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Forget Shopify (TSX:SHOP): This E-Commerce Stock Is Much Better – The Motley Fool Canada

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Shopify (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) is Canada’s biggest tech success story. In under six years, the stock has delivered a 5,280% return, making it the most valuable company on the market. As an entrepreneur, I admire Shopify’s success. But as an investor, I wonder if there’s a better option for growth ahead. 

After all, Shopify’s stellar run has pushed its valuation to a record-high. Even if it lives up to its growth potential, the returns may not be as impressive. Here’s a closer look at my theory and an alternative stock that could have more room to run. 

Shopify stock valuation

Much of Shopify’s performance has been driven by “multiple expansion.” In other words, investors are a lot more enthusiastic about the company now and are willing to pay much higher prices for a piece, pushing Shopify’s price-to-sales ratio up to 47.6. 

Meanwhile, the team has already warned that the growth rates ahead will be much lower than the rate they experienced in 2020. Essentially, the stock is trading based on expectations that are unlikely to be met. That weakens the investment thesis. 

An alternative

Goodfood Market (TSX:FOOD) is a viable alternative, in my opinion. That’s primarily because it’s a smaller player in a much larger (and more ripe for disruption) market. 

The stock quadrupled in value last year. This year, the stock has come under immense pressure going by the 15% slide year to date. The online grocer’s fortunes have taken a significant hit as the reopening of retail locations has triggered a slowdown in the active subscriber growth.

The recent underperformance might as well have presented an opportunity to buy the stock on the cheap. The growing shift toward online grocery services and increased spending on e-commerce presents unique growth opportunities for Goodfood Market. In the most recent quarter, the company delivered a 24% year-over-year increase in revenues to $108 million as gross profits surged 51%.

The company has already embarked on an ambitious plan to strengthen its competitive edge by expanding its offerings and reducing delivery time. The efforts could trigger a significant increase in subscriber numbers. Additionally, increased investments in automation could go a long way in accelerating the company’s growth trajectory.

Valuation

Since Goodfood went public in 2017, it has returned more than 300%, underscoring its impressive track record. Favourable industry trends and increased adoption of online grocery services are some of the factors that affirm the company’s long-term prospects despite the recent tailwinds.

Goodfood should be an exciting pick for investors looking to play the long-term game. Compared to industry heavyweights like Shopify, the stock is relatively cheap as it is trading with a price-to-sales multiple of 2.02 compared to 47.6 for Shopify. 

Bottom line

Shopify is Canada’s best tech stock and is likely to keep growing in the years ahead. However, the stock has priced in all these growth expectations. Investors should look for underrated opportunities like Goodfood Market for better potential returns. 


This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Shopify. The Motley Fool recommends Goodfood Market Corp and recommends the following options: long January 2023 $1,140 calls on Shopify and short January 2023 $1,160 calls on Shopify. Fool contributor Vishesh Raisinghani has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

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Netflix’s subscriber growth slows as gains from password-sharing crackdown subside

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Netflix on Thursday reported that its subscriber growth slowed dramatically during the summer, a sign the huge gains from the video-streaming service’s crackdown on freeloading viewers is tapering off.

The 5.1 million subscribers that Netflix added during the July-September period represented a 42% decline from the total gained during the same time last year. Even so, the company’s revenue and profit rose at a faster pace than analysts had projected, according to FactSet Research.

Netflix ended September with 282.7 million worldwide subscribers — far more than any other streaming service.

The Los Gatos, California, company earned $2.36 billion, or $5.40 per share, a 41% increase from the same time last year. Revenue climbed 15% from a year ago to $9.82 billion. Netflix management predicted the company’s revenue will rise at the same 15% year-over-year pace during the October-December period, slightly than better than analysts have been expecting.

The strong financial performance in the past quarter coupled with the upbeat forecast eclipsed any worries about slowing subscriber growth. Netflix’s stock price surged nearly 4% in extended trading after the numbers came out, building upon a more than 40% increase in the company’s shares so far this year.

The past quarter’s subscriber gains were the lowest posted in any three-month period since the beginning of last year. That drop-off indicates Netflix is shifting to a new phase after reaping the benefits from a ban on the once-rampant practice of sharing account passwords that enabled an estimated 100 million people watch its popular service without paying for it.

The crackdown, triggered by a rare loss of subscribers coming out of the pandemic in 2022, helped Netflix add 57 million subscribers from June 2022 through this June — an average of more than 7 million per quarter, while many of its industry rivals have been struggling as households curbed their discretionary spending.

Netflix’s gains also were propelled by a low-priced version of its service that included commercials for the first time in its history. The company still is only getting a small fraction of its revenue from the 2-year-old advertising push, but Netflix is intensifying its focus on that segment of its business to help boost its profits.

In a letter to shareholder, Netflix reiterated previous cautionary notes about its expansion into advertising, though the low-priced option including commercials has become its fastest growing segment.

“We have much more work to do improving our offering for advertisers, which will be a priority over the next few years,” Netflix management wrote in the letter.

As part of its evolution, Netflix has been increasingly supplementing its lineup of scripted TV series and movies with live programming, such as a Labor Day spectacle featuring renowned glutton Joey Chestnut setting a world record for gorging on hot dogs in a showdown with his longtime nemesis Takeru Kobayashi.

Netflix will be trying to attract more viewer during the current quarter with a Nov. 15 fight pitting former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson against Jake Paul, a YouTube sensation turned boxer, and two National Football League games on Christmas Day.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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All Magic Spells (TM) : Top Converting Magic Spell eCommerce Store

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Turn Your Wife Into Your Personal Sex Kitten

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