What next for Guatemala after latest political turmoil? Experts weigh in | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Politics

What next for Guatemala after latest political turmoil? Experts weigh in

Published

 on

Guatemala City, Guatemala – It has been less than two weeks since progressive, anti-corruption candidate Bernardo Arevalo won Guatemala’s presidential election, capping a months-long campaign marred by scandals.

But Arevalo’s victory in an August 20 run-off has not put an end to the political turmoil, as electoral officials earlier this week suspended the president-elect’s Seed Movement party just hours after his victory was certified.

The Citizen Registry, a body within the Supreme Electoral Tribunal, announced on Monday that it had temporarily suspended the party following an order from a lower court judge.

Lawyers from the Seed Movement party challenged the decision a day later, setting the stage for possible appeals before Guatemala’s Supreme and Constitutional courts – the former is the highest court in the Central American nation.

Following the election’s certification and amid concerted international pressure for the results to be respected, outgoing Guatemalan President Alejandro Giammattei said his administration would begin the transition of power beginning on September 4.

Still, the Seed Movement’s suspension is the latest in a series of challenges for the centre-left party, as well as Arevalo, who will be sworn in early next year and could face serious difficulties governing should the suspension be upheld.

While presidential candidate Sandra Torres of the conservative National Unity of Hope (UNE) party has remained silent following her defeat, her party has continued to make unsubstantiated accusations of irregularities in the vote count.

International and local observers have unanimously held up the integrity of the election.

Here, Al Jazeera speaks to Guatemalan political analysts and constitutional law experts about the latest political developments in the country – and what comes next.

Edgar Ortiz, constitutional lawyer and analyst at Liberty and Development Foundation, centre-right think tank

“It is very obvious that this decision [to suspend the Seed Movement] was not legal.

“It is a freezing of certain rights of a political party.

“There’s another legal [mechanism], which is the cancellation. With cancellation, legally speaking, [a party] dies, it disappears. But with a suspension of the party, it still exists.

“This decision is not definitive. [The Seed Movement] has already filed an appeal, and the [Supreme Electoral Tribunal] will hold a hearing. My gut tells me that the electoral tribunal will favour [the party].

“This is another example of how the public prosecutor’s office is weaponising criminal law to try to prevent [the Seed Movement] from taking office.”

Oswaldo Samayoa, constitutional law expert and professor at San Carlos University of Guatemala

“There is a breaking of the constitutional order.

“On one side, it is the destruction of the exercise of free political participation of citizens through the political parties. And on the other, it is the establishment of censorship mechanisms for political participation against those with ideologies or positions different from those [of] the elites.

“[The suspension] removes the possibility of the Seed Movement party from being a legislative bloc within Congress.

“If the suspension manages to be sustained over time to make way for the cancellation, [Seed Movement] would have 23 deputies without a legislative bloc who cannot be part of legislative committees and that cannot be part of the Board of Directors [of Congress] next year.

“[It takes] power away from Bernardo Arevalo within Congress.”

Gabriela Carrera, political science professor at Rafael Landivar University in Guatemala City

“The most important problem is not for the Seed Movement party, but for Guatemala’s democracy.

“They are uprooting a political project. It is a coup de grace to participation, to representation, and to the construction of collective proposals. It does not only have to do with just Arevalo.

“The question is how are citizens going to respond.

“[Arevalo] would never have gotten to where he is without the voters. They are the subjects of democracy, the voters, the citizenry.”

Luis Fernando Mack, sociologist and political science professor at San Carlos University of Guatemala

“[The suspension] is a sign that the actors in power can use all legal and institutional mechanisms in their favour to hinder the new government and play hard. It is like an entry warning.

“The decision will likely be revoked by the Citizen Registry, but you cannot know what they are going to do. But it seems that the court is going to reject the [suspension].

“They are generating feelings of fear and uncertainty in [people’s] minds.”

 

Source link

Politics

Political parties cool to idea of new federal regulations for nomination contests

Published

 on

 

OTTAWA – Several federal political parties are expressing reservations about the prospect of fresh regulations to prevent foreign meddlers from tainting their candidate nomination processes.

Elections Canada has suggested possible changes to safeguard nominations, including barring non-citizens from helping choose candidates, requiring parties to publish contest rules and explicitly outlawing behaviour such as voting more than once.

However, representatives of the Bloc Québécois, Green Party and NDP have told a federal commission of inquiry into foreign interference that such changes may be unwelcome, difficult to implement or counterproductive.

The Canada Elections Act currently provides for limited regulation of federal nomination races and contestants.

For instance, only contestants who accept $1,000 in contributions or incur $1,000 in expenses have to file a financial return. In addition, the act does not include specific obligations concerning candidacy, voting, counting or results reporting other than the identity of the successful nominee.

A report released in June by the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians expressed concern about how easily foreign actors can take advantage of loopholes and vulnerabilities to support preferred candidates.

