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U.S. inflation rate spikes to 6.8% — highest level in almost 40 years – CBC News

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The cost of living is increasing at its fastest pace in almost 40 years right now, with data out of the U.S. on Friday showing the country’s inflation rate hit 6.8 per cent last month.

The U.S. Bureau of Labour Statistics said Friday that higher costs for gasoline, shelter, food and new and used vehicles were the biggest factors in pushing the rate to its highest point since June of 1982.

Canadian data for November is not yet available, but it, too, is expected to rise from the 18-year high of 4.7 per cent it hit last month.

While the number was in line with what economists were expecting, the figure is nonetheless eye-popping. The reasons for why inflation is rising around the world are complex, but they boil down to a combination of unprecedented government stimulus cash and record low interest rates colliding with booming consumer demand for goods and services at a time when some supplies are stretched thin.

The pandemic made it harder to produce and ship goods, but after more than a year of lockdowns around the world, consumers are sitting on record amounts of cash and in a mood to spend it.

That’s pushing up prices for everything from housing and oil, even as supplies for things like cars, household goods and even childen’s toys are stretched thin.

Wages aren’t rising as fast

High inflation means the cost of just about everything is going up, and incomes aren’t going up by nearly enough to offset it, yet.

Wage data from the same U.S. labour department shows that the average full time private sector worker in the U.S. was earning $29.61 an hour in November of 2020, and that figure has risen to $31.03 last month.

That’s an increase of about 4.7 per cent, which means the cost of living for the typical salaried worker is going up 40 per cent faster than their pay packet is.

In Canada over that same period, Statistics Canada reports that the average worker was making $29.60 an hour last November, and $30.40 this year. That’s an increase of 2.7 per cent — and inflation is almost twice that, at 4.7 per cent.

Alex Pelle with investment bank Mizuho says it’s telling to see demand remaining elevated even as the price of just about everything increases. 

WATCH | Economist says consumers are in the mood to spend

Prices for cars and airline tickets rising

2 hours ago

Duration 1:09

Economist Alex Pelle with investment bank Mizuho says a big factor pushing up inflation is that strong consumer demand for goods and services coming out of the pandemic. 1:09

“The consumer has a lot of spending power, and that is a serious driver of inflation,” he said.

“When we look a year from now, two years from now, we don’t expect the pace of price increases to stay this high, but prices also won’t go back down to where they were before.”

Rate hikes now more likely

Economist Sal Guatieri with Bank of Montreal agrees that inflation will stick around a while yet, saying “there’s little near-term relief in sight,” and noting that even the so-called core rate that strips out volatile items like food and energy prices is rising at an almost five per cent pace right now.

Normally, an inflation rate this high would compel a central bank to ratchet up its lending rate to cool things down. But that isn’t happening right now because the U.S. Federal Reserve is worried about taking away the stimulus from an economy still vulnerable to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

But Guatieri says Friday’s numbers will almost certainly force higher rates to come sooner rather than later.

“The Fed has little choice but to … prepare for the possibility of much earlier rate hikes than it was planning just a few months ago,” he said.

Inflation hasn’t been this high since Michael Jackson’s Thriller was topping the charts, economist Leslie Preston noted. (TIFF)

Leslie Preston at TD Bank agrees with that assessment, saying in a note to clients that while some of the inflation may be temporary, in that it is coming from short term surges in demand for things like travel, there are still “strong price pressures across a broad array of categories.”

“Not since the release of Thriller have inflation pressures been this strong in the U.S.,” she said, referring to Michael Jackson’s zombie-themed 1982 hit. 

And that means debt-laden consumers should prepare themselves for something equally scary lurching its way toward them soon.

“Rate hikes will not be far behind,” she said.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

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