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U.S. Fed cuts interest rate to near zero to support economy – The Globe and Mail

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In a conference call with reporters, U.S. Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell, seen here on March 3, 2020, said the bank acted Sunday after having decided to meet this weekend ahead of its regular policy committee meeting later in the week.

Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

The U.S. Federal Reserve is taking emergency action to buoy the American economy, as the disruption caused by the novel coronavirus raises fears of recession and a credit freeze in financial markets.

The United States central bank announced Sunday a series of sweeping measures, chief among them a reduction in its benchmark interest rate by a full percentage point to effectively zero, its second surprise rate cut this month – with the Fed saying interest rates will remain there until the economy “has weathered recent events.”

The bank will also renew quantitative easing, as it buys US$700-billion in Treasury and mortgage securities, as well as eliminate the requirement for commercial banks to hold reserve funds from the amounts they loan out.

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And in co-ordination with the Bank of Canada and four other central banks, the Fed is shoring up the liquidity of U.S. currency by reducing the amount it charges other central banks to purchase U.S. dollars, who then provide those funds to domestic financial institutions.

The moves in the U.S. follow similar efforts by the Bank of Canada to quickly cut interest rates to levels previously seen during the 2008 financial crisis. Ottawa has also rolled out $1.1-billion in emergency funding to fight the virus, has promised to unveil this week a major fiscal stimulus package and moved to significantly increase lending capacity in the Canadian economy.

Those measures have been enacted since equity markets began their steep decline in late February, driven by fears of massive economic disruption from the coronavirus. In Canada, the drop on Thursday was the steepest in eight decades, worse than even the Black Monday crash of 1987.

Economists said the Bank of Canada, which reduced its own key rate to 0.75 per cent with an emergency half-percentage-point cut on Friday, could now come under pressure to cut even deeper – and soon – to keep pace with the Fed. Ian Pollick, head of North American rates strategy at CIBC Capital Markets, said the Bank of Canada had been expected to cut rates soon, but it is now unlikely to wait until its next scheduled meeting on April 15. “The question now becomes one of timing,” he said.

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Bank of Nova Scotia economist Derek Holt said the U.S. central bank’s goal is not necessarily to support equity markets, but rather to ensure that the financial system functions properly. “They really went all out here,” he said, adding that it is possible the Fed’s monitoring flagged growing risk in the financial system.

In a conference call with reporters, U.S. Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the bank acted Sunday after having decided to meet this weekend ahead of its regular policy committee meeting later in the week. Mr. Powell said the Fed decided not to issue its usual quarterly projections for the economy and interest rates this week because the coronavirus is altering the economic picture too quickly to make such projections useful.

The central bank’s reduction in its benchmark rate to a range between zero per cent and 0.25 per cent did not seem to comfort equity markets.

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U.S. stock futures began falling after the Fed’s announcement. Futures for the S&P 500 index dropped 4 per cent, while futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 3.7 per cent. Prices for gold, a traditional safe haven for investors, rose 3.5 per cent.

David Rosenberg, head of Rosenberg Research in Toronto, said the co-ordinated move among global central banks is designed to bolster liquidity and that it should also help support investor confidence.

However, Mr. Rosenberg said he is concerned about how much more the Fed, the world’s most powerful central bank, can do from here, as the COVID-19 crisis in the U.S. continues to deepen and Washington politics remains fractured.

“Let’s face it – the Fed was already pretty well out of bullets, and after this bazooka, it is completely out of bullets. That’s a big problem, to have going forward an impotent central bank at a time when there is such a partisan divide that is frustrating a fiscal solution,” he said.

Scott Clark, who was deputy minister when Paul Martin was finance minister, echoed that sentiment, saying massive fiscal stimulus is needed in Canada and other countries to deal with a global economy already contracting.

“We have already entered into a global recession and I call this a global-virus recession,” he said in an interview, urging Finance Minister Bill Morneau to take “really major, really significant measures.”

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On Friday in Ottawa, there was co-ordinated action to boost liquidity, with the Bank of Canada cutting its benchmark rate by 50 basis points to 0.75 per cent, its second reduction in less than two weeks. Mr. Morneau said two Crown lending agencies, Export Development Canada and the Business Development Bank of Canada, would boost their lending by $10-billion. And the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions loosened capital reserve requirements for large banks, creating $300-billion worth of new lending capacity.

Mr. Clark said Ottawa must provide much more credit to small business than the $10-billion, as well as significant funding for employment insurance to deal with mass layoffs, funds for possible industry bailouts and billions more to the health care system to cope with the coronavirus.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is to have a telephone call with Group of Seven leaders – the U.S., France, Germany, Italy, Britain, Japan – on Monday. Mr. Clark said the G20, which includes China and Russia, need to be involved as they were during the 2008 financial crisis.

In its statement, the Fed said the effects of the coronavirus will have a negative impact on the U.S. economy in the near term and that it is ready to use its “full range of tools” to support the flow of credit to households and businesses.

The U.S. central bank said the reduction in the cost for other central banks to buy U.S. currency – the swap-line mechanism was put in place during the 2008 financial crisis – will take effect this week. The Fed’s move was made in co-ordination with the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Swiss National Bank.

In a statement, the Bank of Canada said the swap line is not needed at this time, but that it provides flexibility “to address rapidly evolving developments in financial markets.” The bank also said Canadian financial institutions do not appear to be having difficulties with U.S. dollar liquidity needs in North America.

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With reports from Associated Press

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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