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Trump Considers Using Emergency Funds to Bolster Economy Against Virus

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WASHINGTON — President Trump and his advisers are considering using the Federal Emergency Management Agency as a vehicle to deliver funds to stimulate the economy against mounting damage from the coronavirus, a move that could allow the administration to begin bolstering growth without waiting for Congress.

The idea is one of many options under consideration by the administration to help stimulate the economy, which is facing a slowdown from a virus that is quarantining workers and consumers, scuttling vacations, closing factories and causing other disruptions.

Mr. Trump previewed several ideas at a news conference on Monday evening, but discussions remain in flux and many of the proposals would require congressional approval at a time of deep partisan ire and with the 2020 election looming.

Mr. Trump’s top economic advisers are heading to Capitol Hill on Tuesday to brief Republican lawmakers on the White House’s still-evolving stimulus plans.

Larry Kudlow, director of the National Economic Council, and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin will brief Senate Republicans at their weekly lunch and discuss cutting the payroll tax, offering financial help for workers who don’t get paid sick leave, and providing targeted relief for industries battered by the virus, including cruise lines, airlines and hotels.

They could also raise the possibility of Mr. Trump moving to approve major disaster declarations in a growing number of states that have seen coronavirus outbreaks, according to officials in the administration and in Congress. Such approvals would allow FEMA to begin distributing aid to affected individuals, such as emergency food stamps, and to states and local governments for efforts including “emergency protective measures.”

Mr. Trump’s advisers remain divided over how large of a stimulus package to send to Congress, and what to include in it, with many advisers worrying that too large of a request could feed fear among investors and consumers by suggesting the economy is weaker than it actually is.

The idea of a payroll tax cut in particular has divided Mr. Trump’s advisers, with Mr. Mnuchin and Mr. Kudlow expressing concerns about the cost, whether it would address the problems caused by the virus and what Democrats would demand if they reopen the tax code.

However, Peter Navarro, Mr. Trump’s trade adviser, has been a proponent of the idea, and Mr. Trump has been pushing for it to be included in a package of options.

Mr. Navarro has often been at odds with Mr. Trump’s other economic advisers over trade policy. His appearance with the coronavirus task force at Mr. Trump’s White House briefing on Monday raised eyebrows among some officials who wondered if he had inserted himself into the fiscal stimulus discussion.

Mr. Navarro said in an interview that he was there at the president’s request.

“The president specifically asked during the Oval meeting that I, by name, and other members of his economic and trade team stand with him on the podium and I left when the president left,” Mr. Navarro said.

Congressional Republicans have given the possibility of a payroll tax cut a cool reception, and Republicans aides were skeptical on Tuesday that it would be included in a final package submitted by the administration. Such a package is likely to be worked out in advance by administration officials and top Republicans and their staff in the Senate, which Republicans control.

Officials inside the administration and on Capitol Hill stressed on Tuesday that the details of any such plan were not yet finalized, and that meetings that Mr. Kudlow and Mr. Mnuchin were holding with senators on Tuesday would help to narrow them toward a consensus package.

Leaders in the Democratic-controlled House have also reacted with skepticism to the payroll tax plan. They have pushed for the administration instead to ramp up spending on the public health response to the virus.

One area of agreement among Republicans and Democrats is the need for any package to include government-provided sick pay to workers who are unable to perform their jobs as a result of quarantines or caring for children whose schools are canceled over virus fears. It is unclear how such a program would work and how it would ramp up fast enough to prevent affected workers from missing payments on rent, credit cards or other bills.

Markets rallied on Tuesday morning on news of the stimulus request, after suffering steep losses Monday. But several congressional aides cautioned it will likely take weeks, at minimum, to complete and approve any stimulus bill.

The White House is also considering other plans that would not require congressional action, such as allowing tax payments to be deferred. Mr. Trump said on Monday that the White House would hold another news conference at some point on Tuesday laying out stimulus measures in more detail.

While his advisers worked on the package, Mr. Trump on Tuesday called the Federal Reserve “pathetic” for keeping interest rates too high, renewing a regular gripe as coronavirus spreads both globally and domestically, roiling markets and threatening the economic outlook.

“Our pathetic, slow moving Federal Reserve, headed by Jay Powell, who raised rates too fast and lowered too late, should get our Fed Rate down to the levels of our competitor nations,” he tweeted. “The Federal Reserve must be a leader, not a very late follower, which it has been!”

Jeanna Smialek contributed reporting.

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Minimum wage to hire higher-paid temporary foreign workers set to increase

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OTTAWA – The federal government is expected to boost the minimum hourly wage that must be paid to temporary foreign workers in the high-wage stream as a way to encourage employers to hire more Canadian staff.

Under the current program’s high-wage labour market impact assessment (LMIA) stream, an employer must pay at least the median income in their province to qualify for a permit. A government official, who The Canadian Press is not naming because they are not authorized to speak publicly about the change, said Employment Minister Randy Boissonnault will announce Tuesday that the threshold will increase to 20 per cent above the provincial median hourly wage.

The change is scheduled to come into force on Nov. 8.

As with previous changes to the Temporary Foreign Worker program, the government’s goal is to encourage employers to hire more Canadian workers. The Liberal government has faced criticism for increasing the number of temporary residents allowed into Canada, which many have linked to housing shortages and a higher cost of living.

The program has also come under fire for allegations of mistreatment of workers.

A LMIA is required for an employer to hire a temporary foreign worker, and is used to demonstrate there aren’t enough Canadian workers to fill the positions they are filling.

In Ontario, the median hourly wage is $28.39 for the high-wage bracket, so once the change takes effect an employer will need to pay at least $34.07 per hour.

The government official estimates this change will affect up to 34,000 workers under the LMIA high-wage stream. Existing work permits will not be affected, but the official said the planned change will affect their renewals.

According to public data from Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, 183,820 temporary foreign worker permits became effective in 2023. That was up from 98,025 in 2019 — an 88 per cent increase.

The upcoming change is the latest in a series of moves to tighten eligibility rules in order to limit temporary residents, including international students and foreign workers. Those changes include imposing caps on the percentage of low-wage foreign workers in some sectors and ending permits in metropolitan areas with high unemployment rates.

Temporary foreign workers in the agriculture sector are not affected by past rule changes.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 21, 2024.

— With files from Nojoud Al Mallees

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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