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Vancouver Detached Real Estate Sees More Sales Than New Listings… Prices Still Drop – Better Dwelling

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Greater Vancouver detached real estate buyers are jumping back into the market. Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) data shows a big increase in sales for December. The increase in sales was accompanied by fewer homes for sale – but prices are still lower.

Vancouver Detached Real Estate Prices Are Still Falling

Greater Vancouver detached real estate prices are still falling. REBGV reported the detached benchmark, a.k.a. typical home, price fell to $1,423,500 in December, down 4.0% from the same month last year. In the city, Vancouver East prices fell to $1,390,100, down 3.1% over the same period. Vancouver West fell to $2,588,900, down 6.7% from a year before. These are hefty drops from a year ago, but there are some signs of stabilization.

Greater Vancouver Detached Benchmark Price

The price of a typical detached home across the Greater Vancouver Real Estate Board, in Canadian dollars.

Source: REBGV, Better Dwelling.

The rate of price growth, or declines in this case, are showing some signs of improvement. The 12-month decline in December is the smallest since September 2018. The detached benchmark is at the same level it was six months ago. Losses are getting smaller, but there are losses.

Greater Vancouver Detached Benchmark Percent Change

The 12 month percent change of a typical detached home across the Greater Vancouver Real Estate Board.

Source: REBGV, Better Dwelling.

Vancouver Detached Real Estate Sales Are Back To Normal

Greater Vancouver detached real estate sales made a big increase from last year. REBGV reported 599 sales in December, down 27.39% from the month before. Compared to last year, sales were 72.1% higher. That sounds like a big jump, but last year was close to historic lows for the month. A reality check shows this past December was still 2.76% lower than the 5-year median sales volumes for the month.

Greater Vancouver Detached December Sales

The number of detached homes sold in the month of December, across Greater Vancouver.

Source: REBGV, Better Dwelling.

Vancouver Detached Inventory Is Only 2% Below Typical

Greater Vancouver saw fewer people listing their home for sale last month. REBGV saw 522 new detached listings in December, down 50.52% from the month before. Compared to last year, this number was just 2.61% lower though. The monthly drop was significant, however, the annual decline wasn’t huge considering the volume.

Greater Vancouver Detached Sales Vs. New Listings

The total number of detached sales, compared to the number of new detached listings per month.

Source: REBGV, Better Dwelling.

Fewer new listings and improved sales helped bring down total inventory though. REBGV had 3,941 active detached listings in December, down 17.65% from the month before. Compared to last year, this is a 19.59% drop. Big decline from last year, but only 2.74% lower than the 5-year median number of listings for December.

The same trend of fewer listings and more sales, might be pointing to some firmer footing for prices. The sales to active listings ratio (SALR) reached 15.2% in December, up 114.08% from last year. Generally speaking, the industry expects prices to rise when the SALR is above 20%. When it falls below 12%, the industry expects prices to fall. Between 12% and 20%, and the market is priced just right. The market is currently in the balanced area, so if it stays here – expect some price stabilization.

Greater Vancouver’s detached real estate market is seeing more sales, and fewer listings – but prices are still dropping. The rise in sales and drop in listings isn’t the big news it seems when looked at a longer context. Both sales and listings are closer to historically typical levels for December. Of course, these typical numbers are reached with buyers delayed by B-20 guidelines – so it’s tough to say if this is truly a return to normal.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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