By the end of 2023, the world economy is expected to have a gross domestic product (GDP) of $105 trillion, or $5 trillion higher than the year before, according to the latest International Monetary Fund (IMF) projections from its 2023 World Economic Outlook report.
In nominal terms, that’s a 5.3% increase in global GDP. In inflation-adjusted terms, that would be a 2.8% increase.
ℹ️ Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of economic output—goods and services—produced within a given time frame by both the private and public sectors. All numbers used in this article, unless otherwise specified, are nominal figures, and do not account for inflation.
The year started with turmoil for the global economy, with financial markets rocked by the collapse of several mid-sized U.S. banks alongside persistent inflation and tightening monetary conditions in most countries. Nevertheless, some economies have proven to be resilient, and are expected to register growth from 2022.
Ranking Countries by Economic Size in 2023
The U.S. is expected to continue being the biggest economy in 2023 with a projected GDP of $26.9 trillion for the year. This is more than the sum of the GDPs of 174 countries ranked from Indonesia (17th) to Tuvalu (191st).
China stays steady at second place with a projected $19.4 trillion GDP in 2023. Most of the top-five economies remain in the same positions from 2022, with one notable exception.
India is expected to climb past the UK to become the fifth-largest economy with a projected 2023 GDP of $3.7 trillion.
Here’s a look at the size of every country’s economy in 2023, according to IMF’s estimates.
Rank
Country
GDP (USD)
% of Total
1
???????? U.S.
$26,855B
25.54%
2
???????? China
$19,374B
18.43%
3
???????? Japan
$4,410B
4.19%
4
???????? Germany
$4,309B
4.10%
5
???????? India
$3,737B
3.55%
6
???????? UK
$3,159B
3.00%
7
???????? France
$2,923B
2.78%
8
???????? Italy
$2,170B
2.06%
9
???????? Canada
$2,090B
1.99%
10
???????? Brazil
$2,081B
1.98%
11
???????? Russia
$2,063B
1.96%
12
???????? South Korea
$1,722B
1.64%
13
???????? Australia
$1,708B
1.62%
14
???????? Mexico
$1,663B
1.58%
15
???????? Spain
$1,492B
1.42%
16
???????? Indonesia
$1,392B
1.32%
17
???????? Netherlands
$1,081B
1.03%
18
???????? Saudi Arabia
$1,062B
1.01%
19
???????? Türkiye
$1,029B
0.98%
20
???????? Switzerland
$870B
0.83%
21
???????? Taiwan
$791B
0.75%
22
???????? Poland
$749B
0.71%
23
???????? Argentina
$641B
0.61%
24
???????? Belgium
$624B
0.59%
25
???????? Sweden
$599B
0.57%
26
???????? Ireland
$594B
0.57%
27
???????? Thailand
$574B
0.55%
28
???????? Norway
$554B
0.53%
29
???????? Israel
$539B
0.51%
30
???????? Singapore
$516B
0.49%
31
???????? Austria
$515B
0.49%
32
???????? Nigeria
$507B
0.48%
33
???????? UAE
$499B
0.47%
34
???????? Vietnam
$449B
0.43%
35
???????? Malaysia
$447B
0.43%
36
???????? Philippines
$441B
0.42%
37
???????? Bangladesh
$421B
0.40%
38
???????? Denmark
$406B
0.39%
39
???????? South Africa
$399B
0.38%
40
???????? Egypt
$387B
0.37%
41
???????? Hong Kong
$383B
0.36%
42
???????? Iran
$368B
0.35%
43
???????? Chile
$359B
0.34%
44
