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What every Canadian investor needs to know today

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Canada’s main stock index opened slightly higher Friday helped by industrial stocks. On Wall Street, key indexes were muted in early trading after a new reading on the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation largely matched forecasts.

At 9:31 a.m. ET, the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index was up 14.71 points, or 0.07 per cent, at 21,116.25.

In the U.S., the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 42.45 points, or 0.11 per cent, at the open to 38,006.68. The S&P 500 opened lower by 5.25 points, or 0.11 per cent, at 4,888.91, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 35.64 points, or 0.23 per cent, to 15,474.85 at the opening bell.

Early Friday, the U.S. Commerce Department reported that the personal consumption expenditure index rose by 0.2 per cent on a monthly basis in December. That was inline with analysts expectations. The index was up 2.6 per cent annually. The core PCE, a preferred measure of inflation for the Federal Reserve, was up 0.2 per cent month-over-month. That also matched market forecasts. On an annual basis, it rose by 2.9 per cent. Markets were expecting the annual figure to come in around 3 per cent.

“With inflation heading in the right direction, but still above target, and consumer spending displaying noteworthy resiliency, the central bank has even less urgency for a rate cut and one is unlikely to occur before mid-year,” TD economist Shernette McLeod said in a note.

The Fed’s next interest rate decision is due Jan. 31. Markets are expecting the central bank to hold rates steady. Bets that it would begin cutting rates as early as March have been fading in recent weeks.

On the corporate side, shares of Intel were down more than 11 per cent in early trading after the company forecast first-quarter revenue below market expectations amid uncertain demand for chips used in the traditional server and personal computer markets. The chipmaker expects adjusted first-quarter revenue in the range of US$12.2-billion-US$13.2 billion, compared with analysts’ average estimate of US$14.50-billion, according to LSEG data. Intel forecast first-quarter profit of 13 US cents a share, excluding one-time items. Analysts expected 33 US cents a share, Reuters reported.

In Canada, The Globe’s Tim Kiladze reports a debt refinancing designed to provide BlackBerry Ltd. with some financial flexibility ultimately sent the company’s shares tumbling to their lowest level in 21 years, complicating the new chief executive’s plans to win back investors.

Overseas, the pan-European STOXX 600 was up 1.18 per cent by afternoon. Britain’s FTSE 10 rose 1.56 per cent. Germany’s DAX added 0.25 per cent while France’s CAC 40 jumped 2.29 per cent.

In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei fell 1.34 per cent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 1.6 per cent.

Commodities

Crude prices were modestly lower but still on track for a second weekly advance in the wake of a better than expected reading on U.S. GDP and continued optimism over stimulus efforts aimed at underpinning China’s economy.

The day range on Brent was US$81.81 to US$82.46 in the early premarket period. The range on West Texas Intermediate was US$76.57 to US$77.30. Both benchmarks were up more than 4 per cent for the week heading into Friday’s session.

New figures released this week showed the U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 3.3. per cent in the fourth quarter of the year, far better than the 2-per-cent economists had been forecasting. At the same time, China’s central bank has announced cuts to reserves aimed at supporting economic growth.

“This week’s price action is significant, potentially signalling that the oil price bottom is either within sight or imminent,” Stephen Innes, managing partner with SPI Asset Management, said.

“Suppose this perception gains momentum, especially in anticipation of Fed rate cuts amid easing inflation even with above-trend growth. In that case, more investors may re-enter the futures market, further supporting oil prices.”

In other commodities, gold prices were headed for a second weekly decline.

Spot gold was flat at US$2,020.20 per ounce by early Friday morning. U.S. gold futures were little changed at US$2,020.20. Both are down more than 0.4 per cent so far this week, according to figures from Reuters.

Currencies

The Canadian dollar was higher in early trading while its U.S. counterpart was relatively steady against a group of world currencies.

The day range on the loonie was 74.13 US cents to 74.33 US cents in the early premarket period. The Canadian dollar has lost about 1.6 per cent against the greenback for the year to date.

“The Canadian dollar is nudging a little higher so far on the session but the grounds for gains appear a little flimsy on the face of it, with commodities and stocks trading more mixed than anything,” Shaun Osborne, chief FX strategist with Scotiabank, said.

On world markets, the U.S. dollar index, which weighs the greenback against a basket of currencies, was down 0.12 per cent at 103.45.

The euro was up 0.06 per cent at US$1.0855. Britain’s pound rose 0.12 per cent to US$1.2724.

In bonds, the yield on the U.S. 10-year note was lower at 4.11 per cent.

More company news

American Express forecast a better-than-expected profit for 2024 on hopes that its affluent customers will be resilient with their spending amid elevated interest rates, sending the company’s shares up nearly 3% before the bell on Friday. The New York-based company also reported record revenue for 2023, a year which many analysts feared could bring in a recession and crimp customer spending. AmEx, helped by its affluent customer base, has been able to navigate a tricky financial landscape more smoothly compared to some of its peers.

Economic news

830 am ET: U.S. personal spending and income for December.

830 am ET: U.S. core PCE price index for December.

10 am ET: U.S. pending home sales.

With Reuters and The Canadian Press

 

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:T)

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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