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Canada election: How the major party leaders stack up so far – Global News

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Canada’s election campaign is shaping up to be less a clash of ideologies than what Freud called a narcissism of small differences.

Sure, the leaders clashed on vaccination mandates. They sparred on child care, subsidies to businesses and workers, and climate change. But having seen the same polls, which show Canadians in a risk-averse mood, candidates are unified on the most significant issue: spending. Across the spectrum, each party will raid the federal treasury and promise the bill will be paid by someone other than you.

As a result, no one is proposing a sharp break from the status quo — just more or less of the same. So whatever happens on Sept. 20, Canada will travel the same road, in the same direction – but different drivers might take us into separate lanes, or move at different speeds.


Click to play video: 'Can the federal election be held safely during the fourth wave of COVID-19?'



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Can the federal election be held safely during the fourth wave of COVID-19?


Can the federal election be held safely during the fourth wave of COVID-19?

While the campaign will surely bring surprises, it promises to be mainly about leadership: whom do you want driving the bus? Here’s how the leaders of the five major national parties are looking in the early days.


Justin Trudeau, Liberal leader

In launching his campaign, Trudeau touched on a few policy areas where he is seen to perform well, including climate change and child care. However, he saved his energy for the matter of the moment: the Liberal policy of mandatory vaccination for public servants and travellers. It’s one of the few issues on which there’s a real difference between the major parties, and the majority is on Trudeau’s side. Watch for him to keep driving the wedge on this one.

While Canadians see Trudeau as the best PM, the sunny ways of his early days in office are long past, betraying his vulnerabilities: a penchant for virtue-signalling and theatrics, and actions that often fall short of his lofty words – most notably on Indigenous services.

Read more:
Liberals maintain lead as election begins, but face tough road to majority, poll finds

Best path: Run a tightly controlled, disciplined campaign where he has minimal opportunity to go off-script – while the leader’s surrogates and advertising mercilessly cast his principal opponents as risks to Canada’s recovery. Keep talking about our responsibilities to one another – including vaccine mandates.

Biggest risk: While poor handling of the Delta variant of COVID-19 would be the most severe risk, the most likely one is that with no compelling reason for an election, the ballot question becomes about Trudeau’s credibility. A modest surge to either the NDP or the Conservatives would deprive him of a majority; a large surge could cost him his government.

Best hope: The ballot question is about which party is seen as best able to manage the pandemic and post-pandemic period – the Liberals’ preferred territory – and the Conservatives are just strong enough to scare soft NDP and Green voters into voting Liberal.


Erin O’Toole, Conservative leader

In introducing himself to Canadians, O’Toole exuded positive energy, coming across as more affable and less brittle than Stephen Harper or Andrew Scheer. He also showed genuine, authentic emotion when speaking about women and girls in Afghanistan and about the threats facing military families. He needs to show this human side more often.

O’Toole released his platform on Monday, reinforcing a key campaign theme: he has a “recovery plan” that will “secure the future” with massive investments in wage and investment subsidies. His verb choice is no accident: He doesn’t need to be exciting; he needs to be a safe, secure choice.

Read more:
Erin O’Toole released his election platform. What promises could hit your pocketbook?

Unfortunately, he lacks a decisive advantage on any major issue except perhaps spending control – a territory surrendered to avoid giving the Liberals an opening to attack him. While the party’s fiscal hawks are unlikely to dissent publicly right now, this could change if the party struggles in the polls.

Best path: Let the leader be a positive, optimistic voice with a credible plan while the party pounds away at perceived Liberal arrogance, waste and entitlement. (Imagine Bill Morneau and the Kielburger brothers guest-starring in Conservative ads). Choose issues carefully: for example, since he can’t talk about the risks of spending, focus on the dangers of debt.

Biggest risk: Continuing to fall into Liberal traps. Opposing vaccination mandates for public servants and travellers put the Conservatives badly out of step with mainstream voters.

Best hope: A restless, anxious nation decides it’s time for a change. The NDP siphons off Liberal votes, and the Conservatives emerge as a safe, mainstream choice.