???????? Romania
$349B
0.33%
45
???????? Colombia
$335B
0.32%
46
???????? Czech Republic
$330B
0.31%
47
???????? Finland
$302B
0.29%
48
???????? Peru
$268B
0.26%
49
???????? Iraq
$268B
0.25%
50
???????? Portugal
$268B
0.25%
51
???????? New Zealand
$252B
0.24%
52
???????? Kazakhstan
$246B
0.23%
53
???????? Greece
$239B
0.23%
54
???????? Qatar
$220B
0.21%
55
???????? Algeria
$206B
0.20%
56
???????? Hungary
$189B
0.18%
57
???????? Kuwait
$165B
0.16%
58
???????? Ethiopia
$156B
0.15%
59
???????? Ukraine
$149B
0.14%
60
???????? Morocco
$139B
0.13%
61
???????? Slovak
Republic
$128B
0.12%
62
???????? Ecuador
$121B
0.12%
63
???????? Dominican
Republic
$121B
0.12%
64
???????? Puerto Rico
$121B
0.11%
65
???????? Kenya
$118B
0.11%
66
???????? Angola
$118B
0.11%
67
???????? Oman
$105B
0.10%
68
???????? Guatemala
$102B
0.10%
69
???????? Bulgaria
$101B
0.10%
70
???????? Venezuela
$97B
0.09%
71
???????? Uzbekistan
$92B
0.09%
72
???????? Luxembourg
$87B
0.08%
73
???????? Tanzania
$85B
0.08%
74
???????? Turkmenistan
$83B
0.08%
75
???????? Croatia
$79B
0.08%
76
???????? Lithuania
$78B
0.07%
77
???????? Costa Rica
$78B
0.07%
78
???????? Uruguay
$77B
0.07%
79
???????? Panama
$77B
0.07%
80
???????? Côte d’Ivoire
$77B
0.07%
81
???????? Serbia
$74B
0.07%
82
???????? Belarus
$74B
0.07%
83
???????? Azerbaijan
$70B
0.07%
84
???????? DRC
$69B
0.07%
85
???????? Slovenia
$68B
0.06%
86
???????? Ghana
$67B
0.06%
87
???????? Myanmar
$64B
0.06%
88
???????? Jordan
$52B
0.05%
89
???????? Tunisia
$50B
0.05%
90
???????? Uganda
$50B
0.05%
91
???????? Cameroon
$49B
0.05%
92
???????? Latvia
$47B
0.05%
93
???????? Sudan
$47B
0.04%
94
???????? Libya
$46B
0.04%
95
???????? Bolivia
$46B
0.04%
96
???????? Bahrain
$45B
0.04%
97
???????? Paraguay
$43B
0.04%
98
???????? Nepal
$42B
0.04%
99
???????? Estonia
$42B
0.04%
100
???????? Macao
$36B
0.03%
101
???????? Honduras
$34B
0.03%
102
???????? El Salvador
$34B
0.03%
103
???????? Papua
New Guinea
$33B
0.03%
104
???????? Senegal
$31B
0.03%
105
???????? Cyprus
$31B
0.03%
106
???????? Cambodia
$31B
0.03%
107
???????? Zimbabwe
$30B
0.03%
108
???????? Zambia
$29B
0.03%
109
???????? Iceland
$29B
0.03%
110
???????? Bosnia &
Herzegovina
$28B
0.03%
111
???????? Trinidad
& Tobago
$28B
0.03%
112
???????? Georgia
$28B
0.03%
113
???????? Haiti
$27B
0.03%
114
???????? Armenia
$24B
0.02%
115
???????? Guinea
$23B
0.02%
116
???????? Burkina Faso
$21B
0.02%
117
???????? Mali
$21B
0.02%
118
???????? Gabon
$20B
0.02%
119
???????? Albania
$20B
0.02%
120
???????? Mozambique
$20B
0.02%
121
???????? Botswana
$20B
0.02%
122
???????? Yemen
$20B
0.02%
123
???????? Malta
$19B
0.02%
124
???????? Benin
$19B
0.02%
125
???????? West Bank
& Gaza
$19B
0.02%
126
???????? Nicaragua
$17B
0.02%
127
???????? Jamaica
$17B
0.02%
128
???????? Mongolia
$17B
0.02%
129
???????? Niger
$17B
0.02%
130
???????? Guyana
$16B
0.02%
131
???????? Madagascar
$16B
0.02%
132
???????? Moldova
$16B
0.02%
133
???????? Brunei Darussalam
$16B
0.01%
134
???????? North Macedonia
$15B
0.01%
135
???????? Equatorial Guinea
$15B
0.01%
136
???????? Mauritius
$15B
0.01%
137
???????? Bahamas
$14B
0.01%
138
???????? Laos
