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What every Canadian investor needs to know today

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Canada’s main stock index opened higher Friday with improved crude prices supporting energy shares. On Wall Street, key indexes were also positive in early trading as investors weigh the hawkish tone of comments from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell and look ahead to fresh inflation data next week.

At 9:30 a.m. ET, the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index was up 46.04 points, or 0.24 per cent, at 19633.45. The index was down more than 1 per cent for the week heading into Friday’s session.

In the U.S., the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 128.88 points, or 0.38 per cent, at the open to 34,020.82.

The S&P 500 opened higher by 16.80 points, or 0.39 per cent, at 4,364.15, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 49.74 points, or 0.37 per cent, to 13,571.19 at the opening bell.

On Thursday, Mr. Powell said the Fed is “not confident” that the central bank’s key rate is high enough to steadily reduce inflation and said it would raise rates again if it “becomes appropriate.” However, he also said it isn’t “appropriate” now to take that step. Last week, markets rallied after the Fed again hit pause on interest rates, raising hopes that more increases may not be in the cards. New U.S. inflation figures are due next Tuesday.

“While the Federal Reserve aims to approach further rate hikes cautiously, Powell made it clear that they are ready to act if necessary,” Stephen Innes, managing partner with SPI Asset Management, said.

“Looking forward, Powell suggested that a more substantial portion of progress in reducing inflation might need to come from tight monetary policy restraining aggregate demand growth,” Mr. Innes said.

In Canada, Bank of Canada senior deputy governor Carolyn Wilkins said during remarks in Vancouver on Thursday that Canadians need to be prepared for the likelihood interest rates won’t return to the low levels seen over the past 15 years.

On the corporate side, Canadian investors continue to get corporate results with earnings due this morning from Onex Corp. and Algonquin Power.

Overseas, the pan-European STOXX 600 was down 0.96 per cent by midday. Britain’s FTSE 100 fell 1.3 per cent. Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 lost 0.64 per cent and 0.97 per cent, respectively.

In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei ended down 0.24 per cent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 1.76 per cent.

Commodities

Crude prices were firmer in the early premarket period but still set for a third consecutive weekly decline.

The day range on Brent was US$79.79 to US$80.86 in the early premarket period. The range on West Texas Intermediate was US$75.31 to US$76.48.

Both benchmarks are down more than 5 per cent for the week so far. The three-week losing streak is the longest for oil since a four-week run of losses this spring.

“The oil selloff probably went too far and it’s time for – at least – a minor positive correction,” Swissquote senior analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya said in a note.

She said fears of escalating geopolitical tensions could help crude strengthen.

“But regarding that topic, the biggest fear of oil traders in Gaza was the implication of Iran in the war, which would then lead to another embargo on the Iranian oil, decrease the global supply and send prices higher,” she said.

“Now, the new market narrative is that, even if the Iranian oil gets banned, it doesn’t matter because first, the Iranian shipments have been falling due to weaker Asian demand and two, 90 per cent of the Iranian shipments go to China anyway, and China doesn’t care about the Iranian oil ban, they will continue buying it.”

In other commodities, gold prices were on track for a second week of losses.

Spot gold fell 0.2 per cent to US$1,954.60 per ounce by early Friday morning after hitting its lowest since Oct. 18 on Thursday. U.S. gold futures fell 0.5 per cent to US$1,959.70. Gold is down nearly 2 per cent for the week.

Currencies

The Canadian dollar was lower while its U.S. counterpart was on track for a weekly gain against a basket of world currencies.

The day range on the loonie was 72.37 US cents to 72.51 US cents. The Canadian dollar has fallen more than 1 per cent against the greenback over the past five days.

“With no domestic data ahead, external drivers will remain key influences on the direction of the market in the short run but downside potential for the CAD from here still looks limited to me,” Shaun Osborne, chief FX strategist with Scotiabank, said.

On world markets, the U.S. dollar index, which tracks the currency against six major peers, was little changed at 105.91 on Friday. It was on track to gain 0.81 per cent this week, after rising 0.39 per cent on Thursday, according to figures from Reuters.

The euro, meanwhile, was little changed at US$1.0669, after falling 0.4 per cent on Thursday.

Britain’s pound was down 0.1 per cent at US$1.2209, after data showed the U.K. economy stagnated in the third quarter, Reuters reported.

More company news

Aircraft parts maker Héroux‑Devtek Inc. says it earned $4.6-million in its latest quarter, down from $4.8-million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose nearly seven per cent. The Quebec-based company says the profit amounted to 14 cents per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30, compared with 14 cents per share a year earlier. Sales for what was the Héroux‑Devtek’s second quarter totalled $141.5-million, up from $132.7-million in the same quarter last year. -The Canadian Press

AtkinsRealis reported its third-quarter profit more than doubled compared with a year ago and raised its outlook for revenue growth. The company formerly known as SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. says its net income from continuing operations amounted to $105-million or 60 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30, up from a profit from continuing operations of $44.7-million or 25 cents per share in the same quarter last year. Revenue for the quarter totalled $2.20-billion, up from $1.89-billion a year earlier. –The Canadian Press

Canopy Growth Corp. says its net loss for the second quarter was $324.8-million, compared with $305.8-million a year earlier. The company says its net loss from continuing operations was $148.2-million, compared with $196.5-million during the same quarter last year. Revenues for the quarter were $82.1-million, down from $100.4-million a year earlier. –The Canadian Press

Economic news

(10 a.m. ET) U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey for November.

