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8 Best Investment Strategies During A Recession – Yahoo Finance

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For more than a decade, making money investing in stocks has been extremely easy. A combination of robust economic growth and record-low interest rates has made it easy for U.S. companies to thrive and stock prices to rise.

However, making (or preserving) money in the market during a recession is a much more difficult prospect, and successful investors often take a completely different approach to the market during an economic downturn.

A recession is a general decline in economic activity over an extended period. Many define a recession as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.

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Benzinga offers free guides and resources to find out how to maximize, grow, and invest your money.

Whether it’s the first recession you’ve experienced firsthand or your portfolio has gotten burned badly in previous recessions, here are eight recession investing strategies that could help you navigate the downturn.

1. Do Not Dump All Stocks

When a recession hits, stocks underperform in the near term. But while it may seem like a good idea to sell all the stocks in your portfolio, selling them when they are down is rarely a good idea.

If you’re losing sleep over the day-to-day fluctuations in the stock market, it may be a good idea to dial back your exposure to stocks. It’s likely a sign you had too much of your investments in stocks in the first place. However, recessions are a relatively routine occurrence in the market. In fact, there have been 33 U.S. recessions since 1854 (about one every five years), and investors who held onto stocks or bought the dip eventually came out ahead every single time.

2. Reassess Your Holdings

Once again, everything looks like a good investment when the economy is booming and the credit market is flowing. When a recession appears imminent, investors should take a fresh look at all their stocks and other holdings and remember why they invested in the first place. Ask yourself what was your thesis on each stock you own when you bought it. Has the near-term economic outlook fundamentally changed that thesis? Or has it simply created a near-term hurdle for the company to overcome?

The coronavirus sell-off may have hurt the near-term outlook for Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), but iPhone demand will likely ultimately be just fine in the long-term.

3. Buy Consumer Staples

Every stock is at risk during an economic downturn. Even stocks that don’t lose money are at risk of experiencing earnings multiple compression. However, certain stocks have businesses that are not cyclical in nature and are relatively insulated from economic downturns.

Consumer staple stocks are historically relatively good investments during stock market downturns. Americans may buy fewer gadgets or go on fewer vacations during a recession. But they will still buy toilet paper, shampoo and trash bags.

Discount retailers like Walmart Inc (NYSE: WMT) sell these products, and their low prices appeal even more to shoppers when the economy is on shaky ground.

4. Raise Cash

One of the best ways to get defensive during a recession is to increase your cash position. Cash provides the ultimate flexibility and the most peace of mind when times get tough in the market.

The U.S. dollar is the closest thing to a zero-risk asset over the short term. However, given interest rates on savings and money market accounts have recently plummeted to near zero, investors likely won’t be able to offset inflation over the medium to long-term. In other words, your cash slowly loses buying power to inflation the longer you hold it.

5. Buy Dividend Stocks

Following two emergency Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in March, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds has fallen all the way to 0.8% (at time of publication). Income investors have few choices these days other than buying dividend stocks, which have historically been good sources of income during recessions. The only thing dividend stock investors must watch out for during an economic downturn is dividend cuts.

For example, Boeing Co (NYSE: BA) completely suspended its 6.8% dividend on March 27. To minimize the risk of buying a stock in danger of a dividend cut, look for stocks with positive free cash flow, stable earnings, low debt levels and a relatively low payout ratio.

6. Buy Utilities

One of the more defensive sectors to buy during a recession is the utilities sector.

Like consumer staples, even in a worst-case scenario, Americans will do everything they can to keep the lights on and the water flowing in their house. Many utilities have rates set or limited by regulations, meaning their pricing and margins are relatively stable even during a downturn. In addition, utility stocks often trade at low earnings multiples, suggesting valuation protection to the downside.

Finally, utility stocks are known for their dividends and can generate income for investors assuming they pass the dividend risk test mentioned above.

See Also: 7 ETFs To Buy In A Recession

7. Consider Your Investing Time Horizon

If you’ve been reading about different recession investing strategies from different sources and finding conflicting information, it may be because the two sources are making recommendations based on two different investing time horizons.

Younger investors that can be patient for years or even decades can afford to be more aggressive in buying stocks. Stocks are extremely unpredictable in the short term, but have historically been extremely consistent over the long-term (30+ years). Investors that need access to cash for retirement or a large purchase within the next several years should take a more cautious approach to investing, sacrificing potential upside to reduce risk.

8. Have A Watch List

It’s extremely difficult to make rational decisions on a day where the S&P 500 is up or down 5% or more. Investors that make buy and sell orders based on fear and/or greed typically don’t perform well over the long term. One way to avoid impulsive trades is to create a watchlist of stocks you are interested in buying well before they hit your target prices. By creating a watch list, you can take your time in performing your due diligence in learning and analyzing a stock well in advance of when you actually pull the trigger.

During the next big down day in the market, you don’t have to scramble to react. Just trust in the work you put in beforehand and buy the stocks on your watchlist.

See more from Benzinga

© 2020 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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Everton search for investment to complete 777 deal – BBC.com

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Everton are searching for third-party investment in order to push through a protracted takeover by 777 Partners.

The Miami-based firm agreed a deal to buy the Toffees from majority owner Farhad Moshiri in September, but are yet to gain approval from the Premier League.

On Monday, Bloomberg reported the club’s main financial adviser Deloitte has been seeking fresh funding from sports-focused investors and lenders to get 777’s deal over the line.

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BBC Sport has been told this is “standard practice contingency planning” and the process may identify other potential lenders to 777.

Sources close to British-Iranian businessman Moshiri have told BBC Sport they remain “working on completing the deal with 777”.

It is understood there are no other parties waiting in the wings to takeover should the takeover fall through and the focus is fully on 777.

