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Why grumpy old men will save politics – POLITICO Europe

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Maciej Kisilowski is an associate professor of law and strategy at Central European University.

The dramatic return to national politics of Donald Tusk, the former Polish prime minister and European Council president, adds to a growing worldwide trend: veteran insiders throwing their hats back in the ring to challenge right-wing authoritarians.

In addition to Tusk, who announced on Saturday that he would lead the charge against Poland’s Law and Justice Party, other recent examples include Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who is taking on the incumbent Jair Bolsonaro, and U.S. President Joe Biden, who ejected Donald Trump from the White House.

While each of these comebacks is woven into its distinct national context, there are some commonalities as to why these veteran politicians may be particularly well suited to overthrow right-wing rulers.

To begin with, leaders like Tusk, Lula and Biden are well positioned to puncture the “invincibility myth” that surrounds many right-wing populists. That aura of being unbeatable — and concomitant narrative about the democratic opposition’s incorrigible weakness — is a key part of an autocrat’s political strategy.

In countries like Hungary, Turkey and Russia, where right-wing regimes are entrenched, state apparatuses keep busy making sure the on-the-ground reality matches this narrative. Politicized judiciary and law enforcement, state-controlled media and the “mafia state” of regime-friendly business networks are all laser-focused on making the formation of a viable and unified opposition all but impossible.

So who better to break this vicious cycle of self-fulfilling inevitability than a former president, vice president or prime minister — all with the proven ability to win tough elections?

Moreover, elder statesmen could, paradoxically, be even more eager to take bold steps than their younger counterparts in the liberal camp. While younger leaders may inevitably be prone to weighing the risks to their political careers for multiple election cycles down the road, veterans benefit from an immediacy of focus, doing whatever it takes, here and now.

“We are entering the field to fight this evil,” Tusk bluntly announced in his Saturday address to his liberal Civic Platform party congress. The 75-year-old Lula, currently the frontrunner for next year’s presidential ballot in Brazil, struck a similar note of preparedness, stating, “I usually run 9 kilometers a day, Monday to Friday … I need to get my legs ready to fix this country’s problems.”

Putting such promises directly into practice, the early days of Biden’s presidency were marked by an immediate flurry of activity aimed at dismantling Trump’s policies. Add to that a stunningly ambitious $1.9-trillion stimulus bill and serious headway on a host of other decidedly progressive policy measures, and Biden proves that there may be more than just political rhetoric to these statements.

The bold return of these veteran insiders should be welcomed. Playing a long game in a dying democracy can be disastrously misguided. A quick comparative timeline of such democracies — Brazil (two and a half years since the autocratic takeover), the U.S. (four years, at the end of Trump’s presidency), Poland (five years), Hungary (11 years), Turkey (18 years), Russia (22 years) — shows that the realistic ability to oppose the ruling regime diminishes with every day that democrats wait for “a better moment.”

Which raises an important final point: The allure of veteran insiders is, in part, a sign of the weakness in the younger generation of liberal politicians, who have been heavily influenced by the success of politicians like former U.S. President Barack Obama, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and French President Emmanuel Macron.

The trouble is that while the Obama-Trudeau-Macron archetype seems to work well in normal democratic politics, there is reason to believe it may be less productive during times of consolidating autocracy.

Take Poland, for example. Since PiS’s 2015 victory, the country saw three promising but ultimately unsuccessful attempts to mimic this political model: Robert Biedroń, the openly gay mayor of the mid-sized town of Słupsk was — like Obama — an aspirational “first” and a challenger to the conservative glass ceiling. Szymon Hołownia, a liberal Catholic TV star, had built a large following by using his high levels of social media savvy. And Rafał Trzaskowski, the telegenic mayor of Warsaw who narrowly lost to PiS’s Andrzej Duda in last year’s presidential election, presented himself as a bookish, Oxford-educated polyglot, embodying the Western aspirations of Poland’s progressive society.

