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$34B Trans Mountain expansion pipeline begins filling with oil with first shipments before Canada Day

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The odyssey of developing and building the Trans Mountain expansion project in Western Canada is finally nearing the finishing line as sections of the pipeline begin filling with oil.

The first export shipment will happen before Canada Day, the federal Crown corporation said, although Alberta’s premier expects it could become operational as soon as May.

The Trans Mountain is Canada’s only oil pipeline to the West Coast. The project will transport oil from Alberta to the West Coast and triple the amount of crude that is shipped on an existing pipeline, from 300,000 barrels per day to 890,000 bpd.

Canadian oil prices are expected to increase once the new project is completed. Court challenges, regulatory hurdles, multiple protests and constant delays are all part of the history of the project, which began more than a decade ago.

Then there’s the cost.

When the federal government stepped in to purchase the project six years ago and rescue it from life support, the estimated price tag was $7.4 billion. Today, expenses are $34 billion.

‘What a long, strange trip it’s been’

On stage Wednesday at the CERAWeek energy conference in Houston, Trans Mountain chief financial officer Mark Maki used a bit of humour when describing the project’s past, knowing full well how eye-popping the cost escalation and multiple setbacks have been for Canadian taxpayers and the industry alike.

“I reflect on some lyrics from a Grateful Dead song: ‘What a long, strange trip it’s been.’ Twelve years from beginning to in-service. That’s too long,” he said, drawing laughter from the crowd, before he proceeded to list the many challenges such as the regulatory process, the pandemic, floods and wildfires.

WATCH | The climbing costs of the TMX pipeline:

A post-construction review of costs should be done on TMX

4 hours ago

Duration 3:28

Lessons could be learned on how the Trans Mountain expansion pipeline was developed and built, says company CFO Mark Maki.

Currently, less than 25 per cent of the pipeline is filled with oil, said Maki, in sections of where construction took place several years ago.

He suggests there should be a post-construction cost review to see what lessons can be learned about developing large-scale projects in Canada.

“It is expensive to do the project right. That’s what it costs to build infrastructure,” he said, in an interview with CBC News in Houston.

Pipelines cross long distances, and can impact several Indigenous communities and develop previously untouched land.

“For all those reasons, we have to understand better, whoever you are, what it really is going to cost to build infrastructure.”

The final price tag, he said, could still change as remaining work is completed. The company has said it will need approximately three months following the completion of construction before it can provide a definitive cost estimate.

On Wednesday, Bloomberg reported a Chinese state-owned company, Sinochem Group, had purchased one of the first crude cargoes to move through the new pipeline.

A woman sits in a chair at a hotel conference room.
The Trans Mountain expansion is expected to increase the value of Canadian oil, which should increase the amount of royalties collected by the Alberta government, says Premier Danielle Smith, in an interview with CBC News in Houston at CERAWeek by S&P Global. (Kyle Bakx/CBC)

Construction crews have focused recently on overcoming difficulties drilling through rock in B.C.’s Fraser Valley between Hope and Chilliwack and pulling the pipe into the hole.

The final piece of pipe is expected to be installed in the next few weeks, said Maki. Next steps include work on some above ground facilities, the testing and inspection process, and satisfying some regulatory requirements.

Despite all the issues over the years, Maki is adamant the project will have a positive impact on the oilpatch, the economy, Indigenous communities and government coffers.

“We’re happy. We’re getting to the end and that’s a reason to be proud and we’re doing something that I think is good for the country,” he said.

Opposition to the project

Some environmental critics have argued the project will impact waterways and marine animals, while promoting expansion of the oil industry. The national regulator has previously said the project would cause “significant adverse environmental effects” on the southern resident killer whale population, while also highlighting the potential of a pipeline leak or tanker spill.

The expansion is expected to result in a seven-fold increase in the number of oil tankers traveling through the waters around Vancouver and Victoria.

