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4 predictions for return of NBA season – theScore

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With Thursday’s announcement that the NBA will resume its season in late July with 22 teams at Walt Disney World in Orlando, here are four predictions about how things will unfold:

Quality of play will be rough

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Viewers should be prepared for the worst when live NBA games return. The on-court product could very well approach summer league-levels of dysfunction.

However, instead of 20-year-old rookies and journeymen on the fringe of the league, this version will feature the likes of LeBron James, Luka Doncic, and James Harden.

Consider this: There were 109 days from the Toronto Raptors‘ 2019 championship win (June 13) to the start of the 2019-20 preseason (Sept. 30). Comparatively, 142 days will have passed from March 11 – when the NBA season went on hiatus – to the tentative July 31 return date.

We know many players – including reigning MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo – didn’t have access to even a basketball hoop for much of March and April. And even with teams reopening practice facilities in recent weeks, players have been prohibited from working out with their teammates.

Anything that involves timing will be out of whack. Open threes will be missed, fouls will be drawn, and fastbreak passes will be heaved into the empty seats.

Someone will get hurt

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Admittedly, this sounds grim, and no one is wishing an injury on any player.

This doesn’t even necessarily have anything to do with players returning to action following a period of relative inactivity. The bottom line is that injuries happen all the time under normal circumstances.

Each of the 22 remaining teams will play at least eight “seeding games” to determine their postseason placement. Additionally, there could be as many as four play-in contests – one or two per conference depending on whether the No. 9 seed is within four games of eighth after the seeding phase.

You would be hard-pressed to find any eight-game stretch of an NBA season during which a significant player didn’t suffer an injury, missing weeks or months as a result. Here is merely a sample of the major injuries that happened from opening night to March 11 this year:

Date Player Injury Time missed
Oct. 24 Marvin Bagley III Thumb 22 games
Oct. 27 Zach Collins Shoulder 63 games
Oct. 30 Stephen Curry Hand 59 games
Nov. 9 Kyle Lowry Thumb 11 games
Nov. 11 Khris Middleton Leg 7 games
Nov. 11 Gordon Hayward Hand 13 games
Nov. 11 De’Aaron Fox Ankle 17 games
Nov. 12 Eric Gordon Knee 22 games
Nov. 16 Kyrie Irving Shoulder 26 games
Nov. 16 D’Angelo Russell Thumb 9 games
Nov. 21 Nikola Vucevic Ankle 11 games
Dec. 7 Rodney Hood Achilles Out for season
Dec. 13 Karl-Anthony Towns Knee 15 games
Dec. 18 Marc Gasol Hamstring 12 games
Jan. 9 Joel Embiid Hand 9 games
Jan. 21 Dwight Powell Achilles Out for season
Jan. 29 Marc Gasol Hamstring 12 games
Feb. 3 Kyrie Irving Shoulder Out for season
Feb. 21 Karl-Anthony Towns Wrist 12 games
Feb. 23 Jeremy Lamb Knee Out for season
Feb. 25 Ben Simmons Back 9 games
March 3 Kelly Oubre Jr. Knee 7 games

Only five teams – the Houston Rockets, Milwaukee Bucks, Utah Jazz, Charlotte Hornets, and San Antonio Spurs – have lost fewer than 100 cumulative games to injury this season, while eight clubs have lost more than 200 total contests, according to Spotrac.

Really, the question isn’t if a player will get hurt during the seeding phase, but, unfortunately, when will it happen.

Play-in games will become the norm

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Regardless of the uncomfortable conversations surrounding the players’ health and wellness or how sloppy the on-court product is, hoops-starved fans will eat these games up. And if the ninth seed in either conference is close enough to trigger a play-in scenario, fans will devour that new twist.

In fact, the format will be so wildly popular that there will be a push to make it a permanent fixture for years to come.

The downside is merely one or two more games of end-of-season basketball. Let’s use this year’s field of bubble teams as an example: the Washington Wizards might challenge the Orlando Magic for the right to lose to the Bucks in the first round. On the other hand, we could have two exciting teams – Zion Williamson‘s New Orleans Pelicans and Ja Morant‘s Memphis Grizzlies, for instance – facing off in the NBA’s closest approximation of a March Madness game.

There are a couple of questions, though, that come with instituting play-in games long term. Perhaps most importantly, will a spot in those contests count as a postseason appearance? Major League Baseball’s wild-card games are considered part of the postseason, though its tie-breaker contests aren’t. Similarly, the NCAA’s “First Four” are technically entrants in the tournament.