One of the reasons these challenges didn’t succeed is because, to a large extent, they’re playing the authoritarians at their own game — offering voters a similarly heroic story, just on the progressive side. When it comes to dislodging authoritarians obsessively focused on their own narratives, it’s perhaps no surprise that more empathetic challengers will have better luck. This is especially true in the current political context, marked by the uncertainty and trauma of the pandemic. Politicians who don’t have to prove themselves can focus on the voters, their fears and their needs — which is why the ruling party in Poland should be very worried by Tusk’s return.

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‘Disgraceful:’ N.S. Tory leader slams school’s request that military remove uniform

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston says it’s “disgraceful and demeaning” that a Halifax-area school would request that service members not wear military uniforms to its Remembrance Day ceremony.

Houston’s comments were part of a chorus of criticism levelled at the school — Sackville Heights Elementary — whose administration decided to back away from the plan after the outcry.

A November newsletter from the school in Middle Sackville, N.S., invited Armed Forces members to attend its ceremony but asked that all attendees arrive in civilian attire to “maintain a welcoming environment for all.”

Houston, who is currently running for re-election, accused the school’s leaders of “disgracing themselves while demeaning the people who protect our country” in a post on the social media platform X Thursday night.

“If the people behind this decision had a shred of the courage that our veterans have, this cowardly and insulting idea would have been rejected immediately,” Houston’s post read. There were also several calls for resignations within the school’s administration attached to Houston’s post.

In an email to families Thursday night, the school’s principal, Rachael Webster, apologized and welcomed military family members to attend “in the attire that makes them most comfortable.”

“I recognize this request has caused harm and I am deeply sorry,” Webster’s email read, adding later that the school has the “utmost respect for what the uniform represents.”

Webster said the initial request was out of concern for some students who come from countries experiencing conflict and who she said expressed discomfort with images of war, including military uniforms.

Her email said any students who have concerns about seeing Armed Forces members in uniform can be accommodated in a way that makes them feel safe, but she provided no further details in the message.

Webster did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

At a news conference Friday, Houston said he’s glad the initial request was reversed but said he is still concerned.

“I can’t actually fathom how a decision like that was made,” Houston told reporters Friday, adding that he grew up moving between military bases around the country while his father was in the Armed Forces.

“My story of growing up in a military family is not unique in our province. The tradition of service is something so many of us share,” he said.

“Saying ‘lest we forget’ is a solemn promise to the fallen. It’s our commitment to those that continue to serve and our commitment that we will pass on our respects to the next generation.”

Liberal Leader Zach Churchill also said he’s happy with the school’s decision to allow uniformed Armed Forces members to attend the ceremony, but he said he didn’t think it was fair to question the intentions of those behind the original decision.

“We need to have them (uniforms) on display at Remembrance Day,” he said. “Not only are we celebrating (veterans) … we’re also commemorating our dead who gave the greatest sacrifice for our country and for the freedoms we have.”

NDP Leader Claudia Chender said that while Remembrance Day is an important occasion to honour veterans and current service members’ sacrifices, she said she hopes Houston wasn’t taking advantage of the decision to “play politics with this solemn occasion for his own political gain.”

“I hope Tim Houston reached out to the principal of the school before making a public statement,” she said in a statement.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Saskatchewan NDP’s Beck holds first caucus meeting after election, outlines plans

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REGINA – Saskatchewan Opposition NDP Leader Carla Beck says she wants to prove to residents her party is the government in waiting as she heads into the incoming legislative session.

Beck held her first caucus meeting with 27 members, nearly double than what she had before the Oct. 28 election but short of the 31 required to form a majority in the 61-seat legislature.

She says her priorities will be health care and cost-of-living issues.

Beck says people need affordability help right now and will press Premier Scott Moe’s Saskatchewan Party government to cut the gas tax and the provincial sales tax on children’s clothing and some grocery items.

Beck’s NDP is Saskatchewan’s largest Opposition in nearly two decades after sweeping Regina and winning all but one seat in Saskatoon.

