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The Atlantic Politics Daily: How COVID-19 Exacerbates Trump's Biggest 2020 Vulnerability – The Atlantic

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Editor’s Note: We’re making some changes to our newsletter lineup, and we wanted you to be the first to know what we’re doing and why.

Our team has been reimagining another newsletter in our portfolio, The Atlantic Daily, over the last year, and it has become the definitive expression of The Atlantic in email form. The politics newsletter you’re reading now will cease on Friday, April 17.

Where possible, you’ll be subscribed to The Atlantic Daily automatically (with a clear and easy way to unsubscribe). You can also sign yourself up here anytime.

Writing about politics has been at the heart of The Atlantic’s mission since the founding of the magazine in 1857, and we’re as committed as we’ve ever been to telling the most ambitious, imaginative, and clarifying stories in journalism. Today, the two major political stories of our age—the 2020 U.S. presidential election and the coronavirus pandemic—are playing out in tandem, and inseparably. They are a prominent and relentless focus of The Atlantic Daily and the body of journalistic work it represents.

As always, you can reach our team by replying to this newsletter, or sending a note directly to our team here.

It’s Thursday, April 16. In today’s newsletter: New analysis on how the COVID-19 outbreak is spreading in the largest metropolitan centers versus less densely populated areas. Plus: The internet is still bad.

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« TODAY IN POLITICS »

(The Atlantic)

The Red and Blue America of a Pandemic

The coronavirus pandemic still raging across the U.S. could exacerbate a major Trump-reelection vulnerability: his weakness with urban and suburban voters. Ron Brownstein writes:

The question for Trump this fall will be whether he can offset that weakness by matching or building on his dominant advantage in exurban, small-town, and rural communities. In Wisconsin this week, the GOP lost ground with those voters too, but by and large, polling still shows Trump holding a strong position among them. And because most rural communities are facing fewer cases of the disease so far, they may be much more receptive than big-city leaders and voters to Trump’s calls to reopen the economy as quickly as possible.

These political, public-health, and economic trends all point toward the same possibility: Just as the disease is unfolding very differently in larger and smaller places, the gap between voter preferences there in the presidential race could reach astronomical, and possibly unprecedented, heights.

Read the rest.

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« THE CORONAVIRUS READER »

(Adam Maida)

+ Everybody loves the internet now, Kaitlyn Tiffany writes. But “after a few weeks of faith in the possibility of online utopia, the cracks are starting to show”:

As traditional public life has shut down for much of the population, we’re moving online to stay connected to people we miss, and to raise money for people who need it, and to coordinate all kinds of collective action that can no longer happen in physical places. Since stay-at-home orders began in the United States, use of online platforms has ballooned to the point of absurdity: In a recent blog post, the Zoom CEO, Eric Yuan, said that the service’s number of daily meeting participants had gone from 10 million in December to 200 million in March.

+ Few figures tell you anything useful about how the coronavirus has spread through the U.S. Here’s one that does:

There is clearly some group of Americans who have the coronavirus but who don’t show up in official figures. Now, using a statistic that has just become reliable, we can estimate the size of that group—and peek at the rest of the iceberg.

According to The Atlantic’s COVID Tracking Project, nearly one in five people who get tested for the coronavirus in the United States is found to have it. In other words, the country has a test-positivity rate of nearly 20 percent.

+ Life right now feels very odd. And it will feel odd for months—and even years—to come, Juliet Kayyem writes:

Most of the decisions that matter aren’t in the hands of presidents or governors; American society as a whole needs a plan for what comes next. The coronavirus is revolutionary not just because of the suffering it has caused, but because it—like other diseases, from the bubonic plague to malaria to HIV—has the power to shape social norms for years to come. Those norms change with surprising speed. For most people, the prospect of sitting at home for months was almost unthinkable at the beginning of March.

You can keep up with The Atlantic’s most crucial coronavirus coverage here.


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Today’s newsletter was written by Kaila Philo, a Politics fellow. It was edited by Shan Wang, who oversees newsletters.

You can reply directly to this newsletter with questions or comments, or send a note to politicsdaily@theatlantic.com.

Your support makes our journalism possible. Subscribe here.

We want to hear what you think about this article. Submit a letter to the editor or write to letters@theatlantic.com.

Shan Wang is a senior editor at The Atlantic, where she oversees newsletters.

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Politics

Kamala Harris Counters Trump’s Attacks with Strategic Speech

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In the lead-up to the 2024 U.S. presidential election, former President Donald Trump has been vocal in his criticism of Vice President Kamala Harris, labeling her as a far-left politician and questioning her competence. His derogatory remarks, including calling her “Comrade Kamala” and questioning her identity, are part of a broader strategy to undermine her credibility.

