What's up with B.C. real estate? Sales are down but prices are dramatically up - CTV News Vancouver | Canada News Media
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What's up with B.C. real estate? Sales are down but prices are dramatically up – CTV News Vancouver

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It’s a bit of a paradox in B.C.’s real estate market right now. Sales have fallen year-over-year in July but prices are substantially up. What’s going on?

The answer is quite simple really. There are many buyers chasing very few listings, especially in outlying areas that saw a surge in demand last year as people sought more affordable areas to live and work from home.

“And those markets were already pretty undersupplied and that surge of demand meant that the already low level of supply absolutely plummeted and now we have a real supply drought, especially in small markets,” said Brendon Ogmundson, B.C. Real Estate Association chief economist.

The B.C. Real Estate Association reports that overall provincial sales in July were down 7.2 per cent over the same time last year while the average price on all home types increased 17.1 per cent.

The biggest price increases occurred in places like Chilliwack (26.5 per cent), Kamloops (25.5 per cent), and Kootenay (21.8 per cent) and Fraser Valley (17.5 per cent). The price rose while the total number of sales fell.

The total active residential real estate listings province-wide were down 32.2 per cent year-over-year in July and continue to fall on a monthly seasonally adjusted basis.

The good properties sell quickly, sometimes with multiple offers, while the lower quality listings are harder to sell.

The average residential price in B.C. in July was $891,687 and the economic forecast is for prices to continue to rise. Greater Vancouver had an average residential price in July of $1,153,804, an increase over last year of 10.4 per cent.

Ogmundson expects B.C.’s economy to grow six per cent this year and four per cent next year. A robust economy combined with low mortgage rates and low housing inventory will likely push residential real estate prices even higher.

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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