(10:30 a.m. ET) Bank of Canada Senior Loan Officer Survey for Q3.

With Reuters and The Canadian Press

 

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Politics likely pushed Air Canada toward deal with ‘unheard of’ gains for pilots

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MONTREAL – Politics, public opinion and salary hikes south of the border helped push Air Canada toward a deal that secures major pay gains for pilots, experts say.

Hammered out over the weekend, the would-be agreement includes a cumulative wage hike of nearly 42 per cent over four years — an enormous bump by historical standards — according to one source who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter. The previous 10-year contract granted increases of just two per cent annually.

The federal government’s stated unwillingness to step in paved the way for a deal, noted John Gradek, after Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made it plain the two sides should hash one out themselves.

“Public opinion basically pressed the federal cabinet, including the prime minister, to keep their hands clear of negotiations and looking at imposing a settlement,” said Gradek, who teaches aviation management at McGill University.

After late-night talks at a hotel near Toronto’s Pearson airport, the country’s biggest airline and the union representing 5,200-plus aviators announced early Sunday morning they had reached a tentative agreement, averting a strike that would have grounded flights and affected some 110,000 passengers daily.

The relative precariousness of the Liberal minority government as well as a push to appear more pro-labour underlay the prime minister’s hands-off approach to the negotiations.

Trudeau said Friday the government would not step in to fix the impasse — unlike during a massive railway work stoppage last month and a strike by WestJet mechanics over the Canada Day long weekend that workers claimed road roughshod over their constitutional right to collective bargaining. Trudeau said the government respects the right to strike and would only intervene if it became apparent no negotiated deal was possible.

“They felt that they really didn’t want to try for a third attempt at intervention and basically said, ‘Let’s let the airline decide how they want to deal with this one,'” said Gradek.

“Air Canada ran out of support as the week wore on, and by the time they got to Friday night, Saturday morning, there was nothing left for them to do but to basically try to get a deal set up and accepted by ALPA (Air Line Pilots Association).”

Trudeau’s government was also unlikely to consider back-to-work legislation after the NDP tore up its agreement to support the Liberal minority in Parliament, Gradek said. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, whose party has traditionally toed a more pro-business line, also said last week that Tories “stand with the pilots” and swore off “pre-empting” the negotiations.

Air Canada CEO Michael Rousseau had asked Ottawa on Thursday to impose binding arbitration pre-emptively — “before any travel disruption starts” — if talks failed. Backed by business leaders, he’d hoped for an effective repeat of the Conservatives’ move to head off a strike in 2012 by legislating Air Canada pilots and ground crew to stick to their posts before any work stoppage could start.

The request may have fallen flat, however. Gradek said he believes there was less anxiety over the fallout from an airline strike than from the countrywide railway shutdown.

He also speculated that public frustration over thousands of cancelled flights would have flowed toward Air Canada rather than Ottawa, prompting the carrier to concede to a deal yielding “unheard of” gains for employees.

“It really was a total collapse of the Air Canada bargaining position,” he said.

Pilots are slated to vote in the coming weeks on the four-year contract.

Last year, pilots at Delta Air Lines, United Airlines and American Airlines secured agreements that included four-year pay boosts ranging from 34 per cent to 40 per cent, ramping up pressure on other carriers to raise wages.

After more than a year of bargaining, Air Canada put forward an offer in August centred around a 30 per cent wage hike over four years.

But the final deal, should union members approve it, grants a 26 per cent increase in the first year alone, retroactive to September 2023, according to the source. Three wage bumps of four per cent would follow in 2024 through 2026.

Passengers may wind up shouldering some of that financial load, one expert noted.

“At the end of the day, it’s all us consumers who are paying,” said Barry Prentice, who heads the University of Manitoba’s transport institute.

Higher fares may be mitigated by the persistence of budget carrier Flair Airlines and the rapid expansion of Porter Airlines — a growing Air Canada rival — as well as waning demand for leisure trips. Corporate travel also remains below pre-COVID-19 levels.

Air Canada said Sunday the tentative contract “recognizes the contributions and professionalism of Air Canada’s pilot group, while providing a framework for the future growth of the airline.”

The union issued a statement saying that, if ratified, the agreement will generate about $1.9 billion of additional value for Air Canada pilots over the course of the deal.

Meanwhile, labour tension with cabin crew looms on the horizon. Air Canada is poised to kick off negotiations with the union representing more than 10,000 flight attendants this year before the contract expires on March 31.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:AC)

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Federal $500M bailout for Muskrat Falls power delays to keep N.S. rate hikes in check

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HALIFAX – Ottawa is negotiating a $500-million bailout for Nova Scotia’s privately owned electric utility, saying the money will be used to prevent a big spike in electricity rates.

Federal Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson made the announcement today in Halifax, saying Nova Scotia Power Inc. needs the money to cover higher costs resulting from the delayed delivery of electricity from the Muskrat Falls hydroelectric plant in Labrador.

Wilkinson says that without the money, the subsidiary of Emera Inc. would have had to increase rates by 19 per cent over “the short term.”

Nova Scotia Power CEO Peter Gregg says the deal, once approved by the province’s energy regulator, will keep rate increases limited “to be around the rate of inflation,” as costs are spread over a number of years.

The utility helped pay for construction of an underwater transmission link between Newfoundland and Nova Scotia, but the Muskrat Falls project has not been consistent in delivering electricity over the past five years.

Those delays forced Nova Scotia Power to spend more on generating its own electricity.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

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