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Will Canadian mortgage rates go any lower?

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Canadian mortgage rates

The Covid-19 pandemic has brought about various shifts in the Canadian economy. The government has been at the forefront in trying to tame the pandemic while preventing further job losses. The real estate has not been left behind.

The Canadian Central bank has several times slashed the benchmark interest rate bringing it down to its current 0.25%. This has in turn directly affected the calculation of mortgage rates. These cuts are meant to prompt buyers to take advantage of the lower mortgages to acquire homes.

Buyers to take advantage of affordable homes in Calgary

When you compare home prices in Calgary with other big cities in Canada like Vancouver or Toronto, then you will realize that the town is very ideal for first-time homeowners. In Vancouver, the average price of a single-family home will set you back to $1,501,900 and around $685,800 for an apartment. This compares sharply with Calgary, where the average price as of August 2020, is $466,000 for a single-family home and $248,500 for an apartment.

Calgary proximity to mountainous scenery and excellent views makes it an excellent choice for city dwellers willing to change environments. The lower prices for houses in Calgary against the big cities means that homeowners have more money left in their budgets for home improvements. Finding a Calgary painting company isn’t that hard with many occupying the market. The extra money one gets from low mortgage rates can be applied to various residential and commercial painting services. This is more pronounced should you decide to purchase a second-hand home. Repainting offers you the benefits of changing the curb appeal of the house, improve appraisal values and protect walls from destruction.

CMHC Predicts further dips in home prices across Canadian cities

According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp (CMHC), it is estimated that home prices will decline by up to 12% over the next 18 months. While these are just predictions and a lot may happen between now and 2022, it will influence a lot the demand and supply of houses in major Canadian cities like Vancouver, Toronto, Montreal, and Calgary.

The predictions are further complicated by the fact that many health observers are not sure whether there is going to be a second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic. The most hit by the pandemic are part-time and wage earners. This means that the demand for housing has moved more towards the single-detached and low-rise homes. Demand for housing has also been stifled by low immigration numbers due to the pandemic.

Most analysts believe that the Benchmark interest rate is at its lowest and they do not expect it to go further down. However, it is still too early to be conclusive on the effects of the pandemic on the housing market as most big cities’ housing markets have remained resilient. In Calgary, the decline in housing prices is expected to be between 2.5% to 12%. Other cities still recovering from the oil and gas recession like Quebec, and Ontario, recovery may take some time.

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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