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What we know about Canada's real estate industry as we enter 2021 | RENX – Real Estate News EXchange

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If there has been one common theme throughout 2020, it has been uncertainty.

From the surge in e-commerce and its impact on commercial spaces, to the rise of the remote workforce impacting vacancy rates and investment in home offices, this year has quickly taught us the importance of embracing uncertainty and looking for opportunities in the face of adversity.

As we look to the new year, we have learned that to identify these opportunities and make a difference moving forward, it’s important to focus on the information available to us and what we can control.

What do we know about commercial real estate?

Traditionally, Canadian commercial real estate has been viewed as a relatively safe, low-risk investment.

However, the significant economic uncertainty and pandemic-driven safety measures such as lockdowns, physical distancing regulations and capacity limits have changed the projected trajectory of the commercial landscape in the near, and potentially long, term.

On one hand, the commercial market is seeing retail stores close their doors due to forced lockdowns. In turn, lost revenue as well as a growing consumer shift to online option is triggering increasing demand for industrial properties.

On the other hand, many businesses that have successfully transitioned to a remote workplace are assessing the future need for physical office space and considering a shift to a hybrid or entirely remote setting moving forward. Still others will wait to see how society adjusts in the coming months to make these types of decisions.

While some government measures are in place to help businesses that have experienced a significant drop in revenue in most of these situations landlords are still not made whole.

Additionally, the majority of these measures are only short term, meaning that unless the economy significantly picks up property owners may be forced to sell or restructure existing debt – if that option is available to them.

However, it’s not all bad news for the commercial sector. Industrial properties and warehouses will continue to thrive as the surge in e-commerce persists, further fuelling the need for these types of spaces.

The same can be said for multifamily buildings, which have seen an increase in investment activity since the start of the pandemic and is a segment that is expected to continue experiencing high demand as immigration picks up.

What do we know about residential real estate?

Unlike the commercial landscape, residential real estate has always been inherently cyclical and accustomed to a degree of uncertainty and risk. While the pandemic has added a new level of uneasiness and tightening in the market, the reality is that the fundamentals do not change.

Major cities known for having ample employment opportunities inherited large populations as Canadians attempted to ease their daily commute by living closer to their physical office.

However, the emerging remote workplace has opened new possibilities for Canadians and has resulted in many trading in smaller spaces in urban markets for larger spaces in suburban or rural communities.

As well, if we see an increase in interest rates in the new year, that could lead to an influx of buyers racing to enter the market before rates climb in an effort to avoid higher borrowing costs than the record lows the market is currently experiencing.

A spike in interest rates also has the potential to add risk, meaning previously low-risk borrowers may now be considered higher-risk. This creates new obstacles for first-time homebuyers or homeowners looking to refinance their mortgages.

Finding opportunity amid uncertainty

Trying to make sense of the uncertainty in 2020 isn’t easy, but it’s important to focus on the things we can control.

At FCT, this year has taught us to prioritize two things: safety and innovation. We remain committed to supporting the health and safety of our customers, partners and employees, and to explore new ways to leverage technology to improve and transform the real estate industry as we continue to adjust to our new reality.

As we look forward to 2021, we need to continue to embrace the unexpected and look for opportunities in the face of uncertainty.

It will be a year of transformation and real estate professionals who closely monitor the market and shift strategies to stay ahead of new and emerging trends will have the advantage

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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