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Victoria's economy is bouncing back big time – Western Investor

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Victoria’s economy appears to be rebounding well from two years of economic turmoil due to the pandemic. New figures released this week show the pace of commerce is building, the numbers of people downtown are growing and visitors have returned.

“This particular group of numbers showed a healthy return to good retail sales, very good restaurant sales, hotels are full and people are investing in downtown,” said Jeff Bray, executive director of the Downtown Victoria Business Association. “And from our perspective these numbers were collected in advance of tourism season and in advance of a bulk of the office workers returning to the office.”

Bray said this kind of response bodes well for what the city can expect in the summer and fall.

“The trend lines all look healthy,” he said.

The city’s latest economic recovery report noted there were 314,730 more pedestrian trips downtown and nearly 45,000 more on-street parking transactions recorded by the end of March compared with the first quarter of 2021.

At the same time the city issued 7,623 business licences in the first quarter of this year — the vast majority renewed in January — compared with 7,187 at the same time last year while fielding 134 building permit applications, a slight drop from the 139 building permit applications in the first quarter of 2021.

The value of new residential and commercial building permits topped a record $168.3 million in the first quarter this year, up over 57 per cent from 2021 and well ahead of the $64 million booked in 2019.

“The first three months of the year bounced back in a big way as the city emerged from the dark days of Omicron,” said Mayor Lisa Helps.

“These numbers tell the story of our ongoing recovery as more workers return to downtown, the visitor economy revs up, and investor confidence in construction shows no sign of abating. There is still some way to go yet before we are back to where we were before the pandemic, but all signs point to better times ahead for local businesses.”

Bray said the numbers match the stories he has been hearing from downtown merchants and business owners.

He said businesses are no longer hurting for customers but are definitely short of staff and have managed to handle the new reality of a disrupted supply chain.

“That varies from sector to sector, but it has stabilized,” he said.

“Businesses have found a broader range of distributors, but it’s still a challenge. In many cases there’s inventory and they’ve got it on order, but it’s sitting in a container somewhere.”

Bray said the spring of 2022 feels different from last year, with fewer dark clouds hanging over people. “People are optimistic, they are just hopping busy, quite frankly,” he said. “So I think what independent businesses have probably done is built in a sort of hope-for-the-best-plan-for-the-worst approach.

Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce chief executive Bruce Williams said the region has roared back and is in a good position to really take flight.

“Indicators make it clear that people can’t wait to get back to our vibrant downtown and enjoy all the amazing experiences our businesses provide,” he said.

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Economy

Tentative deal reached in Metro Vancouver grain strike, federal minister says

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VANCOUVER – Canada’s labour minister says striking grain terminal workers in Metro Vancouver and their employers have reached a tentative labour deal.

Steven MacKinnon announced the agreement between Grain Workers Union Local 333 and the Vancouver Terminal Elevators’ Association in a post on social media platform X, but provided no other details.

The union confirmed the tentative deal in a statement on Facebook, saying its members will conduct the ratification vote by Oct. 4.

The notification from the union also says picket lines were to be removed Saturday and members will return to work pending ratification, ending the strike that had paralyzed grain shipments from Metro Vancouver’s port.

The dispute had previously led to picket lines going up at six Metro Vancouver grain terminals on Tuesday as about 600 workers went on strike.

Canadian grain producers had urged a resolution in the dispute, noting about 52 per cent of the country’s grains moved through Metro Vancouver terminals last year en route to being exported.

Farmers say the strike, happening during crop harvesting, would result in as much as $35 million per day in lost exports.

The Western Grain Elevator Association said on Friday that talks had stalled after two days of negotiations this week, with the employer saying it had increased its offers to settle “outstanding issues.”

The employers group had said they’ve reached the end of their “financial ability to conclude an agreement that industry can absorb” with the last offer, and it was up to the federally appointed mediator to report the results to MacKinnon for the next steps.

MacKinnon says in his tweet that both parties put in “the work necessary to get a deal done.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 28, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite down Friday, U.S. markets mixed as Dow notches another high

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index dipped lower Friday despite strength in energy stocks, while U.S. markets were mixed as the Dow eked out another record but tech stocks dragged.

The mood Friday was mixed after a strong week for equities in both Canada and the U.S., said Andrew Buntain, vice-president and portfolio manager at Fiduciary Trust Canada.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed down 77.01 points at 23,956.82, one day after it . It closed over 24,000 for the first time on Thursday.

The strength this past week wasn’t just in North American markets, noted Buntain, as Chinese stocks enjoyed a rally after the country’s central banks announced a suite of measures intended to boost the economy.

Meanwhile, an undercurrent of broadening strength continued this week as investors spread out their interest beyond a narrow set of tech giants, said Buntain.

“Some of the sectors that have been ignored for several years have been some of the better performers this year,” he said.

“We’re very encouraged by that.”

In New York on Friday, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 137.89 points at 42,313. The S&P 500 index was down 7.20 points at 5,738.17 after setting an all-time high on Thursday, while the Nasdaq composite was down 70.70 points at 18,119.59.

A report Friday on one of the U.S. central bank’s preferred measures of inflation — the personal consumption expenditures price index — showed continued cooling.

The Federal Reserve started lowering its key interest rate last week, and is expected to keep going this fall and into 2025.

However, the Fed’s next interest rate decision isn’t until November, noted Buntain, so there’s plenty of data for the central bank to take in yet — including next week’s labour report.

The job market has been an increasingly key focus for the central bank after recent reports showed cooling in that area of the economy. Friday’s report also showed consumer spending in August didn’t meet economists’ expectations.

In Canada, where the Bank of Canada is set for its next rate decision later in October, Friday brought a GDP report that was a little stronger than expected, said Buntain.

“The Bank of Canada has already delivered three cuts and signalled maybe some further reductions,” he said.

If inflation continues to move lower, Buntain added, the Bank of Canada could even announce an outsized half-percentage-point cut, echoing the Fed’s move last week.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.08 cents US compared with 74.22 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was up 51 cents at US$68.18 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was up 15 cents at US$2.90 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$26.80 at US$2,668.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.60 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 27, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

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Statistics Canada reports real GDP grew 0.2% in July

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says real gross domestic product grew 0.2 per cent in July, following essentially no change in June, helped by strength in the retail trade sector.

The agency says the growth came as services-producing industries grew 0.2 per cent for the month.

The retail trade sector was the largest contributor to overall growth in July as it gained one per cent, helped by the motor vehicles and parts dealers subsector which gained 2.8 per cent.

The public sector aggregate, which includes the educational services, health care and social assistance, and public administration sectors, gained 0.3 per cent, while the finance and insurance sector rose 0.5 per cent.

Meanwhile, goods-producing industries gained 0.1 per cent in July as the utilities sector rose 1.3 per cent and the manufacturing sector grew 0.3 per cent.

Statistics Canada’s early estimate for August suggests real GDP for the month was essentially unchanged, as increases in oil and gas extraction and the public sector were offset by decreases in manufacturing and transportation and warehousing.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 27, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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