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What every Canadian investor needs to know today

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Equities

Canada’s main stock index opened down following eight straight sessions of gains with weakness in commodities prices hitting energy and mining shares. On Wall Street, key indexes were also weaker with much of the focus on earnings and Tesla results due later in the day.

At 9:30 a.m. ET, the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index was down 77.49 points, or 0.37 per cent, at 20,607.19.

In the U.S., the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 86.80 points, or 0.26 per cent, at the open to 33,889.83. The S&P 500 opened lower by 15.54 points, or 0.37 per cent, at 4,139.33, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 89.73 points, or 0.74 per cent, to 12,063.68 at the opening bell.

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“With half of the trading month now over, the U.S. stock market is still on course to post some substantial gains,” Naeem Aslam, chief investment officer with Zaye Capital, said.

“In terms of seasonality, April is the greatest month for the Dow Jones since 1950. So far this month, the index is up 2.1 per cent , and 14 trading days have elapsed. The Dow Jones index remains the market leader; the S&P 500 index is up 1 per cent, and the Nasdaq is up 0.7 per cent.”

Earnings continue to be a key driver for stocks. Shares of Netflix sank as much as 11 per cent immediately after the streaming giant’s latest results, although much of the losses were recouped in subsequent hours. The stock was down less than 1 per cent in the predawn period.

The company offered a mixed earnings picture in its latest quarter, giving a weaker forecast although it topped earnings estimates in the most recent period. From January through March, Netflix added 1.75 million streaming subscribers, missing analyst estimates of 2.06 million additions. As well, Netflix said it was delaying the expansion of its crackdown on password sharing. The program was launched in 12 countries earlier this year.

On Wednesday, investors got results from Morgan Stanley this morning and will get Tesla’s earnings after the closing bell.

“[Tesla] announced more price reduction for its vehicles ahead of reporting,” Mr. Aslam said in a note. “It demonstrates that the firm has recognized that its competitive advantage has eroded, and that in order to fight for a larger part of the market, it must first comprehend the mechanism of competition.”

Wednesday afternoon, U.S. investors will also get the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book offering a snapshot of regional economic conditions.

In Canada, earnings also continue with results from Montreal-based grocery store operator Metro Inc. The sector has made headlines in recent months as spiking inflationary pressures raised questions about how costs were being passed on to consumers. On Tuesday, Statistics Canada reported that the annual rate of inflation eased to 4.3 per cent in March while the rise in food prices slowed.

Ahead of the opening bell, Metro reported net earnings of $218.8-million or 93 cents per share, compared to $198.1-million or 84 cents per share in the same period the prior year. Sales totalled $4.55-billion, up from $4.27-billion in the same quarter last year.

Elsewhere, The Globe’s Eric Reguly reports Glencore has intensified its battle for Teck Resources by dangling the prospect of a higher bid as long as shareholders reject the Canadian company’s proposal to split the company in two next week. In an open letter pitched Wednesday morning to Teck’s Class B shareholders, who own almost all the equity but few of the votes, Glencore CEO Gary Nagle said that, should the vote go against Teck, his company would open negotiations directly with shareholders.

Overseas, the pan-European STOXX 600 was down 0.29 per cent in afternoon trading. Britain’s FTSE 100 slid 0.21 per cent. Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 were off 0.18 per cent and 0.03 per cent, respectively.

In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei finished down 0.18 per cent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng slid 1.37 per cent.

Commodities

Crude prices were down despite a decline in U.S. inventories with concerns about the path of Fed rate hikes weighing on sentiment.

The day range on Brent was US$82.91 to US$85.15 in the early premarket period. The range on West Texas Intermediate was US$79.04 to US$81.18.

“Outside of the China deflation risk, oil’s other significant downside risk is an extension of the Fed tightening cycle beyond the 25 basis points markets expect in May,” Stephen Innes, managing partner with SPI Asset Management, said.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told CNBC yesterday that the Fed likely has one more rate hike ahead of it in its battle against inflation before taking “a step back and see how our policy is flowing through the economy.” However, St. Louis Fed chief James Bullard told Reuters in an interview that he leans toward 75 basis points of additional tightening.

Markets have now priced in a more than 80-per-cent chance of a quarter point increase by the Fed at its meeting next month.

Meanwhile, prices drew some support from the latest weekly inventory figures from the American Petroleum Institute. The report showed crude stocks fell by 2.68 million last week. Gasoline and distillate inventories also declined.