People protest outside, holding signs opposing a pipeline expansion. One protester holds an inflatable of a black and white orca whale.
A man holds an inflatable of an orca whale above the crowd as protesters opposed to the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion listen during a rally ahead of a decision by Liberal cabinet on the project, in Vancouver, on Sunday June 9, 2019. (Darryl Dyck/The Canadian Press)

Trans Mountain has support from dozens of Indigenous communities along the pipeline route, but others have been strongly opposed, even launching years-long court challenges. At one point, the project was halted because of a lack of consideration of Indigenous concerns.

Expanding domestic oil production

This year, Canada is expected to lead the world in oil production growth.

“It’s going to make a big difference to our producers. It’s going to make a big difference to us as a government since we charge our royalties based on [oil prices],” said Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, in an interview in Houston.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made the right decision to purchase the project six years ago, she said.

“I’m pleased that they stepped in to de-risk and finish the project,” said Smith, adding how Ottawa ideally would have supported other pipelines to ensure they, too, were built, such as Energy East and Northern Gateway.

A complete Trans Mountain expansion will increase the amount of pipeline export capacity, although industry leaders say any spare space will be filled.

“Some were wondering, ‘When TMX is done, will Enbridge not have as much supply going through its pipes?’ We’re hitting records. I expect that you’ll see all of our assets continue to be used,” said Enbridge’s CEO Greg Ebel.

Some analysts have said the country’s export pipelines could be full again in a few years, continuing the growing oil production in Western Canada.

A man sits in front of a large poster showing natural gas pipes, solar panels and wind turbines.
Canadian oil export pipelines will remain full as oil production climbs, says Greg Ebel, Enbridge’s chief executive. (Kyle Bakx/CBC)

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The #1 Skill I Look For When Hiring

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File this column under “for what it’s worth.”

“Communication is one of the most important skills you require for a successful life.” — Catherine Pulsifer, author.

I’m one hundred percent in agreement with Pulsifer, which is why my evaluation of candidates begins with their writing skills. If a candidate’s writing skills and verbal communication skills, which I’ll assess when interviewing, aren’t well above average, I’ll pass on them regardless of their skills and experience.

 

Why?

 

Because business is fundamentally about getting other people to do things—getting employees to be productive, getting customers to buy your products or services, and getting vendors to agree to a counteroffer price. In business, as in life in general, you can’t make anything happen without effective communication; this is especially true when job searching when your writing is often an employer’s first impression of you.

 

Think of all the writing you engage in during a job search (resumes, cover letters, emails, texts) and all your other writing (LinkedIn profile, as well as posts and comments, blogs, articles, tweets, etc.) employers will read when they Google you to determine if you’re interview-worthy.

 

With so much of our communication today taking place via writing (email, text, collaboration platforms such as Microsoft Teams, Slack, ClickUp, WhatsApp and Rocket.Chat), the importance of proficient writing skills can’t be overstated.

 

When assessing a candidate’s writing skills, you probably think I’m looking for grammar and spelling errors. Although error-free writing is important—it shows professionalism and attention to detail—it’s not the primary reason I look at a candidate’s writing skills.

 

The way someone writes reveals how they think.

 

  • Clear writing = Clear thinking
  • Structured paragraphs = Structured mind
  • Impactful sentences = Impactful ideas

 

Effective writing isn’t about using sophisticated vocabulary. Hemingway demonstrated that deceptively simple, stripped-down prose can captivate readers. Effective writing takes intricate thoughts and presents them in a way that makes the reader think, “Damn! Why didn’t I see it that way?” A good writer is a dead giveaway for a good thinker. More than ever, the business world needs “good thinkers.”

