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What the decision to call the COVID-19 outbreak a pandemic means for Canada and the world – CBC.ca

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The World Health Organization’s decision to classify the coronavirus outbreak as a pandemic has implications for every country in the world, but experts say Canada is well positioned to respond to the crisis. 

“In the days and weeks ahead, we expect to see the number of COVID-19 cases, the number of deaths, and the number of affected countries climb even higher,” WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus told a news conference on Wednesday.

“We are deeply concerned both by the alarming levels of spread and severity, and by the alarming levels of inaction. We have therefore made the assessment that COVID-19 can be characterized as a pandemic.”

Some countries such as China, South Korea and Singapore have been able to control outbreaks. But other countries need to act more aggressively, he cautioned.  

When asked which countries aren’t doing enough to control the outbreak, Dr. Mike Ryan, head of WHO’s health emergencies program, would not specify.  

“You know who you are,” he said. 

What is a pandemic?

WHO defines a pandemic as the consistent spread around the world of a new disease to which the population has not yet gained immunity. The definition does not take into account the severity of illness — just how common it is now.  

Tedros said describing the situation as a pandemic does not change the WHO’s assessment of the threat posed by the coronavirus, or how countries or the WHO should respond.

What sets this apart from previous pandemics, such as the one caused by 2009 H1N1 flu, is that it was sparked by a coronavirus.

Ryan said health officials take the pandemic characterization seriously. 

“The fact is right now in countries, we have front-line health workers who need our help,” he said. “We have hospitals who need our support.”

‘Glad they finally did it’

Dr. Michael Gardam, an infectious disease physician and chief of staff at Humber River Hospital in Toronto, welcomed the pandemic call.

“Truthfully, I’m glad they finally did it,” Gardam said on CBC News Network. “We’ve been seeing this spread around the world and clearly it’s not being stopped.”

On Wednesday evening, U.S. President Donald Trump suspended all travel from Europe for 30 days, beginning Friday at midnight in an effort to combat the pandemic.

As well, the NBA suspended its entire season indefinitely after a Utah Jazz player tested positive Wednesday for the coronavirus. 

And actors Tom Hanks and Rita Wilson say they both have COVID-19.

Gardam said for anyone in Canada who’s been living in a “wishful bubble,” thinking the outbreak is happening elsewhere, the WHO’s decision bursts that bubble.

WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus made the announcement. (Fabrice Coffrini/AFP/Getty Images)

“This is really something which is a real threat to Canadians and we need to be thinking that way,” he said.

While travel from other affected regions accounted for all cases here at the beginning, Canadians “really need to think about control measures here at home now,” said Gardam. 

“Now it’s a matter of symptoms or not. If you don’t have symptoms — go about your life. If you are feeling flu-like symptoms, then stay away from people.”

Gardam cited the example of Italy, where weeks ago there were just a handful of cases that have since exploded. 

“By the time you start to get an inkling that you have spread in the broader general public, you need to act now if you’re going to slow this down,” he said. “It’s not a matter of stopping it, but it’s about slowing it down.”

‘U.S. probably the tipping point’

Jason Kindrachuk, an assistant professor and Canada Research Chair in emerging viruses at the University of Manitoba, said the reason the WHO made the decision Wednesday was because of the spread of the pandemic in Italy, Iran and the U.S. 

“I think the U.S. was probably the tipping point in a lot of ways,” he said, adding there was a belief that their health care systems would be able to contain the outbreak. 

“And we’ve seen that obviously that that is not been the case in the U.S.” 

Chairs in the U.S. Pentagon briefing room are set far apart based on ‘social distancing’ protocols deployed by the U.S. military to try to stem the spread of COVID-19. (Phil Stewart/Reuters)

What changes for Canada? 

Chief Public Health Officer Dr. Theresa Tam said late last month that Canada’s pandemic response plan is already in motion, and that Canada’s course of action would be much the same whether the WHO declared a pandemic or not.  

Gardam says Canadians need to shift their thinking about the outbreak and focus on what’s known as “social distancing,” by avoiding large gatherings, cancelling conferences and staying away from others who may be ill — without going overboard and hoarding supplies.

A woman shops for toilet paper at a local market. Toilet paper, hand sanitizer and other supplies are running low in many affected areas. (Carlos Barria/Reuters)

“I’m definitely avoiding larger crowds now because I cannot afford to get sick in my work here,” he said. 

“But I also haven’t run out to the store and bought four month supplies of water and toilet paper.” 

Kindrachuk says that if each person is in close contact with fewer people, then the virus has fewer opportunities to spread.

We’re going to see a lot more conversation about what do we do about things like concerts or sporting events or even university classes.– Jason Kindrachuk, emerging viruses researcher, University of Manitoba

“Once we see large groups of people kind of conglomerating, that creates a perfect incubator for disease spread,” he said. 

