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Pattie Lovett-Reid: From first time buyers to luxury homes, Canada's real estate market is on fire – CTV News

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HUNTSVILLE, ONT. —
If you need evidence that the rich are getting richer, look no further than Sotheby’s luxury real estate report highlights for 2021 so far.

By way of reference, luxury real estate is typically a home that is valued within the top 10 ​per cent of a given market, which varies across the country. They range from detached homes to condos, located in key markets, finished with top of the line materials, and are often in close proximity to high-end amenities.

Real estate in general has been on fire so far this year, and luxury real estate is no exception.

To illustrate how hot the high-end market is, take the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) for example. Over the first two months of 2021, the GTA witnessed residential real estate sales spiking 157 per cent year over year, and of those, five ultra-luxury properties sold over $10 million compared to the same period a year ago. While luxury sales of condos priced at $4 million and above showed a decline from six to two units year over year, early signs show resiliency as the GTA’s $1 million-plus market shows growth of 110 per cent year-over -year in March.

Vancouver is also seeing signs of pent-up demand with sales of luxury attached homes priced between $1-2 million and $2-4 million up year-over-year, with 169 and 15 homes sold respectively in the first two months of the year. Calgary and Montreal were not left behind with impressive gains.

WHAT IS HAPPENING?

It has been year since COVID-19 hit, driving a dramatic real estate rebound. According to Sotheby’s, demand continues across multiple generations of homeowners and buyers, with a significant build up of cash accumulation, easy access to borrowing in a rock bottom interest rate environment, and pent-up local and international demand, all breathing new life into the market as a whole.

“The scenario that we are seeing with price gains and housing affordability are due to the fact that demand and supply are critically out of balance,” CEO and President of Sotheby’s International Realty Canada, Don Kottick, said.

“We are facing unprecedented levels of consumer demand brought on by the pandemic and population growth, encouraged by low interest rates and pent-up cash savings. We have been in an acute shortage of housing for years in cities like Toronto and Vancouver.”

With travel restrictions​ still in place, low rates and continued savings, there is every reason to believe this will continue into the spring.

But buyer beware.

Real estate has been a clear winner over the past year and is starting to raise serious concerns of overvaluation.

A recent poll by Nano Research indicated that 63 per cent of respondents believe the value of real estate in their neighbourhood will continue to rise. The Canada Housing and Mortgage Corporation has been ringing the alarm bells, suggesting signs of overheating at a national leveller happening. In fact, Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland also recently weighed in, saying the affordability issues plaguing Canada’s housing market are on the government’s radar.

​With the Federal Budget set to be unveiled April 19, there are whispers that we could see changes in an effort to slow things down, such as changes to the principal residence tax exemption, increased requirements for down payments, or even changes to refinancing levels.

“It’s absolutely imperative that all levels of government address the supply side of this equation, and bring new housing across the spectrum – rental, vertical, low-density– to market as quickly as possible. Trying to tackle the demand side through taxation is not getting to the root of the issue and will bring about unintended consequences,” Kottick said.

“It puts the financial plans and the financial security of millions of Canadians at risk, and it also risks reducing housing supply even further, if people are discouraged from selling their homes.”

One thing is certain; in many pockets across the country there is a disconnect between income and property levels, and some Bay Street economists, like David Rosenberg, fear that the Canadian housing market is in the midst of “one of the biggest bubbles of all time.”

Others, like former Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz, acknowledged on BNN Bloomberg that yes indeed, there’s some heat, and we could see signs of speculation, “but we have to accept that because otherwise we’d have a really, really bad recession.”

The question is where do you stand? And that response could differ depending on whether you are a buyer or seller.  

Correction:

This story has been corrected to reflect the federal budget date of April 19, 2021.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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