Lucy Watson, national director of the NDP, told the inquiry Thursday she had concerns about the way in which new legislation would interact with the internal decision-making of the party.

“We are very proud of the fact that our members play such a significant role in shaping the internal policies and procedures and infrastructure of the party, and I would not want to see that lost,” she said.

“There are guidelines, there are best practices that we would welcome, but if we were to talk about legal requirements and legislation, that’s something I would have to take away and put further thought into, and have discussions with folks who are integral to the party’s governance.”

In an August interview with the commission of inquiry, Bloc Québécois executive director Mathieu Desquilbet said the party would be opposed to any external body monitoring nomination and leadership contest rules.

A summary tabled Thursday says Desquilbet expressed doubts about the appropriateness of requiring nomination candidates to file a full financial report with Elections Canada, saying the agency’s existing regulatory framework and the Bloc’s internal rules on the matter are sufficient.

Green Party representatives Jon Irwin and Robin Marty told the inquiry in an August interview it would not be realistic for an external body, like Elections Canada, to administer nomination or leadership contests as the resources required would exceed the federal agency’s capacity.

A summary of the interview says Irwin and Marty “also did not believe that rules violations could effectively be investigated by an external body like the Office of the Commissioner of Canada Elections.”

“The types of complaints that get raised during nomination contests can be highly personal, politically driven, and could overwhelm an external body.”

Marty, national campaign director for the party, told the inquiry Thursday that more reporting requirements would also place an administrative burden on volunteers and riding workers.

In addition, he said that disclosing the vote tally of a nomination contest could actually help foreign meddlers by flagging the precise number of ballots needed for a candidate to be chosen.

Irwin, interim executive director of the Greens, said the ideal tactic for a foreign country would be working to get someone in a “position of power” within a Canadian political party.

He said “the bad guys are always a step ahead” when it comes to meddling in the Canadian political process.

In May, David Vigneault, director of the Canadian Security Intelligence Service at the time, said it was very clear from the design of popular social media app TikTok that data gleaned from its users is available to the Chinese government.

A December 2022 CSIS memo tabled at the inquiry Thursday said TikTok “has the potential to be exploited” by Beijing to “bolster its influence and power overseas, including in Canada.”

Asked about the app, Marty told the inquiry the Greens would benefit from more “direction and guidance,” given the party’s lack of resources to address such things.

Representatives of the Liberal and Conservative parties are slated to appear at the inquiry Friday, while chief electoral officer Stéphane Perrault is to testify at a later date.

After her party representatives appeared Thursday, Green Leader Elizabeth May told reporters it was important for all party leaders to work together to come up with acceptable rules.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Source link

Continue Reading

Politics

New Brunswick election candidate profile: Green Party Leader David Coon

Published

 on

 

FREDERICTON – A look at David Coon, leader of the Green Party of New Brunswick:

Born: Oct. 28, 1956.

Early years: Born in Toronto and raised in Montreal, he spent about three decades as an environmental advocate.

Education: A trained biologist, he graduated with a bachelor of science from McGill University in Montreal in 1978.

Family: He and his wife Janice Harvey have two daughters, Caroline and Laura.

Before politics: Worked as an environmental educator, organizer, activist and manager for 33 years, mainly with the Conservation Council of New Brunswick.

Politics: Joined the Green Party of Canada in May 2006 and was elected leader of the New Brunswick Green Party in September 2012. Won a seat in the legislature in 2014 — a first for the province’s Greens.

Quote: “It was despicable. He’s clearly decided to take the low road in this campaign, to adopt some Trump-lite fearmongering.” — David Coon on Sept. 12, 2024, reacting to Blaine Higgs’s claim that the federal government had decided to send 4,600 asylum seekers to New Brunswick.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Politics

New Brunswick election profile: Progressive Conservative Leader Blaine Higgs

Published

 on

 

FREDERICTON – A look at Blaine Higgs, leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick.

Born: March 1, 1954.

Early years: The son of a customs officer, he grew up in Forest City, N.B., near the Canada-U.S. border.

Education: Graduated from the University of New Brunswick with a degree in mechanical engineering in 1977.

Family: Married his high-school sweetheart, Marcia, and settled in Saint John, N.B., where they had four daughters: Lindsey, Laura, Sarah and Rachel.

Before politics: Hired by Irving Oil a week after he graduated from university and was eventually promoted to director of distribution. Worked for 33 years at the company.

Politics: Elected to the legislature in 2010 and later served as finance minister under former Progressive Conservative Premier David Alward. Elected Tory leader in 2016 and has been premier since 2018.

Quote: “I’ve always felt parents should play the main role in raising children. No one is denying gender diversity is real. But we need to figure out how to manage it.” — Blaine Higgs in a year-end interview in 2023, explaining changes to school policies about gender identity.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version