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Will Canadians see cheaper gas prices this fall? Here's what analysts say – National | Globalnews.ca – Global News

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Throughout summer, the price of gas has hit Canadians’ wallets as COVID-19 continues its spread with the Delta variant.

The country, which is in a fourth wave of the pandemic, has seen gas prices rise due to the uncertainty around demand as the resurgence in the virus threatened economies from fully reopening. Prices reached as high as $1.74 per litre in Vancouver in July.

But with the average price of Canadian gas sitting around $1.40 per litre as of Wednesday, one petroleum analyst thinks Canadians might be in for some relief come fall.

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Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy.com, told Global News that with oil producers switching to cheaper winter fuel blends as of Sept. 16, Canadians might see prices slide to under $1.35, or as low as $1.25 on average, as we head into October and November.

“Or even in an optimal situation, maybe even getting down to a $1.20, but I don’t see much more relief than that yet,” he said.

“Of course, there’s a lot that could change the course of declines.”

One of those changes could be another hurricane, he said. Hurricane Ida’s destruction in the southern U.S. forced the closure of several oil refineries, which pushed Canadian prices up after averaging at $1.35 last week.






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On Wednesday, the most expensive gas was in British Columbia, which averaged around $1.54, while the cheapest was in Saskatchewan with prices floating around $1.31, according to GasBuddy.com.

Another change to watch out for is how the pandemic plays out in Canada and other major oil-consuming countries like the United States and China, De Haan said.

“Though Canada is very much aligned with the U.S. on its COVID response, if the U.S. deviates and say, for example, the U.S. shuts down and Canada does not, that’s going to make a bigger shockwave,” he said.

“So watch what happens in China with the response to COVID. India is another large oil consumer and the U.S. I would watch what OPEC does — if they shift their policy and of course, the overall global economy.”

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Roger McKnight, chief petroleum analyst with En-Pro International Inc., is split on the issue.

He said while Canadian prices follow those in the United States, it’s hard to predict what price points could be in the fall.

“I do the gasoline predictions for the next day every day of the week, and I know what factors go into that price change tomorrow but when you come to a week from now, a month from now, the middle of October, anything can happen for goodness sake,” he told Global News.

“I mean, it is a function of demand, not necessarily supply. That can be altered by shale oil production coming back on or OPEC kicking in more crude oil like they say they’re going to do in September, but it’s the demand side and that’s what’s driving this whole darn thing.”






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McKnight added that he’ll be watching how vaccine mandates play out across Canada.

“If the mandated vaccine programs come into effect that will increase demand because people will say, ‘OK, everything’s under control and I can get back to work now,’” he said.

“If variant number one, two or three shows up and people start hiding behind the curtains in the home again, that will decrease demand and lower prices, so it’s a coin toss either way. I don’t know how anybody can say what the price is going to be in September when you’ve got those two variables in the equation.”

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To put the price changes into context, De Haan provided data for the two years before the pandemic.

In September 2018, average Canadian prices were at $1.30. By January, prices dropped to $1.02.

In 2019, fall prices averaged at $1.15 and dropped to $1.14 by January.

“Given that we’re now in a COVID era, there’s nothing really that we can compare where we are now to past history,” De Haan said.

“I think there will be relief, but I just think that relief could be enhanced or disrupted by the amount of COVID cases and the action in response to a change in cases from OPEC, Canadian oil producers, (and) from U.S. oil producers. So there’s more difficulty getting a prediction right but I think the overall trend should remain downward simply because prices are so elevated compared to where they were prior to COVID.”

–With files from The Canadian Press

© 2021 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.

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Virginia Democrats advance efforts to protect abortion, voting rights, marriage equality

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RICHMOND, Va. (AP) — Democrats who control both chambers of the Virginia legislature are hoping to make good on promises made on the campaign trail, including becoming the first Southern state to expand constitutional protections for abortion access.