Jagmeet Singh, NDP leader

Engaging and charismatic, the NDP leader has an opportunity to be the voice of Generation Z, following Trudeau’s 2015 playbook.

To do this, Singh must convey a distinctive, positive vision, untainted by the cynicism of government, building on a line from his launch speech: “I believe better is possible.” He can focus on outcomes where Liberal performance has been weak, such as the failure to follow through on promises to improve services to Indigenous communities – particularly in Western Canada, where Singh polls particularly well.

Yet Singh’s early campaign performance has focused less on these outcomes and more on the means to get there: the NDP mantra to “make the ultra-rich pay.” The threat suggests an early focus on energizing (and keeping) his base, not expanding it to grow his appeal with the mainstream suburban voters who decide elections.

Read more:
Party leaders tour Canada as first full day of election campaign begins

Best path: Be visionary, be positive. Focus less on class warfare and more on the tangible outcomes he aims to achieve – particularly on issues where the Liberals lack credibility. For example, pharmacare – a perennial Liberal broken promise – could provide another opportunity, particularly after the current public health crisis.

Biggest risk: Nothing sticks. His policies on child care, climate change and other issues are seen as less realistic, more expensive versions of Liberal plans. Meanwhile, the Conservatives surge, stopping any “Singh swing” from Liberal/NDP switchers.

Best hope: Singh’s best day in 2019 came during Trudeau’s “Blackface” scandal, allowing him to show humanity and generosity. Any moment where he can be a voice for reconciliation will be a good one.


Yves-Francois Blanchet, Bloc Québécois leader

Blanchet was one of the big beneficiaries of the 2019 election, achieving a surprising reinvigoration of a party that had seemingly lost its raison d’etre. He opened this campaign positioning a Liberal majority as a threat to Quebec – one that he alleges would make it more difficult to protect the French language, supply management and the province’s controversial secularism law.


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Top financial concerns for Canadian voters in 2021 federal election


Top financial concerns for Canadian voters in 2021 federal election

Best path: Tear down Trudeau, build up Legault. Show Quebecers why more Bloc MPs can give the Quebec premier a stronger hand to extract more fiscal or policy victories from Ottawa.

Biggest risk: Amidst public health and economic uncertainty, Quebecers decide they want to be on the inside of government. (Second biggest threat: Bloc supporters who wish to talk about sovereignty).

Best hope: Linguistic politics or federal-provincial conflicts take centre stage in the campaign, giving Blanchet an opportunity to stand up for his province’s interests and values.


Annamie Paul, Green Party leader

For the embattled Green Party leader, this campaign is personal – meaning that her singular political objective must be to win her own seat. It will be a tall order, given the stubborn choice to run in a historically safe Liberal riding held by a high-profile incumbent. Nonetheless, Paul will benefit from campaign coverage, putting her on a similar level to the other national leaders. She took full advantage of this dynamic on the first day, highlighting the human devastation of extreme weather, wildfires and other manifestations of the climate crisis. She also highlighted her credentials and struck an optimistic note: “I’m someone who loves big, doable ideas.”

This optimism will be essential in the hard days to come, with an uphill climb, limited resources and a badly divided party.

Read more:
Green Party faces challenges heading into fall election

Best path: Drive an ‘underdog’ narrative. Focus on a simple, sustained message and a small set of signature issues. Seize every opportunity to earn media coverage in Toronto. Hold onto its Vancouver Island beachhead. 

Biggest risk: Her scare resources – money, media attention and time — are squandered by continued internal party strife.

Best hope: She earns respect as a voice the people of Toronto Centre want to see in Parliament.

Daniel Tisch is the CEO of Argyle, one of Canada’s largest public engagement and communications consulting firms. He has advised a long list of private and public sector leaders, including cabinet ministers and heads of government representing all major parties.

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As sports betting addiction takes hold in Brazil, the government moves to crack down

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SAO PAULO (AP) — “King” doesn’t disclose his real name. Even clients of his Sao Paulo newsstand have to call him by his moniker. The Brazilian online sports gambling addict lowered his profile after a loan shark threatened to put bullets in his head if he didn’t pay up.

Broke and embarrassed, King sought treatment and support earlier this year.