$14B
0.01%
139
???????? Namibia
$13B
0.01%
140
???????? Rwanda
$13B
0.01%
141
???????? Congo
$13B
0.01%
142
???????? Tajikistan
$13B
0.01%
143
???????? Kyrgyz Republic
$12B
0.01%
144
???????? Chad
$12B
0.01%
145
???????? Malawi
$11B
0.01%
146
???????? Mauritania
$11B
0.01%
147
???????? Kosovo
$10B
0.01%
148
???????? Togo
$9B
0.01%
149
???????? Somalia
$9B
0.01%
150
???????? Montenegro
$7B
0.01%
151
???????? South Sudan
$7B
0.01%
152
???????? Maldives
$7B
0.01%
153
???????? Barbados
$6B
0.01%
154
???????? Fiji
$5B
0.01%
155
???????? Eswatini
$5B
0.00%
156
???????? Liberia
$4B
0.00%
157
???????? Djibouti
$4B
0.00%
158
???????? Andorra
$4B
0.00%
159
???????? Aruba
$4B
0.00%
160
???????? Sierra Leone
$4B
0.00%
161
???????? Suriname
$3B
0.00%
162
???????? Burundi
$3B
0.00%
163
???????? Belize
$3B
0.00%
164
???????? Central
African Republic
$3B
0.00%
165
???????? Bhutan
$3B
0.00%
166
???????? Eritrea
$3B
0.00%
167
???????? Lesotho
$3B
0.00%
168
???????? Cabo Verde
$2B
0.00%
169
???????? Gambia
$2B
0.00%
170
???????? Saint Lucia
$2B
0.00%
171
???????? East Timor
$2B
0.00%
172
???????? Seychelles
$2B
0.00%
173
???????? Guinea-Bissau
$2B
0.00%
174
???????? Antigua & Barbuda
$2B
0.00%
175
???????? San Marino
$2B
0.00%
176
???????? Solomon Islands
$2B
0.00%
177
???????? Comoros
$1B
0.00%
178
???????? Grenada
$1B
0.00%
179
???????? Vanuatu
$1B
0.00%
180
???????? Saint Kitts
& Nevis
$1B
0.00%
181
???????? Saint Vincent
& the Grenadines
$1B
0.00%
182
???????? Samoa
$1B
0.00%
183
???????? Dominica
$1B
0.00%
184
???????? São Tomé
& Príncipe
$1B
0.00%
185
???????? Tonga
$1B
0.00%
186
???????? Micronesia
$0.5B
0.00%
187
???????? Marshall Islands
$0.3B
0.00%
188
???????? Palau
$0.3B
0.00%
189
???????? Kiribati
$0.2B
0.00%
190
???????? Nauru
$0.2B
0.00%
191
???????? Tuvalu
$0.1B
0.00%
Note: Projections for Afghanistan, Lebanon, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Syria are missing from IMF’s database for 2023.
Here are the largest economies for each region of the world.
Africa: Nigeria ($506.6 billion)
Asia: China ($19.4 trillion)
Europe: Germany ($4.3 trillion)
Middle East: Saudi Arabia ($1.1 trillion)
North & Central America: U.S. ($26.9 trillion)
Oceania: Australia ($1.7 trillion)
South America: Brazil ($2.1 trillion)
Ranked: 2023’s Shrinking Economies
In fact, 29 economies are projected to shrink from their 2022 sizes, leading to nearly $500 billion in lost output.
Russia will see the biggest decline, with a projected $150 billion contraction this year. This is equal to about one-third of total decline of all 29 countries with shrinking economies.
Egypt (-$88 billion) and Canada (-$50 billion) combined make up another one-third of lost output.
In Egypt’s case, the drop can be partly explained by the country’s currency (Egyptian pound), which has dropped in value against the U.S. dollar by about 50% since mid-2022.
Russia and Canada are some of the world’s largest oil producers and the oil price has fallen since 2022. A further complication for Russia is that the country has been forced to sell oil at a steep discount because of Western sanctions.