That distinction will be of particular interest to two Western Conference organizations in July.

The Spurs will need to leapfrog three teams – and outplay the Grizzlies down the stretch – for the chance to keep their 22-year playoff streak intact. Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings are looking to avoid falling short of the postseason for the 14th straight year.

What would it mean for either streak if the Spurs or Kings qualify for a play-in game but are ultimately eliminated prior to the first round? If this new format is to last, the NBA will have to figure out exactly what play-in games mean for the history books.

Asterisk talk will end come playoff time

Andrew D. Bernstein / National Basketball Association / Getty

Yes, the end of this season is going to be weird. Eight bottom-feeders have been eliminated and the remaining 22 teams will have their schedules changed to reflect a new pool of opponents. Home-court advantage won’t exist and daily routines and personal comforts will be completely upended.

None of that matters, though. With all the trials that teams will face on their way to the 2020 NBA Finals in late September, this year’s championship rings are arguably the most valuable ever. The 2019-20 season has been more difficult, not easier.

Without trivializing the seriousness of the COVID-19 pandemic, there is a unique element to this season; not only must teams outplay their opponents on the court, but they also have to withstand the mental rigors of constant testing, isolation from the rest of the world, and a one-time league structure that has no precedent in NBA history.

If an asterisk must be placed beside the 2020 champion, it will be only to denote the extraordinary circumstances the team conquered. Anything else would be short-selling the monumental tests that await the eventual victors.

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Red Wings sign Moritz Seider to 7-year deal worth nearly $60M

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DETROIT (AP) — The Detroit Red Wings made another investment this week in a young standout, signing Moritz Seider to a seven-year contract worth nearly $60 million.

The Red Wings announced the move with the 23-year-old German defenseman on Thursday, three days after keeping 22-year-old forward Lucas Raymond with a $64.6 million, eight-year deal.

Detroit drafted Seider with the No. 6 pick overall eight years ago and he has proven to be a great pick. He has 134 career points, the most by a defenseman drafted in 2019.

He was the NHL’s only player to have at least 200 hits and block 200-plus shots last season, when he scored a career-high nine goals and had 42 points for the second straight year.

Seider won the Calder Trophy as the league’s top rookie in 2022 after he had a career-high 50 points.

Red Wings general manager Steve Yzerman is banking on Seider, whose contract will count $8.55 million annually against the cap, and Raymond to turn a rebuilding team into a winner.

Detroit has failed to make the playoffs in eight straight seasons, the longest postseason drought in franchise history.

The Red Wings, who won four Stanley Cups from 1997 to 2008, have been reeling since their run of 25 straight postseasons ended in 2016.

Detroit was 41-32-9 last season and finished with a winning record for the first time since its last playoff appearance.

Yzerman re-signed Patrick Kane last summer and signed some free agents, including Vladimir Tarasenko to a two-year contract worth $9.5 million after he helped the Florida Panthers hoist the Cup.

___

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Veterans Tyson Beukeboom, Karen Paquin lead Canada’s team at WXV rugby tournament

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Veterans Tyson Beukeboom and Karen Paquin will lead Canada at the WXV 1 women’s rugby tournament starting later this month in the Vancouver area.

WXV 1 includes the top three teams from the Women’s Six Nations (England, France and Ireland) and the top three teams from the Pacific Four Series (Canada, New Zealand, and the United States).

Third-ranked Canada faces No. 4 France, No. 7 Ireland and No. 1 England in the elite division of the three-tiered WXV tournament that runs Sept. 29 to Oct. 12 in Vancouver and Langley, B.C. No. 2 New Zealand and the eighth-ranked U.S. make up the six-team WVX 1 field.

“Our preparation time was short but efficient. This will be a strong team,” Canada coach Kevin Rouet said in a statement. “All the players have worked very hard for the last couple of weeks to prepare for WXV and we are excited for these next three matches and for the chance to play on home soil here in Vancouver against the best rugby teams in the world.

“France, Ireland and England will each challenge us in different ways but it’s another opportunity to test ourselves and another step in our journey to the Rugby World Cup next year.”

Beukeboom serves as captain in the injury absence of Sophie de Goede. The 33-year-old from Uxbridge, Ont., earned her Canadian-record 68th international cap in Canada’s first-ever victory over New Zealand in May at the Pacific Four Series.

Twenty three of the 30 Canadian players selected for WXV 1 were part of that Pacific Four Series squad.

Rouet’s roster includes the uncapped Asia Hogan-Rochester, Caroline Crossley and Rori Wood.

