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1 Stock to Buy, 1 Stock to Dump This Week: Nike, Micron

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  • PCE inflation data, Fed rate hike expectations, recession fears in focus.
  • Nike shares are a buy with upbeat earnings on deck.
  • Micron stock is set to struggle amid shrinking profit and revenue growth.

Stocks on Wall Street declined on Friday, with the major indices suffering their second straight week of losses as hopes for a year-end rally fizzled amid mounting concerns about further Federal Reserve and a possible recession.

For the week, the blue-chip dropped 1.7%, while the benchmark and technology-heavy fell 2.1% and 2.7% respectively.

Source: Investing.com

The coming week – which will be the last full trading week of 2022 – is expected to be another eventful one as markets continue to weigh the rate hike plans for the months ahead.

Meanwhile, on the economic calendar, most important could be Friday’s personal consumption expenditures data, which includes the price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure.

There will also be important third-quarter , which will provide more clues as to whether the economy is heading for a recession.

Elsewhere, on the earnings docket, there are just a handful of corporate results due as Q3 earning season winds down, including Nike (NYSE:), Micron (NASDAQ:), FedEx (NYSE:), General Mills (NYSE:), and Carnival (NYSE:).

Regardless of which direction the market goes, below we highlight one stock likely to be in demand and another that could see further downside.

Remember though, our time frame is just for the upcoming week.

Stock To Buy: Nike

I expect Nike shares to rally in the week ahead as the sports apparel and footwear giant is forecast to report upbeat financial results and strong guidance when it delivers its latest earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday, Dec. 20.

As per moves in the options market, traders are pricing in a significant swing of 9.3% in either direction for NKE stock following the earnings update.

Consensus expectations call for the Beaverton, Ore.-based sneaker company – which has topped Wall Street’s profit estimates for nine consecutive quarters – to post earnings per share of $0.65 for its fiscal second quarter, according to analysts polled by InvestingPro+. That would be 21.7% lower than EPS of $0.83 in the year-ago period.

Nike Earnings Data

Nike Earnings Data

Source: Investing.com

Revenue growth is expected to accelerate for the second straight quarter, with an anticipated 10.7% year-over-year rise to $12.58 billion, as it benefits from favorable consumer trends for sports and recreation clothing and equipment.

In my opinion, Nike’s sales growth in North America will surprise to the upside, as demand remained strong heading into the holiday shopping season despite a difficult backdrop of rampant and recession fears.

Perhaps of greater importance, sales figures from China are expected to reveal that revenue growth rebounded sharply in fiscal Q2 thanks to receding COVID-19 restrictions after falling 16% in the preceding quarter.

As a result, I anticipate Nike’s management will provide an upbeat outlook for the months ahead amid easing worries over the impact of excess inventory and gross margins in spite of a challenging environment for retailers.

NKE stock closed at $105.95 on Friday, earning the athletic apparel and footwear giant a valuation of roughly $165.8 billion.

Source: Investing.com

Shares, which have bounced off their recent lows along with the major stock indexes, are down 36.7% year to date and are approximately 38.1% below their all-time high of $179.10 reached in December 2021.

Stock To Dump: Micron Technology

I reckon Micron’s stock will suffer a challenging week ahead, with a potential breakdown to new multi-month lows on the horizon, as the struggling memory-and-storage chipmaker’s latest earnings results are likely to reveal a sharp slowdown in profit and sales growth due to the challenging operating environment.

Micron is scheduled to deliver fiscal Q1 numbers on Wednesday after the bell.

Market players expect a large swing in MU shares following the results, according to the options market, with a possible implied move of 9.8% in either direction.

According to Investing.com, Micron is forecast to deliver a loss of $0.01 a share, plunging from a profit of $2.16 per share in the same quarter last year. If confirmed, that would mark Micron’s first quarterly loss on record due to the negative impact of rising operating expenses and weakening enterprise demand for its DRAM and NAND chips.

Source: Investing.com

Unsurprisingly, an InvestingPro+ survey of analyst earnings revisions points to mounting pessimism ahead of the report, with analysts cutting their EPS estimates 25 times in the past 90 days to reflect a drop of -100.4% from their initial expectations.

Meanwhile, revenue is forecast to tumble 46% year over year to $4.15 billion – which would be the lowest level since Q1 2016 – amid numerous headwinds, including ongoing inventory and supply-chain issues.

Taking that into account, I believe there is a growing downside risk that Micron’s management could once again cut its full-year profit and sales guidance as data centers cut back spending on memory and storage chips.

MU stock ended Friday’s session at $52.07, reapproaching its mid-September two-year low of $48.45. At current levels, the Boise, Idaho-based company has a market cap of $56.6 billion.

Source: Investing.com

Micron has seen its valuation collapse throughout 2022, with the stock falling 44.1% year to date. Even more worrying, shares are approximately 47% below their record peak of $98.45 reached on January 5.

Disclosure: At the time of writing, Jesse is short on the S&P 500 and via the ProShares Short S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:) and ProShares Short QQQ ETF (NYSE:).

The views discussed in this article are solely the opinion of the author and should not be taken as investment advice.

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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