Here are the projected changes in GDP for all countries facing year-over-year declines:
Country
Region
2022–23 Change (USD)
2022–23 Change (%)
???????? Russia
Europe
-$152.65B
-6.9%
???????? Egypt
Africa
-$88.12B
-18.5%
???????? Canada
North America
-$50.17B
-2.3%
???????? Saudi Arabia
Middle East
-$46.25B
-4.2%
???????? Bangladesh
Asia
-$39.69B
-8.6%
???????? Norway
Europe
-$25.16B
-4.3%
???????? Kuwait
Middle East
-$19.85B
-10.8%
???????? Oman
Middle East
-$9.77B
-8.5%
???????? Colombia
South America
-$9.25B
-2.7%
???????? UAE
Middle East
-$8.56B
-1.7%
???????? South Africa
Africa
-$6.69B
-1.6%
???????? Ghana
Africa
-$6.22B
-8.5%
???????? Qatar
Middle East
-$5.91B
-2.6%
???????? Angola
Africa
-$3.54B
-2.9%
???????? Zimbabwe
Africa
-$3.09B
-9.4%
???????? Ukraine
Europe
-$2.79B
-1.8%
???????? Sudan
Africa
-$2.72B
-5.5%
???????? Iraq
Middle East
-$2.47B
-0.9%
???????? East Timor
Asia
-$1.67B
-45.7%
???????? Gabon
Africa
-$1.60B
-7.3%
???????? Equatorial Guinea
Africa
-$1.35B
-8.2%
???????? Malawi
Africa
-$1.24B
-9.9%
???????? Laos
Asia
-$1.21B
-7.9%
???????? Brunei
Asia
-$1.13B
-6.8%
???????? Yemen
Middle East
-$1.12B
-5.4%
???????? South Sudan
Africa
-$0.86B
-10.9%
???????? Burundi
Africa
-$0.66B
-16.9%
???????? Sierra Leone
Africa
-$0.42B
-10.6%
???????? Suriname
South America
-$0.05B
-1.4%
The presence of Saudi Arabia, Norway, Kuwait, and Oman in the top 10 biggest GDP contractions further highlights the potential impact on GDP for oil-producing countries, according to the IMF’s projections.
More recently, producers have been cutting supply in an effort to boost prices, but concerns of slowing global oil demand in the wake of a subdued Chinese economy (the world’s second-largest oil consumer), have kept oil prices lower than in 2022 regardless.
The Footnote on GDP Forecasts
While organizations like the IMF have gotten fairly good at GDP forecasting, it’s still worth remembering that these are projections and assumptions made at the beginning of the year that may not hold true by the end of 2023.
For example, JP Morgan has already changed their forecast for China’s 2023 real GDP growth six times in as many months after expectations of broad-based pandemic-recovery spending did not materialize in the country.
The key takeaway from IMF’s projections for 2023 GDP growth rests on how well countries restrict inflation without stifling growth, all amidst tense liquidity conditions.
Where Does This Data Come From?
Source: The International Monetary Fund’s Datamapper which uses projections made in the April 2023 World Economic Outlook report.
Note: Projections for Afghanistan, Lebanon, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Syria are missing from the IMF’s database. Furthermore, all figures used in the article, unless specified, are nominal GDP numbers and rates.
OTTAWA – Canada’s unemployment rate held steady at 6.5 per cent last month as hiring remained weak across the economy.
Statistics Canada’s labour force survey on Friday said employment rose by a modest 15,000 jobs in October.
Business, building and support services saw the largest gain in employment.
Meanwhile, finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing experienced the largest decline.
Many economists see weakness in the job market continuing in the short term, before the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts spark a rebound in economic growth next year.
Despite ongoing softness in the labour market, however, strong wage growth has raged on in Canada. Average hourly wages in October grew 4.9 per cent from a year ago, reaching $35.76.
Friday’s report also shed some light on the financial health of households.
According to the agency, 28.8 per cent of Canadians aged 15 or older were living in a household that had difficulty meeting financial needs – like food and housing – in the previous four weeks.
