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Kenney's COVID response pits pandemic against politics – iPolitics.ca

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To get a better idea why Premier Jason Kenney is so keen to embrace a post-COVID-19 world you need only look at the numbers.

Not the pandemic numbers, the political numbers.

Kenney’s United Conservative Party continues to trail the opposition NDP in popular support and fundraising.

It’s a trend that began earlier this year and shows no sign of reversing.

According to a Leger poll conducted July 22-26 for Postmedia, 39 per cent of Albertans would vote for the NDP if an election were held today versus 29 percent for the UCP.

Perhaps more troubling for Kenney is the money, or lack of it.

In the first six months of this year, the NDP raised about $2.7 million from donors while the UCP collected less than half that: $1.3 million.

This is a remarkable development. Governing parties usually have little problem raising money while opposition parties struggle.

But Kenney is the one struggling these days.

He’s trying to reconnect with voters, particularly with Conservatives in rural areas who were instrumental in his 2019 electoral victory but who have soured on him during the pandemic because they felt he did too much to restrict their freedoms.

Now he’s restoring those “freedoms” as quickly as possible.

That’s why he made sure Alberta was the first jurisdiction in Canada to drop almost all pandemic restrictions on July 1. And why Alberta will be the first to stop routine testing and tracing while also allowing those infected with COVID-19 to mingle freely in public without any need to isolate starting Aug. 16.

Alberta’s rush to be first has drawn criticism from medical professionals and the federal government worried the province is opening too quickly in the face of COVID variants emerging across the world, most notoriously the Delta variant which seems to be as infectious as chicken pox.

The number of Albertans getting vaccinated has stalled. Even though overall COVID case numbers are low, the virus is now spreading faster in the province than during its third wave.

In a letter to physicians, Alberta Medical Association president Paul Boucher, said “the pace at which public health measures are ending is troubling.”

In an exclusive story, the Globe and Mail reported this week that federal Health Minister Patty Hajdu wrote a letter to Alberta Health Minister Tyler Shandro urging the province not to declare victory over COVID so quickly.

“I echo the Canadian Paediatric Society, who has called on you to recognize that this ‘unnecessary and risky gamble’ could worsen the spread of the virus,” said Hajdu.

The Alberta government’s response is to point the finger at the province’s chief medical officer, Deena Hinshaw, saying it’s all her idea.

Indeed, Hinshaw is defending her advice to the government to lift restrictions and allow the infected out in public, saying, “we need to learn how to live with (COVID).”

She did offer an apology if her advice created “confusion, fear or anger” among Albertans but she appears happy to be seen as the trailblazer into a whole new COVID unknown.

This has raised a whole new controversy having nothing to do with public health.

Hinshaw and Kenney have torn down a wall that protects civil servants.

Under our system of government, members of the civil service, including Hinshaw, are under a duty to provide “fearless advice” to politicians but to do so confidentially.

It is the government that makes the final decision on policy and thus takes the final responsibility.

That is in fact how Hinshaw and the Alberta government conducted themselves during the pandemic with both refusing to say what specific advice she had offered.

Until now.

Hinshaw has put her head on the chopping block should Alberta’s rush to reopen the economy spark a disastrous fourth wave. Not only that, Hinshaw has set a terrible precedent for civil servants who might be less likely to offer fearless advice if they think they’ll be made the scapegoat should things go wrong.

Of course, if heads were to roll, Kenney would no doubt prefer it be Hinshaw’s than his.

But Kenney’s noggin is on the block, too.

He can point to Hinshaw’s advice but he’s the one who has been loudly pushing for a return to normal for months.

In the past year he has likened COVID to the flu, downplayed its lethality, defended the rights of anti-maskers to hold rallies and was slow to punish members of his caucus who travelled to vacation hotspots over the Christmas holidays.

More recently, he has declared Alberta is in a post-pandemic world and has attacked as fearmongers those who point out the pandemic is still with us.

Kenney is desperate to press Alberta into a post-COVID world because, among other things, he performed so badly during the pandemic that according to public opinion polls his popularity dropped from 60 per cent to 30 per cent.

For Kenney, opening up Alberta is all about the numbers.

MORE THOMSON: Jason Kenney’s longing for Alberta’s pre-COVID politics


The views, opinions and positions expressed by all iPolitics columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of iPolitics.