The Americans have so far loaned £180m to Everton for day-to-day operational costs, which will be turned into equity once the deal is completed, but repaying money owed to MSP Sports Capital, whose deal collapsed in August, remains a stumbling block.

777 says it can stump up the £158m that is owed to MSP Sports Capital and once that is settled, it is felt the deal should be completed soon after.

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Warren Buffett Predicts 'Bad Ending' for Bitcoin — Is It a Doomed Investment? – Yahoo Finance

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Currently sitting in sixth on Forbes’ Real-Time Billionaires List, Berkshire Hathaway co-founder, chairman and CEO Warren Buffett is a first-rate example of an investor who stuck to his core financial beliefs early in life to become not only a success but a once-in-a-lifetime inspiration to those who followed in his footsteps.

One of the most trusted investors for decades, the 93-year-old Buffett isn’t shy to pontificate on his investment philosophy, which is centered around value investing, buying stocks at less than their intrinsic value and holding them for the long term.

Read Next: Warren Buffett: 6 Best Pieces of Money Advice for the Middle Class
Find Out: 5 Genius Things All Wealthy People Do With Their Money

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He’s also quite vocal on investments he deems worthless. And one of those is Bitcoin.

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Buffett’s Take on Bitcoin

Over the past decade, it’s been clear that the crypto craze isn’t something Buffett wants any part of. He described Bitcoin as “probably rat poison squared” back in 2018.

“In terms of cryptocurrencies, generally, I can say with almost certainty that they will come to a bad ending,” Buffett said in 2018. And his stance hasn’t wavered since. According to Benzinga, Buffett believes that cryptocurrencies aren’t a viable or valuable investment.

“Now if you told me you own all of the Bitcoin in the world and you offered it to me for $25, I wouldn’t take it because what would I do with it? I’d have to sell it back to you one way or another. It isn’t going to do anything,” Buffett said at the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholder meeting in 2022.

Although the Oracle of Omaha has his misgivings about the unpredictable investment, does that mean crypto is doomed as an investment? Not necessarily.

For You: 10 Valuable Stocks That Could Be the Next Apple or Amazon

Is Buffett Wrong About Bitcoin?

Bitcoin bulls argue that while it’s not government-issued, cryptocurrency is as fungible, divisible, secure and portable as fiat currency and gold. Because they occupy a digital space, cryptocurrencies are decentralized, scarce and durable. They can last as long as they can be stored.

Crypto boosters continue to predict massive growth in the coin’s value. Earlier this year, SkyBridge Capital founder and former White House director of communications Anthony Scaramucci told reporters that Bitcoin could exceed $170,000 by mid-2025, and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood predicts Bitcoin will hit $1.48 million by 2030, according to Fortune.

“They really don’t understand the concept and the whole history of money,” Scaramucci said of crypto critics like Buffett on a recent episode of Jason Raznick’s “The Raz Report.” Because we place a value on “traditional” currency, it is essentially worthless compared with the transparent and trustworthy digital Bitcoin, Scaramucci said.

Currently trading around the $66,000 mark, Bitcoin is up nearly 50% in 2024. This means it’s massively outperforming most indexes this year, including the S&P 500, which is up about 6% in 2024.

Although Berkshire Hathaway has invested heavily in Bitcoin-related Brazilian fintech company Nu Holdings, which has its own cryptocurrency called Nucoin, it’s possible Buffett will never come around fully to crypto, despite its recent surge in value. It’s contrary to the reliable investment strategy that has served him very well for decades.

“The urge to participate in something where it looks like easy money is a human instinct which has been unleashed,” Buffett said. “People love the idea of getting rich quick, and I don’t blame them … It’s so human, and once unleashed you can’t put it back in the bottle.”

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This article originally appeared on GOBankingRates.com: Warren Buffett Predicts ‘Bad Ending’ for Bitcoin — Is It a Doomed Investment?

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Ping An Profit Falls as Market Declines Hurt Investment Returns – BNN Bloomberg

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(Bloomberg) — Ping An Insurance (Group) Co.’s profit dropped 4.3% in the first quarter as stock-market declines and falling bond yields eroded investment returns. 

Net income fell to 36.7 billion yuan ($5 billion) in the three months ended March 31, from 38.4 billion yuan a year earlier, the Shenzhen-based company said in a filing to the Hong Kong stock exchange Tuesday. 

Operating profit, which strips out one-time items and short-term investment volatility, fell 3%.

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China’s stock market rout at the start of the year and lower bond yields have weighed on insurers’ investment returns. They hurt profit even as more customers seek to buy savings products. Co-Chief Executive Officer Michael Guo said last month that profitability will recover after a 23% drop in net income last year.  

“China’s macroeconomy gradually recovered in the first three months of 2024, but there were still challenges,” the company said in a statement, citing weak domestic demand.  “In response to volatile capital markets and declining treasury yields, Ping An continued to pursue long-term returns through cycles via value investing.”

Read More: Ping An Trust Wins First Court Ruling Over Delayed Trust Product

Net investment yield of insurance funds dropped to 3%, the statement said, down from 3.1% a year earlier. Real estate investments fell to 4.2% of the 4.9 trillion yuan portfolio, from 4.6% the year earlier.

The CSI 300 Index slumped as much 7.3% this year through the start of February, before government intervention fueled a rally. 

New business value, which gauges the profitability of new life policies sold, rose 21% in the first quarter. That followed a 36% jump last year as the company’s efforts to improve the productivity of life agents started to bear fruit. NBV per agent jumped 56% from a year earlier, the statement said. 

Ping An shares rose 3% to HK$33.00 in Hong Kong trading on Tuesday, trimming the year’s loss to 6.7%. 

(Updates with company comment in fifth paragraph, more details afterwards)

©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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