The House Privileges and Elections Committee advanced three proposed constitutional amendments Wednesday, including a measure to protect reproductive rights. Its members also discussed measures to repeal a now-defunct state constitutional ban on same-sex marriage and ways to revise Virginia’s process to restore voting rights for people who served time for felony crimes.

“This meeting was an important next step considering the moment in history we find ourselves in,” Democratic Del. Cia Price, the committee chair, said during a news conference. “We have urgent threats to our freedoms that could impact constituents in all of the districts we serve.”

The at-times raucous meeting will pave the way for the House and Senate to take up the resolutions early next year after lawmakers tabled the measures last January. Democrats previously said the move was standard practice, given that amendments are typically introduced in odd-numbered years. But Republican Minority Leader Todd Gilbert said Wednesday the committee should not have delved into the amendments before next year’s legislative session. He said the resolutions, particularly the abortion amendment, need further vetting.

“No one who is still serving remembers it being done in this way ever,” Gilbert said after the meeting. “Certainly not for something this important. This is as big and weighty an issue as it gets.”

The Democrats’ legislative lineup comes after Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin, to the dismay of voting-rights advocates, rolled back a process to restore people’s civil rights after they completed sentences for felonies. Virginia is the only state that permanently bans anyone convicted of a felony from voting unless a governor restores their rights.

“This amendment creates a process that is bounded by transparent rules and criteria that will apply to everybody — it’s not left to the discretion of a single individual,” Del. Elizabeth Bennett-Parker, the patron of the voting rights resolution, which passed along party lines, said at the news conference.

Though Democrats have sparred with the governor over their legislative agenda, constitutional amendments put forth by lawmakers do not require his signature, allowing the Democrat-led House and Senate to bypass Youngkin’s blessing.

Instead, the General Assembly must pass proposed amendments twice in at least two years, with a legislative election sandwiched between each statehouse session. After that, the public can vote by referendum on the issues. The cumbersome process will likely hinge upon the success of all three amendments on Democrats’ ability to preserve their edge in the House and Senate, where they hold razor-thin majorities.

It’s not the first time lawmakers have attempted to champion the three amendments. Republicans in a House subcommittee killed a constitutional amendment to restore voting rights in 2022, a year after the measure passed in a Democrat-led House. The same subcommittee also struck down legislation supporting a constitutional amendment to repeal an amendment from 2006 banning marriage equality.

On Wednesday, a bipartisan group of lawmakers voted 16-5 in favor of legislation protecting same-sex marriage, with four Republicans supporting the resolution.

“To say the least, voters enacted this (amendment) in 2006, and we have had 100,000 voters a year become of voting age since then,” said Del. Mark Sickles, who sponsored the amendment as one of the first openly gay men serving in the General Assembly. “Many people have changed their opinions of this as the years have passed.”

A constitutional amendment protecting abortion previously passed the Senate in 2023 but died in a Republican-led House. On Wednesday, the amendment passed on party lines.

If successful, the resolution proposed by House Majority Leader Charniele Herring would be part of a growing trend of reproductive rights-related ballot questions given to voters. Since 2022, 18 questions have gone before voters across the U.S., and they have sided with abortion rights advocates 14 times.

The voters have approved constitutional amendments ensuring the right to abortion until fetal viability in nine states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Ohio and Vermont. Voters also passed a right-to-abortion measure in Nevada in 2024, but it must be passed again in 2026 to be added to the state constitution.

As lawmakers debated the measure, roughly 18 members spoke. Mercedes Perkins, at 38 weeks pregnant, described the importance of women making decisions about their own bodies. Rhea Simon, another Virginia resident, anecdotally described how reproductive health care shaped her life.

Then all at once, more than 50 people lined up to speak against the abortion amendment.

“Let’s do the compassionate thing and care for mothers and all unborn children,” resident Sheila Furey said.

The audience gave a collective “Amen,” followed by a round of applause.

