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US jobs: Slowdown growth revives rate cut talk – BBC.com

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Slowdown in US job growth revives rate cut talk

Job growth in the US cooled last month and the unemployment rate ticked higher, in a sign that some of the heat may be coming out of the world’s largest economy.

Employers added 175,000 positions in April, while the jobless rate rose from 3.8% in March to 3.9%, the Labor Department said.

It marked the fewest job gains since October and the first time in months that growth was weaker than analysts expected.

The US labour market has been closely watched for signs of slowdown, as borrowing costs hover at two-decade highs.

Analysts said the report could bolster the case for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this year.

“At last there is evidence of some weakness in the US jobs market. Rate cuts will move back up the agenda as a result and there is little doubt that markets will take this as good news,” said Neil Birrell, Chief Investment Officer at Premier Miton Investors.

“While we shouldn’t make too much of single data prints, this could be the start of a positive trend for the Fed,” he added.

The Federal Reserve sharply increased interest rates starting in 2022, hoping to cool the economy and ease the pressures that were pushing up prices at the fatest pace in decades.

Analysts had been expecting the US central bank to cut rates this year, as inflation, which measures the pace of price rises, cooled.

But at 3.5% in March, it has remained above the bank’s 2% target, raising doubts about the timing of such moves.

An unexpectedly robust jobs market, which has bolstered consumer spending – and the wider economy – has added to those questions.

At the same time, it has raised hopes that the US will be able to avoid a painful economic downturn of the kind that has often historically accompanied a spike in borrowing costs.

Shares in the US opened higher after the latest jobs figures from the Labor Department.

Satyam Panday, chief US economist at the credit rating agency S&P Global Ratings, said the signs of a hiring slowdown were expected and should help cool inflation, without being so severe as to raise concerns about a recession.

“I would call it a decent jobs report but not too hot, so the Federal Reserve really likes this,” he said, adding that he expected the Fed would be ready to cut rates by “perhaps by sometime in the fall or maybe December.”

The pace of job growth in April remained relatively resilient, if slower than previous months.

Employers added 315,000 positions in March and 236,000 in February. That was about 22,000 fewer than previously estimated, the Labor Department said.

In April, most sectors added workers, with health care firms driving the gains, according to the report.

Average hourly earnings rose 3.9% over the 12 months to April, a slower pace from the previous month, the Labor Department said.

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Netflix’s subscriber growth slows as gains from password-sharing crackdown subside

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Netflix on Thursday reported that its subscriber growth slowed dramatically during the summer, a sign the huge gains from the video-streaming service’s crackdown on freeloading viewers is tapering off.

The 5.1 million subscribers that Netflix added during the July-September period represented a 42% decline from the total gained during the same time last year. Even so, the company’s revenue and profit rose at a faster pace than analysts had projected, according to FactSet Research.

Netflix ended September with 282.7 million worldwide subscribers — far more than any other streaming service.

The Los Gatos, California, company earned $2.36 billion, or $5.40 per share, a 41% increase from the same time last year. Revenue climbed 15% from a year ago to $9.82 billion. Netflix management predicted the company’s revenue will rise at the same 15% year-over-year pace during the October-December period, slightly than better than analysts have been expecting.

The strong financial performance in the past quarter coupled with the upbeat forecast eclipsed any worries about slowing subscriber growth. Netflix’s stock price surged nearly 4% in extended trading after the numbers came out, building upon a more than 40% increase in the company’s shares so far this year.

The past quarter’s subscriber gains were the lowest posted in any three-month period since the beginning of last year. That drop-off indicates Netflix is shifting to a new phase after reaping the benefits from a ban on the once-rampant practice of sharing account passwords that enabled an estimated 100 million people watch its popular service without paying for it.

The crackdown, triggered by a rare loss of subscribers coming out of the pandemic in 2022, helped Netflix add 57 million subscribers from June 2022 through this June — an average of more than 7 million per quarter, while many of its industry rivals have been struggling as households curbed their discretionary spending.

Netflix’s gains also were propelled by a low-priced version of its service that included commercials for the first time in its history. The company still is only getting a small fraction of its revenue from the 2-year-old advertising push, but Netflix is intensifying its focus on that segment of its business to help boost its profits.

In a letter to shareholder, Netflix reiterated previous cautionary notes about its expansion into advertising, though the low-priced option including commercials has become its fastest growing segment.

“We have much more work to do improving our offering for advertisers, which will be a priority over the next few years,” Netflix management wrote in the letter.

As part of its evolution, Netflix has been increasingly supplementing its lineup of scripted TV series and movies with live programming, such as a Labor Day spectacle featuring renowned glutton Joey Chestnut setting a world record for gorging on hot dogs in a showdown with his longtime nemesis Takeru Kobayashi.

Netflix will be trying to attract more viewer during the current quarter with a Nov. 15 fight pitting former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson against Jake Paul, a YouTube sensation turned boxer, and two National Football League games on Christmas Day.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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