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We must regulate newer forms of investing at the very earliest – Mint

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In an answer to a question recently raised in the Rajya Sabha, the government said that it had no idea about the “the number of cryptocurrency exchanges operational in the country and the number of investors linked to the same,” because it doesn’t collect this information. Industry estimates put the number of crypto investors at around 15 million.

In comparison, as of May, the total number of demat accounts for share trading in India stood at close to 60 million. Demat accounts have been around for close to a quarter of a century. Clearly, the number of crypto investors in India has risen by leaps and bounds.

This is helped by the fact that crypto exchanges are financed by a huge amount of venture capital investment, allowing them to massively advertise the ease with which such investment can be carried out digitally. The Tokyo Olympics coverage, the World Test Cricket Championship and the India-England Test Series, which is currently underway, have had a large number of such advertisements.

While almost all these advertisements talk about the ease of investment and the fact that money could be made sitting at home, none of them do enough to explain the financial risk involved. Their disclaimers, if any, are either in extremely small fonts barely visible to the human eye or scarcely audible in a two-second sound bite at the end of their advertisements.

Cryptocurrency prices move up and down rapidly, making them a very risky form of investing. When an investor makes money, it might seem very easy, but that money can be lost as quickly as it has been made. Cryptocurrency ads don’t do much to explain this risk.

And not just cryptocurrencies, the rise of the digital medium has thrown up all kinds of other investment opportunities. Retail investors can now trade foreign exchange at home. Those who understand foreign exchange would know that the value of currencies moves very little against that of others on any given day. The only way an investor can drive up returns is by leveraging the investment. While leverage pushes up returns, it can also lead to bigger losses if the trade goes against the investor. Such intricacies are unknown to retail investors who are jumping on to such new vehicles for the first time.

Further, money can be made online by playing card games like rummy as well. In fact, many such online card games are advertised by out-of-work film and TV actors. Then there are many websites which operate on the borderline of being games of skill or chance (and thus gambling platforms). Many cricketers advertise such games.

There is also the case of stock market influencers who recommend specific stocks and initial public offers (IPOs) on their YouTube channels. They have deals signed up with stock brokerages, in some cases even with brokerages that claim not to advertise, and aren’t always clear about whether the influence they exercise is paid for by an advertiser. In fact, if such influencers were to declare upfront that they are being paid to make a specific recommendation, their business model would probably collapse.

The point here is that the rise of cheap smartphone-enabled internet access, combined with the work-from- home dynamic of the covid pandemic, has led to a massive increase in what could be categorized as new forms of investing, especially at the retail level. It has also led to an increase in the financial risk that these investors are taking on. This wouldn’t have been a problem if investors knew what they are getting into, but most don’t.

As Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein write in Nudge: The Final Edition: “Much of the time, more money can be made by catering to human frailties than by helping people to avoid them…Markets provide strong incentives for firms to cater to the demands of consumers, and firms will compete to meet those demands, whether or not those demands represent the wisest choices.” This is precisely what companies offering these newer forms of investing are doing.

Typically, one would expect them to self-regulate and offer adequate disclosures while advertising, thereby putting out messages the appropriate way. But as many financial crises over the years tell us, self-regulation and the financial services industry rarely go together. This is why financial services remain heavily regulated.

When it comes to these newer forms of investing, Indian regulators like the Reserve Bank of India and Securities and Exchange Board of India have clearly been caught napping. One reason for this is the fact that these newer forms are primarily in the digital domain, which operates 24/7, and hence policing it is difficult.

Given that the first generation of kids who have been using smartphones for at least a decade are now turning into adults, and knowing their facility with technology, they will be more inclined to invest in these newer options than go the traditional way. Hence, it’s important that Indian regulators start putting rules in place, starting with an insistence on adequate disclosure of risk when such firms advertise.

At least the cryptocurrency bill is reportedly ready and awaiting the Union cabinet’s approval.

Vivek Kaul is the author of ‘Bad Money’.

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Economy

Energy stocks help lift S&P/TSX composite, U.S. stock markets also up

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was higher in late-morning trading, helped by strength in energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also moved up.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 34.91 points at 23,736.98.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 178.05 points at 41,800.13. The S&P 500 index was up 28.38 points at 5,661.47, while the Nasdaq composite was up 133.17 points at 17,725.30.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.56 cents US compared with 73.57 cents US on Monday.

The November crude oil contract was up 68 cents at US$69.70 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up three cents at US$2.40 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$7.80 at US$2,601.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.28 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

S&P/TSX gains almost 100 points, U.S. markets also higher ahead of rate decision

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TORONTO – Strength in the base metal and technology sectors helped Canada’s main stock index gain almost 100 points on Friday, while U.S. stock markets climbed to their best week of the year.

“It’s been almost a complete opposite or retracement of what we saw last week,” said Philip Petursson, chief investment strategist at IG Wealth Management.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 297.01 points at 41,393.78. The S&P 500 index was up 30.26 points at 5,626.02, while the Nasdaq composite was up 114.30 points at 17,683.98.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 93.51 points at 23,568.65.

While last week saw a “healthy” pullback on weaker economic data, this week investors appeared to be buying the dip and hoping the central bank “comes to the rescue,” said Petursson.

Next week, the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut its key interest rate for the first time in several years after it significantly hiked it to fight inflation.

But the magnitude of that first cut has been the subject of debate, and the market appears split on whether the cut will be a quarter of a percentage point or a larger half-point reduction.

Petursson thinks it’s clear the smaller cut is coming. Economic data recently hasn’t been great, but it hasn’t been that bad either, he said — and inflation may have come down significantly, but it’s not defeated just yet.

“I think they’re going to be very steady,” he said, with one small cut at each of their three decisions scheduled for the rest of 2024, and more into 2025.

“I don’t think there’s a sense of urgency on the part of the Fed that they have to do something immediately.

A larger cut could also send the wrong message to the markets, added Petursson: that the Fed made a mistake in waiting this long to cut, or that it’s seeing concerning signs in the economy.

It would also be “counter to what they’ve signaled,” he said.

More important than the cut — other than the new tone it sets — will be what Fed chair Jerome Powell has to say, according to Petursson.

“That’s going to be more important than the size of the cut itself,” he said.

In Canada, where the central bank has already cut three times, Petursson expects two more before the year is through.

“Here, the labour situation is worse than what we see in the United States,” he said.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.61 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down 32 cents at US$68.65 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down five cents at US$2.31 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$30.10 at US$2,610.70 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents US$4.24 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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