___

Associated Press writer Geoff Mulvihill in Cherry Hill, New Jersey, contributed to this report.

___

Olivia Diaz is a corps member for The Associated Press/Report for America Statehouse News Initiative.

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Vancouver Canucks winger Joshua set for season debut after cancer treatment

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Vancouver Canucks winger Dakota Joshua is set to make his season debut Thursday after missing time for cancer treatment.

Head coach Rick Tocchet says Joshua will slot into the lineup Thursday when Vancouver (8-3-3) hosts the New York Islanders.

The 28-year-old from Dearborn, Mich., was diagnosed with testicular cancer this summer and underwent surgery in early September.

He spoke earlier this month about his recovery, saying it had been “very hard to go through” and that he was thankful for support from his friends, family, teammates and fans.

“That was a scary time but I am very thankful and just happy to be in this position still and be able to go out there and play,,” Joshua said following Thursday’s morning skate.

The cancer diagnosis followed a career season where Joshua contributed 18 goals and 14 assists across 63 regular-season games, then added four goals and four assists in the playoffs.

Now, he’s ready to focus on contributing again.

“I expect to be good, I don’t expect a grace period. I’ve been putting the work in so I expect to come out there and make an impact as soon as possible,” he said.

“I don’t know if it’s going to be perfect right from the get-go, but it’s about putting your best foot forward and working your way to a point of perfection.”

The six-foot-three, 206-pound Joshua signed a four-year, US$13-million contract extension at the end of June.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 14, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump chooses anti-vaccine activist Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as health secretary

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NEW YORK (AP) — President-elect Donald Trump says he will nominate anti-vaccine activist Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to lead the Department of Health and Human Services, putting him in charge of a massive agency that oversees everything from drug, vaccine and food safety to medical research and the social safety net programs Medicare and Medicaid.

“For too long, Americans have been crushed by the industrial food complex and drug companies who have engaged in deception, misinformation, and disinformation when it comes to Public Health,” Trump said in a post on his Truth Social site announcing the appointment. Kennedy, he said, would “Make America Great and Healthy Again!”

Kennedy, a former Democrat who ran as an independent in this year’s presidential race, abandoned his bid after striking a deal to give Trump his endorsement with a promise to have a role in health policy in the administration.

He and Trump have since become good friends, with Kennedy frequently receiving loud applause at Trump’s rallies.

The expected appointment was first reported by Politico Thursday.

A longtime vaccine skeptic, Kennedy is an attorney who has built a loyal following over several decades of people who admire his lawsuits against major pesticide and pharmaceutical companies. He has pushed for tighter regulations around the ingredients in foods.

With the Trump campaign, he worked to shore up support among young mothers in particular, with his message of making food healthier in the U.S., promising to model regulations imposed in Europe. In a nod to Trump’s original campaign slogan, he named the effort “Make America Healthy Again.”

It remains unclear how that will square with Trump’s history of deregulation of big industries, including food. Trump pushed for fewer inspections of the meat industry, for example.

Kennedy’s stance on vaccines has also made him a controversial figure among Democrats and some Republicans, raising question about his ability to get confirmed, even in a GOP-controlled Senate. Kennedy has espoused misinformation around the safety of vaccines, including pushing a totally discredited theory that childhood vaccines cause autism.

He also has said he would recommend removing fluoride from drinking water. The addition of the material has been cited as leading to improved dental health.

HHS has more than 80,000 employees across the country. It houses the Food and Drug Administration, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the Medicare and Medicaid programs and the National Institutes of Health.

Kennedy’s anti-vaccine nonprofit group, Children’s Health Defense, currently has a lawsuit pending against a number of news organizations, among them The Associated Press, accusing them of violating antitrust laws by taking action to identify misinformation, including about COVID-19 and COVID-19 vaccines. Kennedy took leave from the group when he announced his run for president but is listed as one of its attorneys in the lawsuit.

__ Seitz reported from Washington.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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