However, Harris used her Democratic National Convention (DNC) speech to counter these attacks effectively. In a 40-minute address, she dismantled Trump’s caricature by showcasing her experience, values, and policy priorities. Harris presented herself as a pragmatic leader with a strong background in law enforcement, emphasizing her work as a prosecutor and attorney general. She focused on unifying issues like protecting abortion rights, Social Security, and Medicare, while also stressing her commitment to national security and middle-class tax relief.

Harris also addressed potential vulnerabilities, such as her background and identity, by sharing personal stories that highlighted her American values and deep patriotism. This approach was aimed at making her relatable to a broader audience, countering Trump’s portrayal of her as disconnected from ordinary Americans.

The speech not only fortified her position within the Democratic Party but also presented a formidable challenge to Trump. By blending offensive and defensive strategies in her speech, Harris demonstrated her capability to handle the intense scrutiny and attacks that come with a high-profile campaign. As the election approaches, both Trump and his campaign team are likely recalibrating their strategies in response to Harris’ effective performance.

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Russian Attitudes About Putin Might Be Shifting

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Washington, D.C. — Recent developments in the Ukraine-Russia conflict have sparked a notable shift in public sentiment within Russia, with negative feelings towards President Vladimir Putin appearing to increase, particularly in regions far from Moscow. This shift comes in the wake of Ukrainian troops making incursions into Russian territory, a move that has been met with dissatisfaction and concern among Russian citizens.

A new analysis by FilterLabs AI, a firm that monitors public opinion in Russia through social media and internet postings, indicates that the Russian public’s attitude towards Putin has soured, especially after Ukrainian forces advanced into the Kursk region of western Russia. Despite the Russian government’s efforts to put a positive spin on the war’s developments, dissatisfaction is growing, with many Russians blaming the government and President Putin personally for the setbacks.

In a country where expressing dissent can lead to serious repercussions, traditional polling methods often fail to capture true public sentiment, as respondents may provide answers they believe are expected by the government. To overcome this limitation, FilterLabs AI employs a computer model to analyze sentiments expressed by Russians on social media, internet postings, and comments on news media sites. This method provides a more nuanced understanding of how ordinary Russians feel about their leadership and the ongoing war.

According to the analysis, Putin’s popularity has been on a downward trajectory since a brief armed rebellion in 2023 led by Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of the Wagner Group, a Russian paramilitary force. However, the recent Ukrainian advances have intensified this decline, particularly outside Moscow. While the Russian capital remains somewhat insulated from the growing discontent due to tighter government control over the media, even there, the public’s view of Putin is beginning to sour.

“Putin’s response to the incursion was seen as inadequate at best and insulting at worst,” said Jonathan Teubner, CEO of FilterLabs AI. The perception that Putin’s leadership has faltered in the face of Ukrainian advances is particularly pronounced in Russia’s outlying regions, where frustration with the Kremlin is growing.

The regions showing the sharpest decline in sentiment towards Putin are also those where the Kremlin focuses its military recruiting efforts. This presents a significant challenge for the Russian government, as its recruitment strategy relies heavily on managing public perception of the war. If dissatisfaction continues to grow, it could undermine the Kremlin’s ability to sustain its military efforts.

“It is right now difficult to determine the effect of the Ukrainian counteroffensive,” Teubner noted. “But it is clear that it is shocking and, for Putin, embarrassing. Kremlin propaganda, spin, and distraction can only do so much in the face of bad news that is widely discussed across Russia.”

As the conflict with Ukraine drags on, the Russian government’s ability to control the narrative is being tested. The growing dissatisfaction with President Putin, particularly in regions far from the center of power, suggests that the Kremlin’s grip on public opinion is weakening. How this will impact the ongoing conflict and Putin’s political future remains to be seen, but the signs of unrest are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore.

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Politics

Tory MP deletes post that claimed cost of living is driving parents to traffic kids

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OTTAWA – Conservative MP Michelle Ferreri has deleted a post on X that claimed the affordability crisis has driven parents to traffic their kids.

This comes after The Canadian Press sent Ferreri questions regarding the post, which followed a visit to the Kawartha Sexual Assault Centre in Peterborough, Ont.

In a statement today, Ferreri says her post was “inartfully worded.’

The Conservative MP says that while cost-of-living can increase social problems, it is ‘in no way’ an excuse for human trafficking.

In a statement, the KSAC’s executive director says many clients have shared over the past several decades that they were trafficked by a parent or guardian and that this issue is not new.

Brittany McMillan says the centre does not hold any specific government or party responsible for sexual violence but urges all forms of government to invest in prevention and support for survivors.

Ferreri serves as the Conservatives’ critic on families, children and social development.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 21. 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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