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Review finds no case for formal probe of Beijing’s activities under elections law

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OTTAWA – The federal agency that investigates election infractions found insufficient evidence to support suggestions Beijing wielded undue influence against the Conservatives in the Vancouver area during the 2021 general election.

The Commissioner of Canada Elections’ recently completed review of the lingering issue was tabled Tuesday at a federal inquiry into foreign interference.

The review focused on the unsuccessful campaign of Conservative candidate Kenny Chiu in the riding of Steveston-Richmond East and the party’s larger efforts in the Vancouver area.

It says the evidence uncovered did not trigger the threshold to initiate a formal investigation under the Canada Elections Act.

Investigators therefore recommended that the review be concluded.

A summary of the review results was shared with the Canadian Security Intelligence Service and the RCMP. The review says both agencies indicated the election commissioner’s findings were consistent with their own understanding of the situation.

During the exercise, the commissioner’s investigators met with Chinese Canadian residents of Chiu’s riding and surrounding ones.

They were told of an extensive network of Chinese Canadian associations, businesses and media organizations that offers the diaspora a lifestyle that mirrors that of China in many ways.

“Further, this diaspora has continuing and extensive commercial, social and familial relations with China,” the review says.

Some interviewees reported that this “has created aspects of a parallel society involving many Chinese Canadians in the Lower Mainland area, which includes concerted support, direction and control by individuals from or involved with China’s Vancouver consulate and the United Front Work Department (UFWD) in China.”

Investigators were also made aware of members of three Chinese Canadian associations, as well as others, who were alleged to have used their positions to influence the choice of Chinese Canadian voters during the 2021 election in a direction favourable to the interests of Beijing, the review says.

These efforts were sparked by elements of the Conservative party’s election platform and by actions and statements by Chiu “that were leveraged to bolster claims that both the platform and Chiu were anti-China and were encouraging anti-Chinese discrimination and racism.”

These messages were amplified through repetition in social media, chat groups and posts, as well as in Chinese in online, print and radio media throughout the Vancouver area.

Upon examination, the messages “were found to not be in contravention” of the Canada Elections Act, says the review, citing the Supreme Court of Canada’s position that the concept of uninhibited speech permeates all truly democratic societies and institutions.

The review says the effectiveness of the anti-Conservative, anti-Chiu campaigns was enhanced by circumstances “unique to the Chinese diaspora and the assertive nature of Chinese government interests.”

It notes the election was prefaced by statements from China’s ambassador to Canada and the Vancouver consul general as well as articles published or broadcast in Beijing-controlled Chinese Canadian media entities.

“According to Chinese Canadian interview subjects, this invoked a widespread fear amongst electors, described as a fear of retributive measures from Chinese authorities should a (Conservative) government be elected.”

This included the possibility that Chinese authorities could interfere with travel to and from China, as well as measures being taken against family members or business interests in China, the review says.

“Several Chinese Canadian interview subjects were of the view that Chinese authorities could exercise such retributive measures, and that this fear was most acute with Chinese Canadian electors from mainland China. One said ‘everybody understands’ the need to only say nice things about China.”

However, no interview subject was willing to name electors who were directly affected by the anti-Tory campaign, nor community leaders who claimed to speak on a voter’s behalf.

Several weeks of public inquiry hearings will focus on the capacity of federal agencies to detect, deter and counter foreign meddling.

In other testimony Tuesday, Conservative MP Garnett Genuis told the inquiry that parliamentarians who were targeted by Chinese hackers could have taken immediate protective steps if they had been informed sooner.

It emerged earlier this year that in 2021 some MPs and senators faced cyberattacks from the hackers because of their involvement with the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China, which pushes for accountability from Beijing.

In 2022, U.S. authorities apparently informed the Canadian government of the attacks, and it in turn advised parliamentary IT officials — but not individual MPs.

Genuis, a Canadian co-chair of the inter-parliamentary alliance, told the inquiry Tuesday that it remains mysterious to him why he wasn’t informed about the attacks sooner.

Liberal MP John McKay, also a Canadian co-chair of the alliance, said there should be a clear protocol for advising parliamentarians of cyberthreats.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

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NDP beat Conservatives in federal byelection in Winnipeg

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WINNIPEG – The federal New Democrats have kept a longtime stronghold in the Elmwood-Transcona riding in Winnipeg.