U.S. government figures for the week are due later this morning.

In other commodities, spot gold was down 0.6 per cent at US$1,993.99 per ounce early Wednesday morning with a slightly stronger U.S. dollar applying downward pressure. U.S. gold futures slid 0.8 per cent to US$2,003.30.

Currencies

The Canadian dollar was down in early trading while its U.S. counterpart ticked higher as traders with the outlook for future rate hikes by the Fed.

The day range on the loonie was 74.48 US cents to 74.72 US cents in the early premarket period.

“BoC Governor Macklem told Canadian parliamentarians yesterday afternoon that higher rates can’t be ruled out while policy may need to stay higher for longer until inflation cools,” Shaun Osborne, chief FX strategist with Scotiabank, said. “The ‘no rate cut this year’ messaging from the BoC since last week’s policy decision seems to be resonating with markets.”

There were no major Canadian economic releases due on Wednesday.

On world markets, the U.S. dollar index, which gauges the greenback against six major peers, rose 0.22 per cent to 101.94, according to figures from Reuters.

On Friday, the index hit to a one-year low at 100.78.

Elsewhere, Britain’s pound advanced against the greenback after new figures showed inflation remained above 10 per cent in March. The annual rate of inflation in Britain was 10.1 per cent last month, down slightly from 10.4 per cent in February.

The pound was last up 0.25 per cent at US$1.2454, approaching the 10-month high seen last week.

The euro dipped 0.12 per cent to US$1.09605, still in sight of last week’s 14-month high, Reuters reported.

In bonds, the yield on the U.S. 10-year note was higher at 3.62 per cent ahead of the North American open.

More company news

Morgan Stanley’s first-quarter profit fell as its mainstay investment banking business remained under pressure due to a prolonged slump in dealmaking. Profit applicable to the bank’s common shareholders for the three months ended Mar. 31 fell to US$2.83-billion, or US$1.70 per diluted share, the bank said on Wednesday. That compares to US$3.54-billion, or US$2.02 per diluted share, a year earlier.

Chemical maker Chemours Co said on Wednesday it has partnered with TC Energy Corp to develop two clean hydrogen production facilities in West Virginia. Clean hydrogen, made using renewable energy to power electrolyzers to convert water, is being backed by many governments for vehicles and energy plants, but it is currently too expensive for widespread use. The facilities would be located at or near Chemours’ Washington Works and Belle manufacturing sites in West Virginia, the company said.

Economic news

(8:15 a.m. ET) Canadian housing starts for March.

(8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian industrial product and raw materials price indexes for March.

(8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian consumer and mortgage credit for February.

(2 p.m. ET) U.S. Beige Book is released.

With Reuters and The Canadian Press

Editor’s note: Canada’s annual inflation rate in March has been corrected in this article.

 

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Gildan replacing five directors ahead of AGM, will back two Browning West nominees – Yahoo Canada Finance

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MONTREAL — Gildan Activewear Inc. is making changes to its board of directors in an attempt to head off a move by an activist shareholder looking to replace a majority of the board at its annual meeting next month.

U.S. investment firm Browning West wants to replace eight of Gildan’s 12 directors with its own nominees in a move to bring back founder Glenn Chamandy as chief executive.

Gildan, which announced late last year that Chamandy would be replaced by Vince Tyra, said Monday it will replace five members of its board of directors ahead of its annual meeting set for May 28.

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It also says current board members Luc Jobin and Chris Shackelton will not run for re-election and that it will recommend shareholders vote for Karen Stuckey and J.P. Towner, who are two of Browning West’s eight nominees.

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The new directors who will join the Gildan board on May 1 are Tim Hodgson, Lee Bird, Jane Craighead, Lynn Loewen and Les Viner. They will replace Donald Berg, Maryse Bertrand, Shirley Cunningham, Charles Herington and Craig Leavitt.

Hodgson, who served as chief executive of Goldman Sachs Canada from 2005 to 2010, is expected to replace Berg as chair.

“I look forward to working with this highly qualified board and management team to realize the full benefits of Vince’s ambitious yet realistic plan to drive growth by enhancing the Gildan sustainable growth strategy,” Hodgson said in a statement.

“The refreshed board and I fully believe in Vince and his talented team as well as Gildan’s leading market position and growth prospects.”

Gildan has been embroiled in controversy ever since it announced Chamandy was being replaced by Tyra.

The company has said Chamandy had no credible long-term strategy and had lost the board’s confidence. But several of Gildan’s investors have criticized the company for the move and called for his return.