 

Therefore, when I come across a candidate who’s a good writer, hence a good thinker, I know they’re likely to be able to write:

 

  • Emails that don’t get deleted immediately and are responded to
  • Simple, concise, and unambiguous instructions
  • Pitches that are likely to get read
  • Social media content that stops thumbs
  • Human-sounding website copy
  • Persuasively, while attuned to the reader’s possible sensitivities

 

Now, let’s talk about the elephant in the room: AI, which job seekers are using en masse. Earlier this year, I wrote that AI’s ability to hyper-increase an employee’s productivity—AI is still in its infancy; we’ve seen nothing yet—in certain professions, such as writing, sales and marketing, computer programming, office and admin, and customer service, makes it a “fewer employees needed” tool, which understandably greatly appeals to employers. In my opinion, the recent layoffs aren’t related to the economy; they’re due to employers adopting AI. Additionally, companies are trying to balance investing in AI with cost-cutting measures. CEOs who’ve previously said, “Our people are everything,” have arguably created today’s job market by obsessively focusing on AI to gain competitive advantages and reduce their largest expense, their payroll.

 

It wouldn’t be a stretch to assume that most AI usage involves generating written content, content that’s obvious to me, and likely to you as well, to have been written by AI. However, here’s the twist: I don’t particularly care.

 

Why?

 

Because the fundamental skill I’m looking for is the ability to organize thoughts and communicate effectively. What I care about is whether the candidate can take AI-generated content and transform it into something uniquely valuable. If they can, they’re demonstrating the skills of being a good thinker and communicator. It’s like being a great DJ; anyone can push play, but it takes skill to read a room and mix music that gets people pumped.

 

Using AI requires prompting effectively, which requires good writing skills to write clear and precise instructions that guide the AI to produce desired outcomes. Prompting AI effectively requires understanding structure, flow and impact. You need to know how to shape raw information, such as milestones throughout your career when you achieved quantitative results, into a compelling narrative.

So, what’s the best way to gain and enhance your writing skills? As with any skill, you’ve got to work at it.

Two rules guide my writing:

 

  • Use strong verbs and nouns instead of relying on adverbs, such as “She dashed to the store.” instead of “She ran quickly to the store.” or “He whispered to the child.” instead of “He spoke softly to the child.”
  • Avoid using long words when a shorter one will do, such as “use” instead of “utilize” or “ask” instead of “inquire.” As attention spans get shorter, I aim for clarity, simplicity and, most importantly, brevity in my writing.

 

Don’t just string words together; learn to organize your thoughts, think critically, and communicate clearly. Solid writing skills will significantly set you apart from your competition, giving you an advantage in your job search and career.

_____________________________________________________________________

 

Nick Kossovan, a well-seasoned veteran of the corporate landscape, offers “unsweetened” job search advice. You can send Nick your questions to artoffindingwork@gmail.com.

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Politics likely pushed Air Canada toward deal with ‘unheard of’ gains for pilots

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MONTREAL – Politics, public opinion and salary hikes south of the border helped push Air Canada toward a deal that secures major pay gains for pilots, experts say.

Hammered out over the weekend, the would-be agreement includes a cumulative wage hike of nearly 42 per cent over four years — an enormous bump by historical standards — according to one source who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter. The previous 10-year contract granted increases of just two per cent annually.

The federal government’s stated unwillingness to step in paved the way for a deal, noted John Gradek, after Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made it plain the two sides should hash one out themselves.

“Public opinion basically pressed the federal cabinet, including the prime minister, to keep their hands clear of negotiations and looking at imposing a settlement,” said Gradek, who teaches aviation management at McGill University.

After late-night talks at a hotel near Toronto’s Pearson airport, the country’s biggest airline and the union representing 5,200-plus aviators announced early Sunday morning they had reached a tentative agreement, averting a strike that would have grounded flights and affected some 110,000 passengers daily.

The relative precariousness of the Liberal minority government as well as a push to appear more pro-labour underlay the prime minister’s hands-off approach to the negotiations.

Trudeau said Friday the government would not step in to fix the impasse — unlike during a massive railway work stoppage last month and a strike by WestJet mechanics over the Canada Day long weekend that workers claimed road roughshod over their constitutional right to collective bargaining. Trudeau said the government respects the right to strike and would only intervene if it became apparent no negotiated deal was possible.