The NDP’s Leila Dance won a close battle over Conservative candidate Colin Reynolds, and says the community has spoken in favour of priorities such as health care and the cost of living.

Elmwood-Transcona has elected a New Democrat in every election except one since the riding was formed in 1988.

The seat became open after three-term member of Parliament Daniel Blaikie resigned in March to take a job with the Manitoba government.

A political analyst the NDP is likely relieved to have kept the seat in what has been one of their strongest urban areas.

Christopher Adams, an adjunct professor of political studies at the University of Manitoba, says NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh worked hard to keep the seat in a tight race.

“He made a number of visits to Winnipeg, so if they had lost this riding it would have been disastrous for the NDP,” Adams said.

The strong Conservative showing should put wind in that party’s sails, Adams added, as their percentage of the popular vote in Elmwood-Transcona jumped sharply from the 2021 election.

“Even though the Conservatives lost this (byelection), they should walk away from it feeling pretty good.”

Dance told reporters Monday night she wants to focus on issues such as the cost of living while working in Ottawa.

“We used to be able to buy a cart of groceries for a hundred dollars and now it’s two small bags. That is something that will affect everyone in this riding,” Dance said.

Liberal candidate Ian MacIntyre placed a distant third,

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trudeau says ‘all sorts of reflections’ for Liberals after loss of second stronghold

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OTTAWA – Prime Minister Justin Trudeau say the Liberals have “all sorts of reflections” to make after losing a second stronghold in a byelection in Montreal Monday night.

His comments come as the Liberal cabinet gathers for its first regularly scheduled meeting of the fall sitting of Parliament, which began Monday.

Trudeau’s Liberals were hopeful they could retain the Montreal riding of LaSalle—Émard—Verdun, but those hopes were dashed after the Bloc Québécois won it in an extremely tight three-way race with the NDP.

Louis-Philippe Sauvé, an administrator at the Institute for Research in Contemporary Economics, beat Liberal candidate Laura Palestini by less than 250 votes. The NDP finished about 600 votes back of the winner.

It is the second time in three months that Trudeau’s party lost a stronghold in a byelection. In June, the Conservatives defeated the Liberals narrowly in Toronto-St. Paul’s.

The Liberals won every seat in Toronto and almost every seat on the Island of Montreal in the last election, and losing a seat in both places has laid bare just how low the party has fallen in the polls.

“Obviously, it would have been nicer to be able to win and hold (the Montreal riding), but there’s more work to do and we’re going to stay focused on doing it,” Trudeau told reporters ahead of this morning’s cabinet meeting.

When asked what went wrong for his party, Trudeau responded “I think there’s all sorts of reflections to take on that.”

In French, he would not say if this result puts his leadership in question, instead saying his team has lots of work to do.

Bloc leader Yves-François Blanchet will hold a press conference this morning, but has already said the results are significant for his party.

“The victory is historic and all of Quebec will speak with a stronger voice in Ottawa,” Blanchet wrote on X, shortly after the winner was declared.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh and his party had hoped to ride to a win in Montreal on the popularity of their candidate, city councillor Craig Sauvé, and use it to further their goal of replacing the Liberals as the chief alternative to the Conservatives.

The NDP did hold on to a seat in Winnipeg in a tight race with the Conservatives, but the results in Elmwood-Transcona Monday were far tighter than in the last several elections. NDP candidate Leila Dance defeated Conservative Colin Reynolds by about 1,200 votes.

Singh called it a “big victory.”

“Our movement is growing — and we’re going to keep working for Canadians and building that movement to stop Conservative cuts before they start,” he said on social media.

“Big corporations have had their governments. It’s the people’s time.”

New Democrats recently pulled out of their political pact with the government in a bid to distance themselves from the Liberals, making the prospects of a snap election far more likely.

Trudeau attempted to calm his caucus at their fall retreat in Nanaimo, B.C, last week, and brought former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney on as an economic adviser in a bid to shore up some credibility with voters.

The latest byelection loss will put more pressure on him as leader, with many polls suggesting voter anger is more directed at Trudeau himself than at Liberal policies.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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