Those investors include the company’s largest shareholder, Jarislowsky Fraser, as well as Browning West and Turtle Creek Asset Management.

In announcing the board changes, Gildan said it met with shareholders including those who Browning West has counted as supportive.

“Our slate strikes a balance between ensuring the board retains historical continuity during a period of transition and provides fresh perspectives to ensure it continues to serve its important oversight function on behalf of all shareholders,” the company said.

Gildan said last month that it has formed a special committee of independent directors to consider a “non-binding expression of interest” from an unnamed potential purchaser and contact other potential bidders.

But Browning West and Turtle Creek have said the current board cannot be trusted to oversee a sale of the company.

The company said Monday that there continues to be external interest in acquiring the company and the process is ongoing.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published April 22, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GIL)

The Canadian Press

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Ottawa puts up $50M in federal budget to hedge against job-stealing AI – CP24

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Anja Karadeglija, The Canadian Press


Published Sunday, April 21, 2024 4:02PM EDT


Last Updated Sunday, April 21, 2024 4:04PM EDT

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Worried artificial intelligence is coming for your job? So is the federal government — enough, at least, to set aside $50 million for skills retraining for workers.

One of the centrepiece promises in the federal budget released Tuesday was $2.3 billion in investments aiming to boost adoption of the technology and the artificial intelligence industry in Canada.

But tucked alongside that was a promise to invest $50 million over four years “to support workers who may be impacted by AI.” Workers in “potentially disrupted sectors and communities” will receive new skills training through the Sectoral Workforce Solutions Program.

“There is a significant transformation of the economy and society on the horizon around artificial intelligence,” said Joel Blit, an associate professor of economics at the University of Waterloo.

Some jobs will be lost, others will be created, “but there’s going to be a transition period that could be somewhat chaotic.”

While jokes about robots coming to take jobs predate the emergence of generative AI systems in late 2022, the widespread availability of systems like ChatGPT made those fears real for many, even as workers across industries began integrating the technology into their workday.

In June 2023, a briefing note for Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland warned the impact of generative AI “will be felt across all industries and around 40 per cent of all working hours could be impacted.”

“Banking, insurance and energy appear to have higher potential for automation compared to other sectors,” says the note, obtained through access to information and citing information from Accenture.

“This could have substantial impacts on jobs and skills requirements.”

The budget only singles out “creative industries” as an affected sector that will be covered by the program. In February, the Canadian TV, film, and music industries asked MPs for protection against AI, saying the tech threatens their livelihood and reputations.

Finance Canada did not respond to questions asking what other sectors or types of jobs would be covered under the program.

“The creative industries was used as an illustrative example, and not intended as an exclusion of other affected areas,” deputy Finance spokesperson Caroline Thériault said in a statement.

In an interview earlier this year, Bea Bruske, president of the Canadian Labour Congress, said unions representing actors and directors have been very worried about how their likenesses or their work could be used by AI systems. But the “reality is that we have to look at the implication of AI in all jobs,” she said.

Blit explained large language models and other generative AI can write, come up with new ideas and then test those ideas, analyze data, as well as generate computer programming code, music, images, and video.

Those set to be affected are individuals in white-collar professions, like people working in marketing, health care, law and accounting.

In the longer run, “it’s actually quite hard to predict who is going to be impacted,” he said. “What’s going to happen is that entire industries, entire processes are going to be reimagined around this new technology.”

AI is an issue “across sectors, but certainly clerical and customer service jobs are more vulnerable,” Hugh Pouliot, a spokesperson for the Canadian Union of Public Employees, said in an email.

The federal government has used AI in nearly 300 projects and initiatives, new research published earlier this month revealed.

According to Viet Vu, manager of economic research at Toronto Metropolitan University’s the Dais, the impact of AI on workers in a sector like the creative industry doesn’t have to be negative.

“That’s only the case if you adopt it irresponsibly,” he said, pointing out creative professionals have been adopting new digital tools in their work for years.

He noted only four per cent of Canadian businesses are using any kind of artificial intelligence or machine learning. “And so we’re really not there yet for these frontier models and frontier technologies” to be making an impact.

When it comes to the question of how AI will affect the labour market, it’s more useful to think about what types of tasks technology can do better, as opposed to whether it will replace entire jobs, Vu said.

“A job is composed of so many different tasks that sometimes even if a new technology comes along and 20, 30 per cent of your job can be done using AI, you still have that 60, 70 per cent left,” he said.

