure to dividend-paying U.S. equities with some element of downside protection may be worthy of consideration.

2. Demand For Tax-Free Income Remains High: As the yield curve remains challenged and changes to the current cap in place for state and local tax (SALT) deductions unlikely, demand for attractive sources of tax-free income will remain high in 2020. This demand will likely be highest among residents impacted most by the SALT cap in states such as New York, New Jersey and California. For those who are not aware, the SALT deduction is related to the Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017, which limited the total SALT deduction to $10,000. Demand for tax-free income overall was high in 2019 as well as evidenced by the 47 consecutive weeks of positive net inflows to U.S. municipal bond funds.

3. Biotech M&A Activity Likely To Continue: Biotech is on the mindsets of many investors heading into 2020 as M&A announcements were in the headlines throughout 2019. According to the Chimera Research Group, there were 28 biotech mergers & acquisitions announcements in 2019, including the recent announcement of Novartis’ planned acquisition of The Medicines Company. Margin compression, threats of drug price control and patent expirations, will challenge large pharmaceutical companies in the new year to find revenue replacement alternatives. One of these alternatives in 2020 will likely involve the acquisition of smaller capitalized biotech companies with innovative drugs nearing the final stages of FDA approval.

4. Preferreds Continue To Become A Preferred Source Of Income: Dependable distributions are important for income-oriented investors and preferred securities can help provide such distributions. Preferred securities, also commonly referred to as preferred stocks, represent a hybrid security type combining different features of both equities and debt. While most issuers of preferreds are banks, there are also other issuer types, including insurance companies, utilities, REITs, industrials and diversified financial services. As a result, investors may want to continue using preferred securities as they did in 2019, while also considering the use of portfolios of preferred securities incorporating different types of issuers to help meet their income needs in 2020.

5. ESG-Based Strategies Gain More Prominence: Sustainable, responsible and impact investing is an investment theme growing in popularity across the globe. Strategies associated with this theme, which often incorporate environmental, social and governance (ESG) rating criteria, along with the investment merits of a given company’s stock, continue to attract more investment assets. According to the Forum for Sustainable and Responsible Investment, global assets under management in the strategy grew to $11.6 trillion in 2018 from $178 billion in 2005–a 6,417% increase! I anticipate the continuation of this trend in 2020, provided that the investment performance of these strategies remains strong on a relative basis.

6. Finding Value In Dividends: Dividends have long been a critical part of the total return investment equation for investors in common stocks. I tend to view companies that make regular dividend distributions and have a consistent track record of growing distributions over time in a more favorable light. In other words, I view such companies as possessing a higher degree of financial health. Moreover, stocks that pay dividends also tend to have characteristics favored by value over growth investment approaches. If the yield curve remains challenged in 2020 and stock market volatility returns during the second half of the year, look for consistent dividend payers and value-oriented investment strategies, which have taken a back seat to growth-oriented investment strategies over the last decade, to outperform.

7. International Equities Attract Investment Flows: Though many uncertainties remain for international economies and international markets in 2020, including Brexit (which now appears likely) and further trade agreement negotiations, the outlook for global economic growth has improved with J.P. Morgan forecasting 2020 global GDP growth of 2.5% vs. a 1.7% GDP growth forecast for the U.S. I anticipate emerging markets outperforming developed markets internationally in 2020, provided that Phase 2 trade talks between the U.S. and China do not take a wrong turn towards a new round of tariffs.

8. Strong Consumer Fuels Further Growth In E-Commerce: Evidence of the strength of the U.S. consumer can be found in sales data from the 2019 holiday shopping season. According to a CNBC article entitled, Record online sales give U.S. holiday shopping season a boost, overall holiday retail sales, excluding autos, increased by 3.4% when compared to 2018 with online sales leading the charge.

E-commerce sales made up 15% of total retail sales and rose 19% versus the prior year to a new record high according to MasterCard’s retail sales data from November 1–December 24, 2019. I anticipate further online commerce growth in 2020, which should benefit not only e-commerce companies but also companies that derive a significant amount of revenues from activities performed within the e-commerce ecosystem.

9. AI Implementations Increase Across Multiple Industries: Applications of artificial intelligence (AI) will continue to take place in 2020 across multiple industries ranging from finance to health care to automobiles, disrupting how many companies operate and, in certain cases, transforming the bottom lines of these companies. Also referred to as machine or deep learning, AI is typically associated with companies whose technologies are focused on the automation of cognitive processes such as speech recognition, deep learning and visual navigation. Another innovative technology that should also experience implementation growth in 2020 is cybersecurity, thanks in part to new regulations as well as the heightened risks of malware attacks, data breaches and hacking in general.

10. Counterbalancing Consensus With Contrarians: Whenever there is an overwhelming one-sided sentiment, whether positive or negative, among investors, and assets are flowing in the direction of that one-sided sentiment, it may be time to consider adopting some form of a contrarian approach. The same can be said for less favorable analyst consensus opinions on the stocks of certain companies that may otherwise appear healthy and positioned to grow. Coming off a year where seemingly everything worked, it may be worthwhile to consider investing in a stock portfolio of attractive companies that did not work in 2019 or that analyst consensus suggests will not work in 2020, despite strong fundamentals.

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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