“I was once addicted to slot machines, but then sports betting was so easy that I changed. I got carried away all the time,” he told The Associated Press.

King’s story is that of many vulnerable Brazilians in recent years. The country has become the third-biggest market in the world for sports betting, following the U.S. and the U.K., a report by data analysis company Comscore said last year. But unlike those countries, rampant advertising and sponsorship have been coupled with an unregulated market. The government is now — belatedly, some say — striving to get a handle on the epidemic.

On a recent evening, King’s Gamblers Anonymous meeting took place in an improvised classroom inside a church, with coffee and cookies to keep everyone awake, and supportive messages scrawled onto the blackboard. One that’s become ubiquitous in Brazil and beyond: “Only for today I will avoid the first bet.”

King and other attendees, all Christian, started a prayer and the meeting began.

King said his financial problems arose from his addiction to online sports betting, chiefly on soccer.

“I miss the adrenaline rush when I don’t bet,” he said before the gathering. “I have managed to stop for a couple of months, but I know that if I do it once again, even a small bet, it will all come back.”

Driven by the pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic was a key driver for Brazilians embracing sports betting. King said he transformed almost every sale during that time into a bet. His hook was the non-stop advertising on TV, radio, social media as well as sponsorship of local soccer teams’ jerseys. He asked for bank loans to pay his gambling debts and then, to cover those, went to the moneylender. His total debt now amounts to 85,000 reais ($15,000) — impossible to pay off with his monthly income of 8,000 reais.

Digging oneself out of debt in Brazil is especially daunting with its sky-high interest rates. Loans from Brazilian banks could add interest of almost 8% per month to the borrowed sum, and from loan sharks could be even more.

Four Gamblers Anonymous meetings attended by the AP in October featured discussions about difficulties paying down debts, forcing working-class members to postpone housing payments and cancel family vacations.

Some members of impoverished Brazilian families have used welfare money for betting instead of paying for groceries and housing, official data suggests. In August, beneficiaries of Brazil’s flagship program Bolsa Familia spent 3 billion reais ($530 million) on sports betting, according to a report from the central bank. That was more than 20% of the program’s total outlay in the month.

A host of gambling related problems

Sports betting was made legal in 2018 in a bill signed by former President Michel Temer. The subsequent turmoil has recently been setting off alarm bells, with addicts venting on social media and media reports of people losing huge sums.

On Oct. 1, the economy ministry prevented more than 2,000 betting companies from operating in Brazil for having failed to provide all the required documents. Soccer-loving President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva said in an interview on Oct. 17 that he will shut down the entire market in Brazil if his administration’s new regulations — presented at the end of July— fail to work. And Brazil’s Senate on Oct. 25 opened an investigation into betting companies, focusing on crime and addiction.

“There’s tax evasion, money laundering of organized crime, the use of influencers to trick people into betting. These companies need to be audited,” Sen. Soraya Thronicke, who proposed the inquiry, told journalists in Brasilia.

Sérgio Peixoto, a ride-sharing app driver in Rio, is one of many lower-middle-income Brazilians who have reduced their spending due to sports betting debt. Peixoto’s debt currently amounts to 25,000 reais ($4,400). His monthly income is four times less than that.

“It stopped being a game, it wasn’t fun. I just wanted to get the money back, so I lost even more,” said Peixoto, 26. “I could have invested that money. It would surely have given me more benefits.

Pressure to bet

Pressure on people to gamble is everywhere. Current and former soccer players, including Vinicius Júnior, Ronaldo Nazário and Roberto Rivellino, are among the poster boys for local and foreign brands. All but one of the top-tier soccer clubs have betting companies among their main sponsors, with their name and logo emblazoned on their kits. There have been cases of kids and teenagers setting up accounts using their parents’ personal information and money, multiple local media outlets have reported.

Brazil’s economy ministry estimates that Brazil’s sports betting market had $21 billion in transactions last year, a 71% increase compared with the first year of the pandemic, 2020.

The ministry’s newly presented regulations include facial recognition systems for gamblers to bet, the identification of a single bank account for transactions involving sports betting, new protections against hackers and the government-authorized domain, bet.br, which will host all betting sites that are legal in Brazil. Once they are in place, come January, between 100 and 150 betting companies will continue to operate in the South American nation.