“We’re going to see a lot more conversation about what do we do about things like concerts or sporting events or even university classes. I think all these things are going to be on the table very quickly for discussion.” 

One area that experts agree on, is that Canada’s health care system needs to stay alert and prepared for the spread of the outbreak domestically. 

“I think we’re very early on in the course of the epidemic in Canada and we will certainly be seeing more and more cases in the days and weeks ahead,” Dr. Isaac Bogoch, an infectious disease physician at Toronto General Hospital. 

“We’re likely going to see more cases imported from a growing number of countries and then we’re also going to see more locally-acquired cases here in the country as well.”

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STD epidemic slows as new syphilis and gonorrhea cases fall in US

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NEW YORK (AP) — The U.S. syphilis epidemic slowed dramatically last year, gonorrhea cases fell and chlamydia cases remained below prepandemic levels, according to federal data released Tuesday.

The numbers represented some good news about sexually transmitted diseases, which experienced some alarming increases in past years due to declining condom use, inadequate sex education, and reduced testing and treatment when the COVID-19 pandemic hit.

Last year, cases of the most infectious stages of syphilis fell 10% from the year before — the first substantial decline in more than two decades. Gonorrhea cases dropped 7%, marking a second straight year of decline and bringing the number below what it was in 2019.

“I’m encouraged, and it’s been a long time since I felt that way” about the nation’s epidemic of sexually transmitted infections, said the CDC’s Dr. Jonathan Mermin. “Something is working.”

More than 2.4 million cases of syphilis, gonorrhea and chlamydia were diagnosed and reported last year — 1.6 million cases of chlamydia, 600,000 of gonorrhea, and more than 209,000 of syphilis.

Syphilis is a particular concern. For centuries, it was a common but feared infection that could deform the body and end in death. New cases plummeted in the U.S. starting in the 1940s when infection-fighting antibiotics became widely available, and they trended down for a half century after that. By 2002, however, cases began rising again, with men who have sex with other men being disproportionately affected.

The new report found cases of syphilis in their early, most infectious stages dropped 13% among gay and bisexual men. It was the first such drop since the agency began reporting data for that group in the mid-2000s.

However, there was a 12% increase in the rate of cases of unknown- or later-stage syphilis — a reflection of people infected years ago.

Cases of syphilis in newborns, passed on from infected mothers, also rose. There were nearly 4,000 cases, including 279 stillbirths and infant deaths.

“This means pregnant women are not being tested often enough,” said Dr. Jeffrey Klausner, a professor of medicine at the University of Southern California.

What caused some of the STD trends to improve? Several experts say one contributor is the growing use of an antibiotic as a “morning-after pill.” Studies have shown that taking doxycycline within 72 hours of unprotected sex cuts the risk of developing syphilis, gonorrhea and chlamydia.

In June, the CDC started recommending doxycycline as a morning-after pill, specifically for gay and bisexual men and transgender women who recently had an STD diagnosis. But health departments and organizations in some cities had been giving the pills to people for a couple years.

Some experts believe that the 2022 mpox outbreak — which mainly hit gay and bisexual men — may have had a lingering effect on sexual behavior in 2023, or at least on people’s willingness to get tested when strange sores appeared.

Another factor may have been an increase in the number of health workers testing people for infections, doing contact tracing and connecting people to treatment. Congress gave $1.2 billion to expand the workforce over five years, including $600 million to states, cities and territories that get STD prevention funding from CDC.

Last year had the “most activity with that funding throughout the U.S.,” said David Harvey, executive director of the National Coalition of STD Directors.

However, Congress ended the funds early as a part of last year’s debt ceiling deal, cutting off $400 million. Some people already have lost their jobs, said a spokeswoman for Harvey’s organization.

Still, Harvey said he had reasons for optimism, including the growing use of doxycycline and a push for at-home STD test kits.

Also, there are reasons to think the next presidential administration could get behind STD prevention. In 2019, then-President Donald Trump announced a campaign to “eliminate” the U.S. HIV epidemic by 2030. (Federal health officials later clarified that the actual goal was a huge reduction in new infections — fewer than 3,000 a year.)

There were nearly 32,000 new HIV infections in 2022, the CDC estimates. But a boost in public health funding for HIV could also also help bring down other sexually transmitted infections, experts said.

“When the government puts in resources, puts in money, we see declines in STDs,” Klausner said.

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The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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World’s largest active volcano Mauna Loa showed telltale warning signs before erupting in 2022

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WASHINGTON (AP) — Scientists can’t know precisely when a volcano is about to erupt, but they can sometimes pick up telltale signs.

That happened two years ago with the world’s largest active volcano. About two months before Mauna Loa spewed rivers of glowing orange molten lava, geologists detected small earthquakes nearby and other signs, and they warned residents on Hawaii‘s Big Island.