The Saskatchewan Party won 34 seats, retaining its hold on all of the rural ridings and smaller cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Nova Scotia election: Liberals say province’s immigration levels are too high

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia‘s growing population was the subject of debate on Day 12 of the provincial election campaign, with Liberal Leader Zach Churchill arguing immigration levels must be reduced until the province can provide enough housing and health-care services.

Churchill said Thursday a plan by the incumbent Progressive Conservatives to double the province’s population to two million people by the year 2060 is unrealistic and unsustainable.

“That’s a big leap and it’s making life harder for people who live here, (including ) young people looking for a place to live and seniors looking to downsize,” he told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

Anticipating that his call for less immigration might provoke protests from the immigrant community, Churchill was careful to note that he is among the third generation of a family that moved to Nova Scotia from Lebanon.

“I know the value of immigration, the importance of it to our province. We have been built on the backs of an immigrant population. But we just need to do it in a responsible way.”

The Liberal leader said Tim Houston’s Tories, who are seeking a second term in office, have made a mistake by exceeding immigration targets set by the province’s Department of Labour and Immigration. Churchill said a Liberal government would abide by the department’s targets.

In the most recent fiscal year, the government welcomed almost 12,000 immigrants through its nominee program, exceeding the department’s limit by more than 4,000, he said. The numbers aren’t huge, but the increase won’t help ease the province’s shortages in housing and doctors, and the increased strain on its infrastructure, including roads, schools and cellphone networks, Churchill said.

“(The Immigration Department) has done the hard work on this,” he said. “They know where the labour gaps are, and they know what growth is sustainable.”

In response, Houston said his commitment to double the population was a “stretch goal.” And he said the province had long struggled with a declining population before that trend was recently reversed.

“The only immigration that can come into this province at this time is if they are a skilled trade worker or a health-care worker,” Houston said. “The population has grown by two per cent a year, actually quite similar growth to what we experienced under the Liberal government before us.”

Still, Houston said he’s heard Nova Scotians’ concerns about population growth, and he then pivoted to criticize Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for trying to send 6,000 asylum seekers to Nova Scotia, an assertion the federal government has denied.

Churchill said Houston’s claim about asylum seekers was shameful.

“It’s smoke and mirrors,” the Liberal leader said. “He is overshooting his own department’s numbers for sustainable population growth and yet he is trying to blame this on asylum seekers … who aren’t even here.”

In September, federal Immigration Minister Marc Miller said there is no plan to send any asylum seekers to the province without compensation or the consent of the premier. He said the 6,000 number was an “aspirational” figure based on models that reflect each province’s population.

In Halifax, NDP Leader Claudia Chender said it’s clear Nova Scotia needs more doctors, nurses and skilled trades people.

“Immigration has been and always will be a part of the Nova Scotia story, but we need to build as we grow,” Chender said. “This is why we have been pushing the Houston government to build more affordable housing.”

Chender was in a Halifax cafe on Thursday when she promised her party would remove the province’s portion of the harmonized sales tax from all grocery, cellphone and internet bills if elected to govern on Nov. 26. The tax would also be removed from the sale and installation of heat pumps.

“Our focus is on helping people to afford their lives,” Chender told reporters. “We know there are certain things that you can’t live without: food, internet and a phone …. So we know this will have the single biggest impact.”

The party estimates the measure would save the average Nova Scotia family about $1,300 a year.

“That’s a lot more than a one or two per cent HST cut,” Chender said, referring to the Progressive Conservative pledge to reduce the tax by one percentage point and the Liberal promise to trim it by two percentage points.

Elsewhere on the campaign trail, Houston announced that a Progressive Conservative government would make parking free at all Nova Scotia hospitals and health-care centres. The promise was also made by the Liberals in their election platform released Monday.

“Free parking may not seem like a big deal to some, but … the parking, especially for people working at the facilities, can add up to hundreds of dollars,” the premier told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

— With files from Keith Doucette in Halifax

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