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Wall Street had its wildest week in years – CNN

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America’s economy remains strong — for now — but it’s hard to tell just how the shock might affect global supply chains, trade and ultimately economic growth.
Perhaps the most important question is one without an answer: how long will the outbreak last? Worldwide cases have surpassed 100,000 and spread to nearly 90 countries.
Amidst the onslaught of headlines on the virus this week US stocks traded so erratically that they gave investors whiplash.
The Dow (INDU) started the week with the best one-day point gain in its history — 1,294 points — as the market rebounded from losses in the prior week that were the worst since the 2008 financial crisis. That uptick didn’t last long. On Tuesday, the benchmark tumbled nearly 800 points, then rallied rallied nearly 1,200 points Wednesday. Stocks dropped again on Thursday and Friday, but ultimately finished the week higher.
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The Dow, S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq Composite (COMP) all bounced in and out of correction territory — defined as 10% below their most recent peak — throughout the week, ending Friday in correction territory.
The turmoil extended well beyond stocks.
Oil prices collapsed on Friday after major oil producing nations failed to agree on supply cuts.
Oil had already been hammered over worries that demand would drop because of reduced factory activity on the back of the outbreak. The commodity fell into a bear market last month, defined as 20% below its most recent peak. Without supply cuts in place things could get worse.
US oil prices on Friday settled 10.1% lower at $41.28, the biggest one day percentage drop since November 2014. It was the lowest close since August 2016.
The 10-year US Treasury yield dropped below 1% for the first time ever this week. Investors piled into safe haven government bonds, which pushed prices down and yields higher.
Bonds are also an expression of interest rate expectations, and fixed income investments are a traditional hedging tool when stock investments get hammered. All this contributed to the yield move.
And it didn’t stop there: the 10-year yield dropped below 0.7% on Friday, a fresh all-time low.
“The big question on every trader’s mind is when will yields stabilize,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda.
Central bank policy isn’t giving yields any reason to be higher, either. The Federal Reserve announced an emergency half-point interest rate cut on Tuesday — the first of its kind since 2008 — as central bankers around the world are loosening monetary policy as a way to combat the virus fallout.
The central bank’s action hammered home that the Fed is willing to do whatever it takes to ensure that America’s expansion continues. Yet a surprise cut of this magnitude signals that the country might be in more dire straits than initially thought. With little economic data since the virus outbreak has gotten underway, it is hard to tell.
What’s different this time is that the issues originated not in the financial markets but in the real economy, said Lee Ferridge, head of macro strategy for North America at State Street. That’s why further rate cuts might not help, he maintained.
Still, Ferridge believes the central bank could slash rates as low as zero if cases of coronavirus in the United States continue to increase.
Friday’s February jobs report showed another strong month for the US labor market, with new jobs exceeding expectations and the unemployment rate falling back to its historic low of 3.5%. But the survey report was completed before coronavirus worries gripped the United States. Economists worry about a much bleaker picture for March.
Strong economy or not, the market expects more rate cuts at the Fed’s regularly scheduled March 18 meeting. The CME’s FedWatch Tool shows a 46% chance of a further half-percentage point cut, with the remaining majority expecting a 75 percentage point decrease.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

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