US real estate market will be 'very ugly' next year, Howard Lutnick warns | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Real eState

US real estate market will be ‘very ugly’ next year, Howard Lutnick warns

Published

 on

The CEO of a top financial services firm is sounding the alarm over a “very ugly” real estate market in the next two years.

Speaking to FOX Business host Maria Bartiromo at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick said a “generational” shift was on the horizon, warning of a massive default in loan sales.

 

A foreclosure sign sits in front of a home on a hillside in San Clemente, California, on Aug. 25, 2010.

“I think $700 billion could default… The lenders are going to have to do things with them. They’re going to be selling. It’s going to be a generational change in real estate coming, end of 2024 and all of 2025. We will be talking about real estate being just a massive change, $700 billion to $1 trillion in defaults coming,” Lutnick stressed.

“I think it’s going to be a very, very ugly market in owning real estate over the next, you know, 18 months, two years,” he added.

He explained that high rates would result in commercial loans being “wiped out.”

“I think what’s going to happen is loan sales, which no one talks about, are going to become a huge business. Because when mortgages on commercial buildings come to a trillion coming due in the next two and a half years at these high rates, you’re not going to get proceeds. Meaning when you have $120 million loan on a building and somebody says, ‘I’ll give you $90 million at a much higher rate,’ you throw the keys back to the lenders… Real estate equity rates are going to be in trouble,” he said.

The CEO also revealed his candid assessment of the markets, warning that people are “overly optimistic” about the Federal Reserve and the future of rate hikes.

“I think rates are going to stay sort of steady Eddie. I think all this talk of 175 basis point cuts, that’s just way too much. Way too much. I think [it] could be 50 basis points, maybe 75. But that’s it. So I just think it’s overdone. People are overly optimistic for rates. I think we’re going to stay around here. But that’s okay. The world is ready for steady,” Lutnick said.

Original article source: US real estate market will be ‘very ugly’ next year, Howard Lutnick warns

 

Source link

Continue Reading

Real eState

Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Real eState

National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

Published

 on

 

OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Real eState

Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

Published

 on

 

MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version