“So it’s rare that (an) entire occupation is actually sort of erased out of existence because of technology.”

Finance Canada also did not respond to questions about what new skills the workers would be learning.

Vu said there are two types of skills it makes sense to focus on in retraining — computational thinking, or understanding how computers operate and make decisions, and skills dealing with data.

There is no AI system in the world that does not use data, he said. “And so being able to actually understand how data is curated, how data is used, even some basic data analytics skills, will go a really long way.”

But given the scope of the change the AI technology is set to trigger, critics say a lot more than $50 million will be necessary.

Blit said the money is a good first step but won’t be “close to enough” when it comes to the scale of the coming transformation, which will be comparable to globalization or the adoption of computers.

Valerio De Stefano, Canada research chair in innovation law and society at York University, agreed more resources will be necessary.

“Jobs may be reduced to an extent that reskilling may be insufficient,” and the government should look at “forms of unconditional income support such as basic income,” he said.

The government should also consider demanding AI companies “contribute directly to pay for any social initiative that takes care of people who lose their jobs to technology” and asking “employers who reduce payrolls and increase profits thanks to AI to do the same.”

“Otherwise, society will end up subsidizing tech businesses and other companies as they increase profit without giving back enough for technology to benefit us all.”

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Honda to build electric vehicles and battery plant in Ontario, sources say – Global News

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Honda Canada is set to build an electric vehicle battery plant near its auto manufacturing facility in Alliston, Ont., where it also plans to produce fully electric vehicles, The Canadian Press has learned.

Senior sources with information on the project confirmed the federal and Ontario governments will make the announcement this week, but were not yet able to give any dollar figures.

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However, comments Monday from Ontario Premier Doug Ford and Economic Development Minister Vic Fedeli suggest it is a project worth around $14 billion or $15 billion.

Ford told a First Nations conference that there will be an announcement this week about a new deal he said will be double the size of a Volkswagen deal announced last year. That EV battery plant set to be built in St. Thomas, Ont., comes with a $7-billion capital price tag.

Fedeli would not confirm if Ford was referencing Honda, but spoke coyly after question period Monday about the amount of electric vehicle investment in the province.

“We went from zero to $28 billion in three years and if the premier, if his comments are correct, then next week, we’ll be announcing $43 billion … in and around there,” he said.

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The Honda facility will be the third electric vehicle battery plant in Ontario, following in the footsteps of Volkswagen and a Stellantis LG plant in Windsor, and while those two deals involved billions of dollars in production subsidies as a way of competing with the United States’ Inflation Reduction Act subsidies, Honda’s is expected to involve capital commitments and tax credits.


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Federal Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland’s recent budget announced a 10-per-cent Electric Vehicle Supply Chain investment tax credit on the cost of buildings related to EV production as long as the business invests in assembly, battery production and cathode active material production in Canada.

That’s on top of an existing 30-per-cent Clean Technology Manufacturing investment tax credit on the cost of investments in new machinery and equipment.

Honda’s deal also involves two key parts suppliers for their batteries — cathodes and separators — with the locations of those facilities elsewhere in Ontario set to be announced at a later date.

The deal comes after years of meetings and discussions between Honda executives and the Ontario government, the sources said.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Premier Doug Ford and Honda executives were on hand in March 2022 in Alliston when the Japanese automaker announced hybrid production at the facility, with $131.6 million in assistance from each of the two levels of government.

Around the time of that announcement, conversations began about a larger potential investment into electric vehicles, the sources said, and negotiations began that summer.

Fedeli travelled to Japan that fall, the first of three visits to meet with Honda Motor executives about the project. Senior officials from the company in Japan also travelled to Toronto three times to meet with government officials, including twice with Ford.

During a trip by the Honda executives to Toronto in March 2023, Ontario officials including Fedeli pitched the province as a prime destination for electric vehicle and battery investments, part of a strong push from the government to make Ford’s vision of an end-to-end electric vehicle supply chain in the province a reality.

Negotiations took a major step forward that July, when Ontario sent a formal letter to Honda Canada, signalling its willingness to offer incentives for a battery plant and EV production. Honda Canada executives then met with Ford in November and December.

The latter meeting sealed the deal, the sources said.

Honda approached the federal government a few months ago, a senior government official said, and Freeland led her government’s negotiations with the company.

The project is expected to involve the construction of several plants, according to the source.

— With files from Nojoud Al Mallees in Ottawa.

&copy 2024 The Canadian Press

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