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3 Times I Think Warren Buffett Was Wrong About an Investment – The Motley Fool Canada

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Even the world’s most successful and popular investor is far from infallible. Warren Buffett regularly highlights his errors and missed opportunities in his annual letter to shareholders. However, average investors and the media seem to be more focused on his successes, which distorts the investment legend’s impact on the financial world. 

Here’s a look at the top three biggest investment mistakes the Oracle of Omaha ever made and a closer look at his recent bets. 

Top three mistakes

Some of Warren Buffett’s biggest and most recent mistakes were in the field of technology. The investment legend added IBM to his portfolio in 2011, only to dump the entire stake seven years later. Over the course of Buffett’s position, IBM declined over 30%. Meanwhile, the rest of the stock market was surging rapidly. The bet cost him billions in real and opportunity costs. 

Buffett’s other two errors were also tech related. However, these were errors of omission. He missed out on Microsoft, despite being friends with founder Bill Gates for several decades. He also admitted that he was too late to recognize the promise of Amazon. “Those just aren’t my games,” he told a reporter when he finally added Amazon to the portfolio in 2019. 

Warren Buffett’s blind spots

It’s clear that technology and innovation are blind spots for the legendary value investor. Buffett’s strength lies in finding safe bets that others have overlooked — not in paying a premium for a revolutionary shift that is overhyped but eventually lives up to expectations. 

For investors, this means Buffett’s opinions on tech stocks should be taken with a grain of salt. His recent comments on Bitcoin are a good example. Buffett has called the cryptocurrency worthless. However, the asset has outperformed most other asset classes over the past decade and has survived over 12 years without a major outage or hack.  

Canadian investors may want to set Buffett’s comments aside and focus on Purpose Bitcoin ETF (TSX:BTCC.B), which offers exposure to this technology. Buffett may admit his mistake many years later, but you shouldn’t miss out on handsome gains by then.

Bitcoin’s performance has been much better than the rest of the tech sector. Over the past month, the Nasdaq 100 Index is down 5%, with some market leaders losing double digits. Bitcoin, however, is flat over the past month and is actually trading close to an all-time high. 

As more large corporations and billionaires get involved, the price of this cryptocurrency could stabilize over time. You could add BTC to your portfolio directly, but the Purpose BTC ETF qualifies for your Tax-Free Savings Account. In other words, you could gain multi-bagger returns without tax consequences. 

Bottom line

Warren Buffett’s track record and reputation is impeccable. However, he is just as error-prone as any other investor. Buffett’s core competency is finding undervalued stocks in sectors he understands deeply. However, he seems to have a blind spot for tech trends. 

Over the past two decades, Buffett has missed out every major tech revolution, from smartphones to digital advertising and e-commerce. Now, he seems to be missing out on the Bitcoin revolution. You shouldn’t miss out on it too. Consider taking a closer look at the Purpose Bitcoin ETF.  


This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Teresa Kersten, an employee of LinkedIn, a Microsoft subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Fool contributor Vishesh Raisinghani has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. David Gardner owns shares of Amazon. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Amazon and Microsoft and recommends the following options: long January 2022 $1920 calls on Amazon and short January 2022 $1940 calls on Amazon.

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Investment

Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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