That was down from 33.1 per cent in October 2023 and 35.5 per cent in October 2022, but still above the 20.4 per cent figure recorded in October 2020.
People living in a rented home were more likely to report difficulty meeting financial needs, with nearly four in 10 reporting that was the case.
That compares with just under a quarter of those living in an owned home by a household member.
Immigrants were also more likely to report facing financial strain last month, with about four out of 10 immigrants who landed in the last year doing so.
That compares with about three in 10 more established immigrants and one in four of people born in Canada.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.
The Canadian Institute for Health Information says health-care spending in Canada is projected to reach a new high in 2024.
The annual report released Thursday says total health spending is expected to hit $372 billion, or $9,054 per Canadian.
CIHI’s national analysis predicts expenditures will rise by 5.7 per cent in 2024, compared to 4.5 per cent in 2023 and 1.7 per cent in 2022.
This year’s health spending is estimated to represent 12.4 per cent of Canada’s gross domestic product. Excluding two years of the pandemic, it would be the highest ratio in the country’s history.
While it’s not unusual for health expenditures to outpace economic growth, the report says this could be the case for the next several years due to Canada’s growing population and its aging demographic.
Canada’s per capita spending on health care in 2022 was among the highest in the world, but still less than countries such as the United States and Sweden.
The report notes that the Canadian dental and pharmacare plans could push health-care spending even further as more people who previously couldn’t afford these services start using them.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.
Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.
As Canadians wake up to news that Donald Trump will return to the White House, the president-elect’s protectionist stance is casting a spotlight on what effect his second term will have on Canada-U.S. economic ties.
Some Canadian business leaders have expressed worry over Trump’s promise to introduce a universal 10 per cent tariff on all American imports.
A Canadian Chamber of Commerce report released last month suggested those tariffs would shrink the Canadian economy, resulting in around $30 billion per year in economic costs.
More than 77 per cent of Canadian exports go to the U.S.
Canada’s manufacturing sector faces the biggest risk should Trump push forward on imposing broad tariffs, said Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters president and CEO Dennis Darby. He said the sector is the “most trade-exposed” within Canada.
“It’s in the U.S.’s best interest, it’s in our best interest, but most importantly for consumers across North America, that we’re able to trade goods, materials, ingredients, as we have under the trade agreements,” Darby said in an interview.
“It’s a more complex or complicated outcome than it would have been with the Democrats, but we’ve had to deal with this before and we’re going to do our best to deal with it again.”
American economists have also warned Trump’s plan could cause inflation and possibly a recession, which could have ripple effects in Canada.
It’s consumers who will ultimately feel the burden of any inflationary effect caused by broad tariffs, said Darby.
“A tariff tends to raise costs, and it ultimately raises prices, so that’s something that we have to be prepared for,” he said.
“It could tilt production mandates. A tariff makes goods more expensive, but on the same token, it also will make inputs for the U.S. more expensive.”
A report last month by TD economist Marc Ercolao said research shows a full-scale implementation of Trump’s tariff plan could lead to a near-five per cent reduction in Canadian export volumes to the U.S. by early-2027, relative to current baseline forecasts.
Retaliation by Canada would also increase costs for domestic producers, and push import volumes lower in the process.
“Slowing import activity mitigates some of the negative net trade impact on total GDP enough to avoid a technical recession, but still produces a period of extended stagnation through 2025 and 2026,” Ercolao said.
Since the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement came into effect in 2020, trade between Canada and the U.S. has surged by 46 per cent, according to the Toronto Region Board of Trade.
With that deal is up for review in 2026, Canadian Chamber of Commerce president and CEO Candace Laing said the Canadian government “must collaborate effectively with the Trump administration to preserve and strengthen our bilateral economic partnership.”
“With an impressive $3.6 billion in daily trade, Canada and the United States are each other’s closest international partners. The secure and efficient flow of goods and people across our border … remains essential for the economies of both countries,” she said in a statement.
“By resisting tariffs and trade barriers that will only raise prices and hurt consumers in both countries, Canada and the United States can strengthen resilient cross-border supply chains that enhance our shared economic security.”
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.