Hogan-Rochester and Crossley were part of the Canadian team that won rugby sevens silver at the Paris Olympics, along with WXV teammates Fancy Bermudez, Olivia Apps, Alysha Corrigan and Taylor Perry. Wood is a veteran of five seasons at UBC.

The 37-year-old Paquin, who has 38 caps for Canada including the 2014 Rugby World Cup, returns to the team for the first time since the 2021 World Cup.

Canada opens the tournament Sept. 29 against France at B.C. Place Stadium in Vancouver before facing Ireland on Oct. 5 at Willoughby Stadium at Langley Events Centre, and England on Oct. 12 at B.C. Place.

The second-tier WXV 2 and third-tier WXV 3 are slated to run Sept. 27 to Oct. 12, in South Africa and Dubai, respectively.

WXV 2 features Australia, Italy, Japan, Scotland, South Africa and Wales while WXV 3 is made up of Fiji, Hong Kong, Madagascar, the Netherlands, Samoa and Spain.

The tournament has 2025 World Cup qualification implications, although Canada, New Zealand and France, like host England, had already qualified by reaching the semifinals of the last tournament.

Ireland, South Africa, the U.S., Japan, Fiji and Brazil have also booked their ticket, with the final six berths going to the highest-finishing WXV teams who have not yet qualified through regional tournaments.

Canada’s Women’s Rugby Team WXV 1 Squad

Forwards

Alexandria Ellis, Ottawa, Stade Français Paris (France); Brittany Kassil, Guelph, Ont., Guelph Goats; Caroline Crossley, Victoria, Castaway Wanderers; Courtney Holtkamp, Rimbey, Alta., Red Deer Titans Rugby; DaLeaka Menin, Vulcan, Alta., Exeter Chiefs (England); Emily Tuttosi, Souris, Man., Exeter Chiefs (England); Fabiola Forteza, Quebec City, Stade Bordelais (France); Gabrielle Senft, Regina, Saracens (England); Gillian Boag, Calgary, Gloucester-Hartpury (England); Julia Omokhuale, Calgary, Leicester Tigers (England); Karen Paquin, Quebec City, Club de rugby de Quebec; Laetitia Royer, Loretteville, Que., ASM Romagnat (France); McKinley Hunt, King City, Ont., Saracens (England); Pamphinette Buisa, Gatineau, Que., Ottawa Irish; Rori Wood, Sooke, B.C., College Rifles RFC; Sara Cline, Edmonton, Leprechaun Tigers; Tyson Beukeboom, Uxbridge, Ont., Ealing Trailfinders (England);

Backs

Alexandra Tessier, Sainte-Clotilde-de-Horton, Que., Exeter Chiefs (England); Alysha Corrigan, Charlottetown, P.E.I., CRFC; Asia Hogan-Rochester, Toronto, Toronto Nomads; Claire Gallagher, Caledon, Ont., Leicester Tigers (England); Fancy Bermudez, Edmonton, Saracens (England); Julia Schell, Uxbridge, Ont., Ealing Trailfinders (England); Justine Pelletier, Rivière-du-Loup, Que, Stade Bordelais (France); Mahalia Robinson, Fulford, Que., Town of Mount Royal RFC; Olivia Apps, Lindsay, Ont., Lindsay RFC; Paige Farries, Red Deer, Alta., Saracens (England); Sara Kaljuvee, Ajax, Ont., Westshore RFC; Shoshanah Seumanutafa, White Rock, B.C., Counties Manukau (New Zealand); Taylor Perry, Oakville, Ont., Exeter Chiefs (England).

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This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 18, 2024.

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Vancouver Canucks star goalie Thatcher Demko working through rare muscle injury

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PENTICTON, B.C. – Vancouver Canucks goalie Thatcher Demko says he’s been working his way back from a rare lower-body muscle injury since being sidelined in last season’s playoffs.

The 28-year-old all star says the rehabilitation process has been frustrating, but he has made good progress in recent weeks and is confident he’ll be able to return to playing.

He says he and his medical team have spent the last few months talking to specialists around the world, and have not found a single other hockey player who has dealt with the same injury.

Demko missed several weeks of the last season with a knee ailment and played just one game in Vancouver’s playoff run last spring before going down with the current injury.

He was not on the ice with his teammates as the Canucks started training camp in Penticton, B.C., on Thursday, but skated on his own before the sessions began.

Demko posted a 35-14-2 record with a .918 percentage, a 2.45 goals-against average and five shutouts for Vancouver last season.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

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