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Wastewater data sends mixed signals amid dip in Boston-area COVID-19 cases – GBH News

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Anyone closely watching the wastewater data noticed a change last week: an uptick in the Northeast’s COVID-19 prevalence for the first time since late December 2021. It was up 24% over the prior week. Then, new data as of Wednesday showed the region’s numbers falling again, slightly.

It’s a mixed signal at yet another uncertain moment in the pandemic. Cases are low, but the CDC estimates the more infectious BA.2 subvariant of omicron is now dominant in the Northeast. Many experts attributed the wastewater increase to BA.2.

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And — for the first time in two years — Tufts Medical Center in Boston has no COVID patients in its ICU.

“Today is the first day since the beginning of the pandemic, specifically March 23, 2020, when we admitted our first COVID ICU patient, that we started the day with zero COVID ICU patients,” hospital epidemiologist Shira Doron said Thursday.

Doron said the recent spike in wastewater levels bears watching, but experts are not overly concerned.

“We are always going to be cautiously optimistic,” Doron said. “We are always going to be reluctant to declare the pandemic over and the worst behind us, I think forever more.”

Dr. Matthew Fox, a professor in the departments of epidemiology and global health at Boston University, says the rise in Boston’s wastewater follows a similar pattern to an rise in cases in Europe with BA.2.

“We are seeing the Boston wastewater case numbers, or the Boston wastewater projections are starting to go back up, which suggests that that’s probably driven in part by this new variant,” Fox said.

“I don’t think that’s cause for panic at the moment because, you know, we are in a much more mature stage of the epidemic than we have been previously,” Fox said, adding that “we’re starting to get to the point where future waves are not nearly as severe as prior waves.”

Even after detecting the uptick, Cambridge-based Biobot Analytics noted in a Twitter thread that the rise in wastewater still leaves the virus concentration at 3% of levels at the omicron surge’s peak.

The Massachusetts Department of Public Health uses wastewater surveillance as an early indicator of COVID-19’s prevalence in a community, usually preceding trends in case counts by several days or weeks.

Fox says the amount of virus transmission at this stage of the pandemic depends on three variables: interactions between people, steps to reduce the spread such as masking and community immunity, which is reliant on vaccines and prior infection.

Though Massachusetts has a highly vaccinated population, residents are starting to gather with one another more frequently — and Fox warns that, with a more infectious variant circulating, cases will start to go back up.

But many people who are immunocompromised or who live with chronic illnesses and disorders are afraid to let down their guard. 25-year-old Britt Dorton, who lives in Chicago and has Ehlers-Danlos Syndrome, uses her Twitter account to ask people to think of disabled people and continue to wear a mask.

“It’s such a small act,” she told GBH News, “and I don’t know what to say to anyone whose response is that they don’t care about our lives.”

Dorton works from home and rarely goes out. She said it’s important to continue to be mindful of others who are at greater risk, even if people are tired of quarantining or limiting socializing.

“It really is a matter of life or death for us,” she said.

Even with less severe variants, COVID-19 carries risks of death or long-term health impairments. Doron pointed out that the vast majority of COVID-19 cases in the United States now are omicron, which is more contagious.

“It ebbs and flows, and increases and decreases are really what we can expect for the future for an indefinite period of time, whether it’s weeks, months, years or decades,” Doron said. “It’s hard to say.”

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Whooping cough is at a decade-high level in US

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MILWAUKEE (AP) — Whooping cough is at its highest level in a decade for this time of year, U.S. health officials reported Thursday.

There have been 18,506 cases of whooping cough reported so far, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said. That’s the most at this point in the year since 2014, when cases topped 21,800.

The increase is not unexpected — whooping cough peaks every three to five years, health experts said. And the numbers indicate a return to levels before the coronavirus pandemic, when whooping cough and other contagious illnesses plummeted.

Still, the tally has some state health officials concerned, including those in Wisconsin, where there have been about 1,000 cases so far this year, compared to a total of 51 last year.

Nationwide, CDC has reported that kindergarten vaccination rates dipped last year and vaccine exemptions are at an all-time high. Thursday, it released state figures, showing that about 86% of kindergartners in Wisconsin got the whooping cough vaccine, compared to more than 92% nationally.

Whooping cough, also called pertussis, usually starts out like a cold, with a runny nose and other common symptoms, before turning into a prolonged cough. It is treated with antibiotics. Whooping cough used to be very common until a vaccine was introduced in the 1950s, which is now part of routine childhood vaccinations. It is in a shot along with tetanus and diphtheria vaccines. The combo shot is recommended for adults every 10 years.

“They used to call it the 100-day cough because it literally lasts for 100 days,” said Joyce Knestrick, a family nurse practitioner in Wheeling, West Virginia.

Whooping cough is usually seen mostly in infants and young children, who can develop serious complications. That’s why the vaccine is recommended during pregnancy, to pass along protection to the newborn, and for those who spend a lot of time with infants.

But public health workers say outbreaks this year are hitting older kids and teens. In Pennsylvania, most outbreaks have been in middle school, high school and college settings, an official said. Nearly all the cases in Douglas County, Nebraska, are schoolkids and teens, said Justin Frederick, deputy director of the health department.

That includes his own teenage daughter.

“It’s a horrible disease. She still wakes up — after being treated with her antibiotics — in a panic because she’s coughing so much she can’t breathe,” he said.

It’s important to get tested and treated with antibiotics early, said Dr. Kris Bryant, who specializes in pediatric infectious diseases at Norton Children’s in Louisville, Kentucky. People exposed to the bacteria can also take antibiotics to stop the spread.

“Pertussis is worth preventing,” Bryant said. “The good news is that we have safe and effective vaccines.”

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AP data journalist Kasturi Pananjady contributed to this report.

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The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Scientists show how sperm and egg come together like a key in a lock

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How a sperm and egg fuse together has long been a mystery.

New research by scientists in Austria provides tantalizing clues, showing fertilization works like a lock and key across the animal kingdom, from fish to people.

“We discovered this mechanism that’s really fundamental across all vertebrates as far as we can tell,” said co-author Andrea Pauli at the Research Institute of Molecular Pathology in Vienna.

The team found that three proteins on the sperm join to form a sort of key that unlocks the egg, allowing the sperm to attach. Their findings, drawn from studies in zebrafish, mice, and human cells, show how this process has persisted over millions of years of evolution. Results were published Thursday in the journal Cell.

Scientists had previously known about two proteins, one on the surface of the sperm and another on the egg’s membrane. Working with international collaborators, Pauli’s lab used Google DeepMind’s artificial intelligence tool AlphaFold — whose developers were awarded a Nobel Prize earlier this month — to help them identify a new protein that allows the first molecular connection between sperm and egg. They also demonstrated how it functions in living things.

It wasn’t previously known how the proteins “worked together as a team in order to allow sperm and egg to recognize each other,” Pauli said.

Scientists still don’t know how the sperm actually gets inside the egg after it attaches and hope to delve into that next.

Eventually, Pauli said, such work could help other scientists understand infertility better or develop new birth control methods.

The work provides targets for the development of male contraceptives in particular, said David Greenstein, a genetics and cell biology expert at the University of Minnesota who was not involved in the study.

The latest study “also underscores the importance of this year’s Nobel Prize in chemistry,” he said in an email.

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The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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