UG Investment steps outside greater China as risks of Taiwan conflict grow - Financial Times | Canada News Media
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UG Investment steps outside greater China as risks of Taiwan conflict grow – Financial Times

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UG Investment, one of the oldest hedge funds specialising in Chinese markets, is planning to open its first office outside greater China to step up investment in south-east Asia in a move that would help it guard against the risks from any conflict between China and Taiwan.

The fund, which manages assets of about $4bn, will open an office in Singapore, according to three people with knowledge of the details. It launched in 1998 and currently operates from Taipei and Shanghai.

Tensions between the US and China have increasingly centred on Taiwan, with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February fuelling speculation that Beijing could try to annex the democratically governed island in the next few years. China claims sovereignty over Taiwan and the Chinese military has significantly increased its activity in the region over the past two years.

Two people with knowledge of UG’s plans said the risk of invasion was one factor in its decision to open a Singapore office. Other factors included talent retention and recruiting new staff to invest in south-east Asia, one of the people said.

UG’s management, including its chief investment officer Rachel Tsai, are not expected to relocate from Taiwan and the fund will not close its offices in greater China, according to one of the people.

UG’s chief operating officer Brandy Chen, who joined the hedge fund from JPMorgan 13 years ago, visited Singapore in June to look into regulatory licences and office space, the person added.

UG said in response to a request for comment on its move to Singapore that the Financial Times’s information did “not reflect truthfully” its standpoint, but did not elaborate further.

Investment professionals in the region described the opening of an office in Singapore as a sensible precaution.

One founder of another investment firm with links to Taiwan and Hong Kong said it was a “prudent move” but added that he believed the risk of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan was minimal.

“South-east Asia, especially Vietnam and Indonesia, is where Taiwanese money is generally going in any event,” he added.

Singapore is working to bolster its reputation as a leading financial centre in Asia. Hong Kong has historically been the main hub for global financial services groups in the region, but Beijing’s national security law and draconian pandemic control measures have damaged its reputation.

Singapore launched a new corporate structure in 2020 to encourage hedge funds to move assets.

One of the people with knowledge of the business described UG as one of the “best-kept secrets” of Asian hedge funds.

The low-profile fund was launched by Eugene Wang in 1998 with $20mn of seed capital after he left Taiwanese brokerage group Yuanta Securities. It was one of the first hedge funds in Taiwan and one of the earliest foreign investors in Chinese markets.

It was granted a qualified foreign institutional investor licence shortly after China launched the scheme in 2002, which permitted foreign investors to trade on stock exchanges in Shanghai and Shenzhen for the first time.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 150 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 150 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in technology, financial and energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also pushed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 171.41 points at 23,298.39.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 278.37 points at 41,369.79. The S&P 500 index was up 38.17 points at 5,630.35, while the Nasdaq composite was up 177.15 points at 17,733.18.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.19 cents US compared with 74.23 cents US on Wednesday.

The October crude oil contract was up US$1.75 at US$76.27 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.10 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$18.70 at US$2,556.50 an ounce and the December copper contract was down less than a penny at US$4.22 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 29, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Crypto Market Bloodbath Amid Broader Economic Concerns

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The crypto market has recently experienced a significant downturn, mirroring broader risk asset sell-offs. Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price dropped by 24%, reaching $53,000, while Ethereum plummeted nearly a third to $2,340. Major altcoins also suffered, with Cardano down 27.7%, Solana 36.2%, Dogecoin 34.6%, XRP 23.1%, Shiba Inu 30.1%, and BNB 25.7%.

The severe downturn in the crypto market appears to be part of a broader flight to safety, triggered by disappointing economic data. A worse-than-expected unemployment report on Friday marked the beginning of a technical recession, as defined by the Sahm Rule. This rule identifies a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least half a percentage point from its lowest point in the past year.

Friday’s figures met this threshold, signaling an abrupt economic downshift. Consequently, investors sought safer assets, leading to declines in major stock indices: the S&P 500 dropped 2%, the Nasdaq 2.5%, and the Dow 1.5%. This trend continued into Monday with further sell-offs overseas.

The crypto market’s rapid decline raises questions about its role as either a speculative asset or a hedge against inflation and recession. Despite hopes that crypto could act as a risk hedge, the recent crash suggests it remains a speculative investment.

Since the downturn, the crypto market has seen its largest three-day sell-off in nearly a year, losing over $500 billion in market value. According to CoinGlass data, this bloodbath wiped out more than $1 billion in leveraged positions within the last 24 hours, including $365 million in Bitcoin and $348 million in Ether.

Khushboo Khullar of Lightning Ventures, speaking to Bloomberg, argued that the crypto sell-off is part of a broader liquidity panic as traders rush to cover margin calls. Khullar views this as a temporary sell-off, presenting a potential buying opportunity.

Josh Gilbert, an eToro market analyst, supports Khullar’s perspective, suggesting that the expected Federal Reserve rate cuts could benefit crypto assets. “Crypto assets have sold off, but many investors will see an opportunity. We see Federal Reserve rate cuts, which are now likely to come sharper than expected, as hugely positive for crypto assets,” Gilbert told Coindesk.

Despite the recent volatility, crypto continues to make strides toward mainstream acceptance. Notably, Morgan Stanley will allow its advisors to offer Bitcoin ETFs starting Wednesday. This follows more than half a year after the introduction of the first Bitcoin ETF. The investment bank will enable over 15,000 of its financial advisors to sell BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. This move is seen as a significant step toward the “mainstreamization” of crypto, given the lengthy regulatory and company processes in major investment banks.

The recent crypto market downturn highlights its volatility and the broader economic concerns affecting all risk assets. While some analysts see the current situation as a temporary sell-off and a buying opportunity, others caution against the speculative nature of crypto. As the market evolves, its role as a mainstream alternative asset continues to grow, marked by increasing institutional acceptance and new investment opportunities.

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