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Will Canadian Banks Spoil the TSX Rally Next Week? – The Motley Fool Canada

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The Santa Claus rally has arrived a tad early this year. Driven by the vaccine news, the otherwise muted November has brought more than 11% gains for the TSX Index. However, broader markets face the moment of truth as Big Six Canadian banks plan to release their fiscal fourth-quarter earnings next week.

Canadian bank stocks are the biggest constituents of the TSX Index. One can expect a strong dominance of these stocks on the index movement for the next few weeks. The TSX Index has soared more than 55%, while Canadian bank stocks at large have surged 45% since the respective pandemic lows in March.

Canadian banks to report earnings next week

The biggest among them, Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY)(NYSE:RY) will report its quarterly earnings next Wednesday. The sequential growth both on revenues as well as on the earnings front might see some lift.

However, it might take years to reach 2019 profitability levels. The strong performance of the capital market segment will likely remain the bright spot once again. Surging markets added record profits for almost all banks in the fiscal third quarter, and the trend could continue in Q4 as well.

Royal Bank has already set aside $3.5 billion in provisions for bad loans in the last two quarters. Its cautious provisioning will likely curtail the dent in the upcoming quarterly earnings.

No increase in dividends

Canadian regulators have barred banks and financial institutions from increasing dividends or buying back shares due to the economic fallout. Although that might hurt investors in the near term, cash retention is more vital for banks to weather the crisis. Royal Bank will pay a dividend of $4.32 per share in 2020, implying an annualized yield of 4%.

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD)(NYSE:TD), the second-biggest bank by market cap, will report its quarterly earnings next Thursday. While a resilient housing market and increasing repayments from borrowers could underpin banks’ earnings, higher deposits and lower interest rates could impact their margins.

TD stock has soared 45% since its record lows in March. It yields 4.4%, higher than TSX stocks at large.

I don’t see any substantial movement in Canadian bank stocks driven by their upcoming earnings. While quarterly earnings growth could remain subdued, their strong balance sheets and attractive dividend profiles might continue to attract long-term investors.

Bank of Nova Scotia (TSX:BNS)(NYSE:BNS), the country’s third-biggest bank, will report earnings on Tuesday. Apart from its earnings, how Scotiabank’s management looks forward to 2021 will be a key driver for its stock. Notably, it is the cheapest stock from the valuation standpoint among the Big-Six Canadian banks.

Broader economic recovery in 2021

A sooner than expected vaccine launch could remarkably alleviate uncertainty and could restart corporate investments, which will once again boost employment and help the economy get back on track.

Certainly, it will take time. But I’m expecting a strong comeback in the second half of next year, assuming the vaccine reaches a large population by then. Limited restrictions and promising changes on the vaccine front should drive the economic recovery.

If you are not looking for substantial gains in the short term, but stability and dividends are your priority, then Canadian bank stocks should be your bet.

Apart from Canadian banks, here are some of the top dividend stocks..

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Fool contributor Vineet Kulkarni has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA.

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Canada Goose to get into eyewear through deal with Marchon

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TORONTO – Canada Goose Holdings Inc. says it has signed a deal that will result in the creation of its first eyewear collection.

The deal announced on Thursday by the Toronto-based luxury apparel company comes in the form of an exclusive, long-term global licensing agreement with Marchon Eyewear Inc.

The terms and value of the agreement were not disclosed, but Marchon produces eyewear for brands including Lacoste, Nike, Calvin Klein, Ferragamo, Longchamp and Zeiss.

Marchon plans to roll out both sunglasses and optical wear under the Canada Goose name next spring, starting in North America.

Canada Goose says the eyewear will be sold through optical retailers, department stores, Canada Goose shops and its website.

Canada Goose CEO Dani Reiss told The Canadian Press in August that he envisioned his company eventually expanding into eyewear and luggage.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GOOS)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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A timeline of events in the bread price-fixing scandal

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Almost seven years since news broke of an alleged conspiracy to fix the price of packaged bread across Canada, the saga isn’t over: the Competition Bureau continues to investigate the companies that may have been involved, and two class-action lawsuits continue to work their way through the courts.

Here’s a timeline of key events in the bread price-fixing case.

Oct. 31, 2017: The Competition Bureau says it’s investigating allegations of bread price-fixing and that it was granted search warrants in the case. Several grocers confirm they are co-operating in the probe.

Dec. 19, 2017: Loblaw and George Weston say they participated in an “industry-wide price-fixing arrangement” to raise the price of packaged bread. The companies say they have been co-operating in the Competition Bureau’s investigation since March 2015, when they self-reported to the bureau upon discovering anti-competitive behaviour, and are receiving immunity from prosecution. They announce they are offering $25 gift cards to customers amid the ongoing investigation into alleged bread price-fixing.

Jan. 31, 2018: In court documents, the Competition Bureau says at least $1.50 was added to the price of a loaf of bread between about 2001 and 2016.

Dec. 20, 2019: A class-action lawsuit in a Quebec court against multiple grocers and food companies is certified against a number of companies allegedly involved in bread price-fixing, including Loblaw, George Weston, Metro, Sobeys, Walmart Canada, Canada Bread and Giant Tiger (which have all denied involvement, except for Loblaw and George Weston, which later settled with the plaintiffs).

Dec. 31, 2021: A class-action lawsuit in an Ontario court covering all Canadian residents except those in Quebec who bought packaged bread from a company named in the suit is certified against roughly the same group of companies.

June 21, 2023: Bakery giant Canada Bread Co. is fined $50 million after pleading guilty to four counts of price-fixing under the Competition Act as part of the Competition Bureau’s ongoing investigation.

Oct. 25 2023: Canada Bread files a statement of defence in the Ontario class action denying participating in the alleged conspiracy and saying any anti-competitive behaviour it participated in was at the direction and to the benefit of its then-majority owner Maple Leaf Foods, which is not a defendant in the case (neither is its current owner Grupo Bimbo). Maple Leaf calls Canada Bread’s accusations “baseless.”

Dec. 20, 2023: Metro files new documents in the Ontario class action accusing Loblaw and its parent company George Weston of conspiring to implicate it in the alleged scheme, denying involvement. Sobeys has made a similar claim. The two companies deny the allegations.

July 25, 2024: Loblaw and George Weston say they agreed to pay a combined $500 million to settle both the Ontario and Quebec class-action lawsuits. Loblaw’s share of the settlement includes a $96-million credit for the gift cards it gave out years earlier.

Sept. 12, 2024: Canada Bread files new documents in Ontario court as part of the class action, claiming Maple Leaf used it as a “shield” to avoid liability in the alleged scheme. Maple Leaf was a majority shareholder of Canada Bread until 2014, and the company claims it’s liable for any price-fixing activity. Maple Leaf refutes the claims.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:L, TSX:MFI, TSX:MRU, TSX:EMP.A, TSX:WN)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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TD CEO to retire next year, takes responsibility for money laundering failures

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TORONTO – TD Bank Group, which is mired in a money laundering scandal in the U.S., says chief executive Bharat Masrani will retire next year.

Masrani, who will retire officially on April 10, 2025, says the bank’s, “anti-money laundering challenges,” took place on his watch and he takes full responsibility.

The bank named Raymond Chun, TD’s group head, Canadian personal banking, as his successor.

As part of a transition plan, Chun will become chief operating officer on Nov. 1 before taking over the top job when Masrani steps down at the bank’s annual meeting next year.

TD also announced that Riaz Ahmed, group head, wholesale banking and president and CEO of TD Securities, will retire at the end of January 2025.

TD has taken billions in charges related to ongoing U.S. investigations into the failure of its anti-money laundering program.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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