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What every Canadian investor needs to know today – The Globe and Mail

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Canada’s main stock index opened down Tuesday with financial stocks under pressure as bank earnings roll in. On Wall Street, key indexes were also in the red in early trading amid expectations interest rates will continue rising.

At 9:36 a.m. ET, the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index was down 97.89 points, or 0.48 per cent, at 20,162.24.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 15.62 points, or 0.05 per cent, at the open to 32,873.47. The S&P 500 opened lower by 5.05 points, or 0.13 per cent, at 3,977.19, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 15.93 points, or 0.14 per cent, to 11,451.05 at the opening bell.

In Canada, Bank of Montreal and Bank of Nova Scotia both reported results before the start of trading.

On an adjusted basis, Bank of Montreal reported a net income of $2.27-billion, or $3.22 per share, for the three months ended Jan. 31, compared with $2.58-billion, or $3.89 per share, a year earlier. By that measure, analysts had been forecasting earnings per share of $3.18 in the most recent quarter. Provisions for credit losses came in at $217-million for the quarter, compared with a recovery of PCLs of $99-million a year earlier. BMO’s shares fell more than 1 per cent in early trading.

Scotiabank’s net income, excluding one-off items, came in at $2.37-billion, or $1.85 a share, in the three months ended Jan. 31, compared with $2.76-billion, or $2.15 a share, a year earlier. Analysts had been looking for adjusted earnings per share of $2.02 in the latest quarter. Shares were down about 6 per cent shortly after the opening bell in Toronto.

Royal Bank of Canada and National Bank of Canada are scheduled to report their results on Wednesday and TD Bank Group is expected to release its results on Thursday. CIBC reported last week. That bank topped analysts forecasts in the latest quarter but posted a slightly lower profit compared with las year as loan growth cooled and more money was set aside for loan-loss provisions.

On the economic side, Canadians got a weaker-than-expected reading on growth in the broader economy at year’s end. Statistics Canada says growth contracted by 0.1 per cent in December from a month earlier. Economists had been expecting a flat reading. The agency also said growth for the the fourth quarter was essentially unchanged. Economists had been expecting growth at an annual rate of 1.5 per cent in the quarter.

Statscan also offered an early look at January growth, suggesting GDP advanced by 0.3 per cent that month. That number is subject to revisions.

“Although the BoC probably feels vindicated in its policy rate pause given today’s weak topline print, it will still be closely watching the evolution of incoming data, which have surprised higher to start 2023,” TD senior economist James Orlando said in a note.

South of the border, Target Corp posted a surprise rise in holiday-quarter sales helped by increased traffic in stores, although it also warned on earnings for the year, citing an uncertain economy. Target forecast full-year earnings of US$7.75 to US$8.75 per share, below analysts’ estimates of US$9.23, according to Refinitiv data. Shares were up in premarket trading. Shares rose about 3 per cent Tuesday morning in New York.

Overseas, the pan-European STOXX 600 was up 0.09 per cent by midday after starting the session in the red.

Britain’s FTSE 100 fell 0.45 per cent. Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 were up 0.18 per cent and 0.12 per cent, respectively.

In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei closed up 0.08 per cent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng slid 0.79 per cent.

Commodities

Crude prices advanced, helped by continued optimism over demand growth in China, offset somewhat by concerns about the future direction of interest rates.

The day range on Brent was US$82.19 to US$83.20 in the early premarket period. The range on West Texas Intermediate was US$75.55 to US$76.65. Both benchmarks are on track for monthly declines. Brent is off more than 2 per cent in February so far while WTI is down more than 3 per cent.

“Oil prices remain very choppy with gains today largely offsetting losses at the start of the week,” OANDA’s Craig Erlam said.

“We may have to wait for more hard-hitting economic data next week before we see the upper or lower ranges tested as the uncertainty appears to be preventing a serious move in either direction.”

Prices have been supported by expectations of demand growth after China eased its strict COVID-19 policies.

“China’s economic recovery will drive its demand for commodities higher with oil positioned to benefit the most,” JPMorgan analysts said in a note.

However, continued concern about rising interest rates and the impact on the global economy has offered a counterbalance. Fed funds futures show traders are pricing in a third 25-basis-point hike this year and see U.S. rates peaking at 5.4 per cent by September.

Later in the session, traders will get weekly U.S. inventory figures from the American Petroleum Institute. More official government numbers follow on Wednesday morning.

A preliminary Reuters poll showed analysts expect crude stocks grew by 400,000 barrels in the week to Feb. 24.

In other commodities, spot gold was down 0.3 per cent at US$1,812.20 by early Tuesday morning, having earlier hit its lowest since late December at US$1,804.20. U.S. gold futures slipped 0.4 per cent to US$1,817.70.

Currencies

The Canadian dollar was down while its U.S. counterpart held steady and looked set for its first monthly gain since September.

The day range on the loonie was 73.49 US cents to 73.71 US cents in the early premarket period. The Canadian dollar tumbled immediately after the release of the latest GDP report. The loonie is down more than 2 per cent for the month.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the currency against a basket of peers, was flat at 104.64, but was still set for a February gain of 2.6 per cent, its first monthly increase since September, according to figures from Reuters.

Elsewhere, Britain’s pound added to the previous session’s advance, rising 0.2 per cent to US$1.2082. The pound jumped 1 per cent on Monday after Britain and the European Union announced a new deal for post-Brexit trading arrangements for Northern Ireland.

The euro was flat at US$1.0611, having risen 0.6% in the previous session.

In bonds, the yield on the U.S. 10-year note was up slightly at 3.941 per cent in the predawn period.

More company news

Calgary-based Baytex Energy Corp said on Tuesday that it would buy U.S. peer Ranger Oil Corp for US$2.5-billion including debt, as the Canadian company looks to boost its presence in South Texas’ Eagle Ford shale basin. The Eagle Ford has seen rising deal activity in recent months. Its proximity to other major energy hubs, including the U.S. Gulf coast, makes it an attractive location. The basin is home to a number of smaller producers, which makes it easier for them to be absorbed by strategic players. –Reuters

Laurentian Bank of Canada reported its first-quarter profit fell compared with a year ago as its provisions for credit losses ticked higher. The Montreal-based bank says it earned $51.9-million or $1.09 per diluted share for the quarter ended Jan. 31 compared with a profit of $55.5-million or $1.17 per diluted share a year earlier. Revenue totalled $260.1-million for bank’s latest quarter, up from $257.5-million in the same quarter last year. Laurentian says its provision for credit losses for its first quarter was $15.4-million, up from $9.4-million a year earlier. –The Canadian Press

Economic news

(8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian real GDP for Q4.

(8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s monthly GDP for December.

(8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. goods trade deficit for January.

(8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. wholesale and retail inventories for January.

(9 a.m. ET) U.S. S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (20 city) for December.

(9 a.m. ET) U.S. FHFA House Price Index for December.

(9:45 a.m. ET) U.S. Chicago PMI for February.

(10 a.m. ET) U.S. Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for February.

Also: Alberta and B.C. budgets and Canada’s Capital Expenditures Survey for 2023.

With Reuters and The Canadian Press

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:T)

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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