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Toronto real estate prices went up 24 per cent in August – NOW Toronto

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Experts are not counting on September to end the hot Toronto real estate market’s record breaking streak


Toronto real estate prices hit yet an all time high for the third consecutive month.

The average GTA house price rose to $951,404 in August, according to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB). That is a 20.1 per cent increase year-over-year. The average house price in August for the city of Toronto was $1,012,506, which is up from 24 per cent year-over-year.

“Competition between buyers was especially strong for low-rise home types,” says TRREB’s Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer in a statement. He adds those homes are largely responsible for the price growth.

The average price for detached homes in the city are up to $1,505,100, a 21.4 per cent increase year-over-year. Semi-detached grew even more, rising 21.9 per cent to $1,166,226. Condos prices rose 8.7 per cent to $673,174.

Sales in August were up by 40.3 per cent year-over-year. The unusually high number of transactions – 10,775 – is the result of pent up demand after the COVID-19 pandemic stalled the market in spring.

WE Realty broker Odeen Eccleston adds that the ability to host open houses again added to the August frenzy. She explains that demand for properties under $1 million is particularly intense, since buyers don’t need to fork over a 20 per cent deposit for those purchases.

Toronto Real Estate decline?

Market watchers have anticipated a potential price decline in Toronto real estate beginning September.

The Canada Mortgage Housing Corporation’s spring forecast estimated that the average price for Toronto homes could fall beginning this month. The reasons include the lack of immigration, COVID-19’s impact on the economy and an end to aid programs like CERB.

Toronto real estate brokers also expected more home listings flooding the market because mortgage deferrals come due in September. Now, they aren’t so sure the decline will come.

“Inventory is still in check,” says Meray Mansour, a realtor with Re/Max Hallmark Realty. “Demand is still there.”

Mansour isn’t counting out the possibility of a decline because there’s still so many variables at play. She says we can’t measure how many people are strapped or have businesses that have gone under. Nor can we measure how many people have safety nets like rental income from basement apartments that help weather any COVID-19 impact.

Both Eccleston and Mansour believe the Toronto real estate market in particular can weather the worst expectations. Eccleston imagines a dramatic scenario where 10 per cent of Canadian mortgage holders can no longer defer and list their houses.

“The fact is in city of Toronto and the surrounding neigbourhoods, we could use 10 per cent more inventory,” says Eccleston. “Perhaps that will temper the bidding wars a bit. I just don’t see prices driven dramatically down. The bottom line is these real estate investments mean so much to our populace. And no one is trying to settle for less unless they absolutely need to.”

Human behaviour

Mansour notes that the condo market is flooding with inventory. She acknowledges that the downward pressure on condo prices could eventually affect low-rise house prices. That would only occur if large volumes of buyers priced out of houses start settling for condos. Such behaviour has caused fluctuations in the past. But Mansour adds that trying to predict that kind of human behaviour is futile. Real estate buyers don’t necessarily follow logic.

“When prices fall, buyers don’t tend to jump on it,” says Mansour. “They tend to sit back. It’s a good time to buy, but they’re scared because the market dropped. But whenever the market is crazy, buyers are like, ‘Oh my god. Lets buy something before there’s nothing left!’ It’s a weird psychological thing we have as humans.”

Realtors have also noticed that working from home conditions due to the COVID-19 pandemic have inspired an exodus.

People are headed to the suburbs or leaving the GTA altogether for more affordable, greener and spacious homes.

Eccleston is warning clients to be careful with those decisions, since we don’t know when social behaviour will trend towards the city again. She suggests trying a short-term rental in the country first. Especially because if someone leaves the city, there’s a good chance they won’t be able to afford coming back a couple years from now.

 “You don’t want to be stuck with post-pandemic real estate regret.”

@justsayrad


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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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