Now a study of the volcano’s lava confirms their timeline for when the molten rock below was on the move.

“Volcanoes are tricky because we don’t get to watch directly what’s happening inside – we have to look for other signs,” said Erik Klemetti Gonzalez, a volcano expert at Denison University, who was not involved in the study.

Upswelling ground and increased earthquake activity near the volcano resulted from magma rising from lower levels of Earth’s crust to fill chambers beneath the volcano, said Kendra Lynn, a research geologist at the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory and co-author of a new study in Nature Communications.

When pressure was high enough, the magma broke through brittle surface rock and became lava – and the eruption began in late November 2022. Later, researchers collected samples of volcanic rock for analysis.

The chemical makeup of certain crystals within the lava indicated that around 70 days before the eruption, large quantities of molten rock had moved from around 1.9 miles (3 kilometers) to 3 miles (5 kilometers) under the summit to a mile (2 kilometers) or less beneath, the study found. This matched the timeline the geologists had observed with other signs.

The last time Mauna Loa erupted was in 1984. Most of the U.S. volcanoes that scientists consider to be active are found in Hawaii, Alaska and the West Coast.

Worldwide, around 585 volcanoes are considered active.

Scientists can’t predict eruptions, but they can make a “forecast,” said Ben Andrews, who heads the global volcano program at the Smithsonian Institution and who was not involved in the study.

Andrews compared volcano forecasts to weather forecasts – informed “probabilities” that an event will occur. And better data about the past behavior of specific volcanos can help researchers finetune forecasts of future activity, experts say.

(asterisk)We can look for similar patterns in the future and expect that there’s a higher probability of conditions for an eruption happening,” said Klemetti Gonzalez.

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The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Waymo’s robotaxis now open to anyone who wants a driverless ride in Los Angeles

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Waymo on Tuesday opened its robotaxi service to anyone who wants a ride around Los Angeles, marking another milestone in the evolution of self-driving car technology since the company began as a secret project at Google 15 years ago.

The expansion comes eight months after Waymo began offering rides in Los Angeles to a limited group of passengers chosen from a waiting list that had ballooned to more than 300,000 people. Now, anyone with the Waymo One smartphone app will be able to request a ride around an 80-square-mile (129-square-kilometer) territory spanning the second largest U.S. city.

After Waymo received approval from California regulators to charge for rides 15 months ago, the company initially chose to launch its operations in San Francisco before offering a limited service in Los Angeles.

Before deciding to compete against conventional ride-hailing pioneers Uber and Lyft in California, Waymo unleashed its robotaxis in Phoenix in 2020 and has been steadily extending the reach of its service in that Arizona city ever since.

Driverless rides are proving to be more than just a novelty. Waymo says it now transports more than 50,000 weekly passengers in its robotaxis, a volume of business numbers that helped the company recently raise $5.6 billion from its corporate parent Alphabet and a list of other investors that included venture capital firm Andreesen Horowitz and financial management firm T. Rowe Price.

“Our service has matured quickly and our riders are embracing the many benefits of fully autonomous driving,” Waymo co-CEO Tekedra Mawakana said in a blog post.

Despite its inroads, Waymo is still believed to be losing money. Although Alphabet doesn’t disclose Waymo’s financial results, the robotaxi is a major part of an “Other Bets” division that had suffered an operating loss of $3.3 billion through the first nine months of this year, down from a setback of $4.2 billion at the same time last year.

But Waymo has come a long way since Google began working on self-driving cars in 2009 as part of project “Chauffeur.” Since its 2016 spinoff from Google, Waymo has established itself as the clear leader in a robotaxi industry that’s getting more congested.

Electric auto pioneer Tesla is aiming to launch a rival “Cybercab” service by 2026, although its CEO Elon Musk said he hopes the company can get the required regulatory clearances to operate in Texas and California by next year.

Tesla’s projected timeline for competing against Waymo has been met with skepticism because Musk has made unfulfilled promises about the company’s self-driving car technology for nearly a decade.

Meanwhile, Waymo’s robotaxis have driven more than 20 million fully autonomous miles and provided more than 2 million rides to passengers without encountering a serious accident that resulted in its operations being sidelined.

That safety record is a stark contrast to one of its early rivals, Cruise, a robotaxi service owned by General Motors. Cruise’s California license was suspended last year after one of its driverless cars in San Francisco dragged a jaywalking pedestrian who had been struck by a different car driven by a human.

Cruise is now trying to rebound by joining forces with Uber to make some of its services available next year in U.S. cities that still haven’t been announced. But Waymo also has forged a similar alliance with Uber to dispatch its robotaxi in Atlanta and Austin, Texas next year.

Another robotaxi service, Amazon’s Zoox, is hoping to begin offering driverless rides to the general public in Las Vegas at some point next year before also launching in San Francisco.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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