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What if transitory is not so transitory after all?

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A look at the day ahead from Dhara Ranasinghe.

The U.S. Federal Reserve is sticking with the mantra that inflation is transitory and there’s no rush to tighten policy but some others are feeling uneasy.

On Thursday, Michael Saunders became the second Bank of England rate setter in two days to signal it may be time to consider reining in stimulus as inflation ramps up. Earlier this week central banks in Canada and New Zealand took steps towards unwinding post-crisis stimulus.

No surprise then that two-year gilt yields shot up 6 basis points after Thursday’s BoE comments in the biggest one-day jump since February. In contrast, U.S. bond yields continue to be pinned down by Fed chief Jerome Powell’s dovish rhetoric.

But another run of strong data could test the Fed’s resolve too; figures due later this session are expected to see U.S. June retail sales rose in June after declining in May.

In the meantime, equity markets are struggling to hold their nerve in the face of a continued surge in coronavirus infections globally.

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei share average fell below the psychologically key 28,000 mark and MSCI’s Asia stock index, excluding Japan, was last down 0.3%.

European and U.S. stock futures were mixed.

The dollar was headed for its best weekly gain in about a month, supported by investors’ drift toward safety.

Oil prices were a touch weaker, staying under pressure after a compromise deal between leading OPEC producers and a surprisingly poor weekly reading on U.S. fuel demand. [O/R]

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Friday:

– BOJ cuts growth forecast, unveils climate scheme plan

– Ericsson Q2 earnings below market estimates; Burberry reports “excellent start” to its new year, with full-price sales accelerating; Puma raises 2021 outlook nASN001G8Y]

– German car registrations

– U.S. bond sales data

– Federal Reserve events:  New York Fed President John Williams speaks

– U.S. earnings: State Street, Honeywell, General Electric

– European earnings: Sandvik, Adtech, Husquarna, Handelsbanken, Swedbank, Richemont trading statement,

-Fitch to review Greek rating

Graphic: Bond yields, UK, US – https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/jznvnywqjpl/GB1607.png

(Reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe; Editing by Sujata Rao)

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RCMP investigating after three found dead in Lloydminster, Sask.

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LLOYDMINSTER, SASK. – RCMP are investigating the deaths of three people in Lloydminster, Sask.

They said in a news release Thursday that there is no risk to the public.

On Wednesday evening, they said there was a heavy police presence around 50th Street and 47th Avenue as officers investigated an “unfolding incident.”

Mounties have not said how the people died, their ages or their genders.

Multiple media reports from the scene show yellow police tape blocking off a home, as well as an adjacent road and alleyway.

The city of Lloydminster straddles the Alberta-Saskatchewan border.

Mounties said the three people were found on the Saskatchewan side of the city, but that the Alberta RCMP are investigating.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published on Sept. 12, 2024.

Note to readers: This is a corrected story; An earlier version said the three deceased were found on the Alberta side of Lloydminster.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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Three injured in Kingston, Ont., assault, police negotiating suspect’s surrender

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KINGSTON, Ont. – Police in Kingston, Ont., say three people have been sent to hospital with life-threatening injuries after a violent daytime assault.

Kingston police say officers have surrounded a suspect and were trying to negotiate his surrender as of 1 p.m.

Spokesperson Const. Anthony Colangeli says police received reports that the suspect may have been wielding an edged or blunt weapon, possibly both.

Colangeli says officers were called to the Integrated Care Hub around 10:40 a.m. after a report of a serious assault.

He says the three victims were all assaulted “in the vicinity,” of the drop-in health centre, not inside.

Police have closed Montreal Street between Railway Street and Hickson Avenue.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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Government intervention in Air Canada talks a threat to competition: Transat CEO

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Demands for government intervention in Air Canada labour talks could negatively affect airline competition in Canada, the CEO of travel company Transat AT Inc. said.

“The extension of such an extraordinary intervention to Air Canada would be an undeniable competitive advantage to the detriment of other Canadian airlines,” Annick Guérard told analysts on an earnings conference call on Thursday.

“The time and urgency is now. It is time to restore healthy competition in Canada,” she added.

Air Canada has asked the federal government to be ready to intervene and request arbitration as early as this weekend to avoid disruptions.

Comments on the potential Air Canada pilot strike or lock out came as Transat reported third-quarter financial results.

Guérard recalled Transat’s labour negotiations with its flight attendants earlier this year, which the company said it handled without asking for government intervention.

The airline’s 2,100 flight attendants voted 99 per cent in favour of a strike mandate and twice rejected tentative deals before approving a new collective agreement in late February.

As the collective agreement for Air Transat pilots ends in June next year, Guérard anticipates similar pressure to increase overall wages as seen in Air Canada’s negotiations, but reckons it will come out “as a win, win, win deal.”

“The pilots are preparing on their side, we are preparing on our side and we’re confident that we’re going to come up with a reasonable deal,” she told analysts when asked about the upcoming negotiations.

The parent company of Air Transat reported it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31. The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

It attributed reduced revenues to lower airline unit revenues, competition, industry-wide overcapacity and economic uncertainty.

Air Transat is also among the airlines facing challenges related to the recall of Pratt & Whitney turbofan jet engines for inspection and repair.

The recall has so far grounded six aircraft, Guérard said on the call.

“We have agreed to financial compensation for grounded aircraft during the 2023-2024 period,” she said. “Alongside this financial compensation, Pratt & Whitney will provide us with two additional spare engines, which we intend to monetize through a sell and lease back transaction.”

Looking ahead, the CEO said she expects consumer demand to remain somewhat uncertain amid high interest rates.

“We are currently seeing ongoing pricing pressure extending into the winter season,” she added. Air Transat is not planning on adding additional aircraft next year but anticipates stability.

“(2025) for us will be much more stable than 2024 in terms of fleet movements and operation, and this will definitely have a positive effect on cost and customer satisfaction as well,” the CEO told analysts.

“We are more and more moving away from all the disruption that we had to go through early in 2024,” she added.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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