The changes in Brazil have prompted some companies to take preemptive action. A report by Yield Sec, a technical intelligence platform for online marketplaces, said several betting companies voluntarily restricted their operations in different places after the latest editions of the European Championships and Copa America in the hopes of presenting “the best possible license application face to the Brazilian authorities.”

Magnho José Santos de Sousa, the president of the Legal Gambling Institute, a betting think tank, said Brazil is currently “invaded by illegal websites that have licenses in Malta, Curação, Gibraltar and the United Kingdom.”

De Sousa expressed hope that the new regulations for advertising, responsible gambling and qualification of sports betting companies will transform the country’s deregulated arena into a more serious one that doesn’t exploit the vulnerable.

“The whole operation could turn from water into wine,” he said.

Gamblers Anonymous in high demand

Meantime, the demand for Gamblers Anonymous meetings in Sao Paulo has grown so much in recent years that the weekly gathering, in place since the 1990s, was no longer enough. Many groups have added a second day in the week to help new people recover, mostly sports bettors.

Earlier in October, a group on Sao Paulo’s northern edge admitted a man who was struggling with sports betting and card games. The 13 other people in the room stressed that he wasn’t alone.

“Welcome,” one long-time attendee said, in a greeting that has become a regular for the group. “Today, you are the most important person here.”

___

Dumphreys reported from Rio de Janeiro.



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Saskatchewan’s Jason Ackerman improves to 6-0 at mixed curling nationals

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SAINT CATHARINES, Ont. – Saskatchewan’s Jason Ackerman remained undefeated on Wednesday with a 7-4 win over Newfoundland and Labrador’s Trent Skanes at the Canadian mixed curling championship.

After going down 3-1 through four ends, Ackerman (6-0) outscored Skanes (3-3) 6-1 the rest of the way, including three points in the seventh end.

Alberta’s Kurt Alan Balderston also earned a win, defeating New Brunswick’s Charlie Sullivan 9-2 in another matchup in the final draw.

The win improved Balderston’s record to 4-2 and sits in third in Pool B.

The top four teams from each pool will play four more games against the survivors from the other pool. The remaining three teams from the pool will play three more seeding games to help set the rankings for next year’s event.

The championship final is scheduled for Saturday.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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Oilers fall 4-2 to Golden Knights in McDavid’s return from injury

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EDMONTON – Noah Hanifin had a pair of goals as the Vegas Golden Knights won their first road game of the season, coming from behind to shock the Edmonton Oilers 4-2 on Wednesday.

Jack Eichel had a goal and two assists and Mark Stone also scored for the Golden Knights (9-3-1), who have won two in a row and six of their last seven. The Knights entered the game 0-3-1 on the road this year.

Brett Kulak and Zach Hyman replied for the Oilers (6-7-1), who have lost two straight despite getting captain Connor McDavid back from injury earlier than expected for the game.

Adin Hill made 27 saves for Vegas, while Stuart Skinner managed 31 stops for Edmonton.

Takeaways

Golden Knights: With an assist on the Knights’ second goal, William Karlsson has recorded at least a point in all five games he has played this season (two goals, four assists).

Oilers: McDavid was a surprise starter for the Oilers, coming back just nine days after suffering an ankle injury in Columbus and initially being expected to miss two to three weeks. The star forward came into the contest with 11 points (three goals, eight assists) during a six-game point streak versus the Golden Knights, but was held pointless on the night.

Key moment

With just 48.4 seconds left to play, the Golden Knights won a race to the corner and Ivan Barbashev was able to send it out to a hard-charging Hanifin, who sent a shot glove-side that beat Skinner for his second goal of the third period and third of the season.

Key stat

It was Hyman’s third goal in the last four games after the veteran forward went scoreless in his first 10 games this season following a 54-goal campaign last year. Hyman now has five goals in his last six games against Vegas.

Up next

Golden Knights: Head to Seattle to face the Kraken on Friday.

Oilers: Travel to Vancouver on a quick one-game trip to clash with the Canucks on Saturday.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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