“They felt that they really didn’t want to try for a third attempt at intervention and basically said, ‘Let’s let the airline decide how they want to deal with this one,'” said Gradek.

“Air Canada ran out of support as the week wore on, and by the time they got to Friday night, Saturday morning, there was nothing left for them to do but to basically try to get a deal set up and accepted by ALPA (Air Line Pilots Association).”

Trudeau’s government was also unlikely to consider back-to-work legislation after the NDP tore up its agreement to support the Liberal minority in Parliament, Gradek said. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, whose party has traditionally toed a more pro-business line, also said last week that Tories “stand with the pilots” and swore off “pre-empting” the negotiations.

Air Canada CEO Michael Rousseau had asked Ottawa on Thursday to impose binding arbitration pre-emptively — “before any travel disruption starts” — if talks failed. Backed by business leaders, he’d hoped for an effective repeat of the Conservatives’ move to head off a strike in 2012 by legislating Air Canada pilots and ground crew to stick to their posts before any work stoppage could start.

The request may have fallen flat, however. Gradek said he believes there was less anxiety over the fallout from an airline strike than from the countrywide railway shutdown.

He also speculated that public frustration over thousands of cancelled flights would have flowed toward Air Canada rather than Ottawa, prompting the carrier to concede to a deal yielding “unheard of” gains for employees.

“It really was a total collapse of the Air Canada bargaining position,” he said.

Pilots are slated to vote in the coming weeks on the four-year contract.

Last year, pilots at Delta Air Lines, United Airlines and American Airlines secured agreements that included four-year pay boosts ranging from 34 per cent to 40 per cent, ramping up pressure on other carriers to raise wages.

After more than a year of bargaining, Air Canada put forward an offer in August centred around a 30 per cent wage hike over four years.

But the final deal, should union members approve it, grants a 26 per cent increase in the first year alone, retroactive to September 2023, according to the source. Three wage bumps of four per cent would follow in 2024 through 2026.

Passengers may wind up shouldering some of that financial load, one expert noted.

“At the end of the day, it’s all us consumers who are paying,” said Barry Prentice, who heads the University of Manitoba’s transport institute.

Higher fares may be mitigated by the persistence of budget carrier Flair Airlines and the rapid expansion of Porter Airlines — a growing Air Canada rival — as well as waning demand for leisure trips. Corporate travel also remains below pre-COVID-19 levels.

Air Canada said Sunday the tentative contract “recognizes the contributions and professionalism of Air Canada’s pilot group, while providing a framework for the future growth of the airline.”

The union issued a statement saying that, if ratified, the agreement will generate about $1.9 billion of additional value for Air Canada pilots over the course of the deal.

Meanwhile, labour tension with cabin crew looms on the horizon. Air Canada is poised to kick off negotiations with the union representing more than 10,000 flight attendants this year before the contract expires on March 31.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

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Federal $500M bailout for Muskrat Falls power delays to keep N.S. rate hikes in check

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HALIFAX – Ottawa is negotiating a $500-million bailout for Nova Scotia’s privately owned electric utility, saying the money will be used to prevent a big spike in electricity rates.

Federal Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson made the announcement today in Halifax, saying Nova Scotia Power Inc. needs the money to cover higher costs resulting from the delayed delivery of electricity from the Muskrat Falls hydroelectric plant in Labrador.

Wilkinson says that without the money, the subsidiary of Emera Inc. would have had to increase rates by 19 per cent over “the short term.”

Nova Scotia Power CEO Peter Gregg says the deal, once approved by the province’s energy regulator, will keep rate increases limited “to be around the rate of inflation,” as costs are spread over a number of years.

The utility helped pay for construction of an underwater transmission link between Newfoundland and Nova Scotia, but the Muskrat Falls project has not been consistent in delivering electricity over the past five years.

Those delays forced Nova Scotia Power to spend more on generating its own electricity.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

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