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COVID-19 fourth wave abating in Alberta, but many cases being missed: independent modeller – Calgary Herald

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Alberta’s COVID-19 cases have been on a steady decline since peaking in late September

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Alberta is moving out of its fourth wave of COVID-19, with infections projected to continue to drop into November, according to an independent model.

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That’s thanks in large part to sweeping provincial public health restrictions introduced in mid-September , said Dean Karlen with the B.C. COVID-19 Modelling Group.

“Those measures really were very effective for Alberta to turn this around,” said Karlen, a University of Victoria physics professor.

“It’s been remarkably consistent over the past four weeks, ever since those measures were introduced and took effect. In other words, behaviour and the modes of transmission are mostly constant in the province.”

Karlen added the decline is expected to continue while current measures remain in place.

Alberta’s COVID-19 cases have been on a steady decline since peaking in late September. On Wednesday, the province reported 645 new cases of the virus from 11,343 tests, for a 5.7 per cent positivity rate. The new cases mark a 17.9 per cent decrease from the previous Wednesday.

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Active case counts are also decreasing. Alberta now has 8,733 active COVID-19 cases, the fewest since Aug. 24.

Karlen’s modelling is now using hospital admissions to track the trajectory of the pandemic in Alberta, after recent indications that Alberta’s testing and contact tracing system is missing a considerable number of cases of the virus.

“In Alberta, the last wave was significantly larger than the previous waves, even though you don’t see that in the case counts. It’s just that a smaller fraction of infections were identified as cases,” Karlen said.

“We couldn’t rely on how the cases were growing or declining to accurately measure the infection history of COVID for this wave.”

During the fourth wave, hospitalizations in Alberta from COVID-19 peaked at 1,133, with ICU patients peaking at 267, numbers that forced widespread surgical cancellations and pushed Alberta’s health-care system to its limits.

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As of Wednesday, those numbers had dropped to 810 hospitalizations and 184 ICU patients — still higher than numbers seen at any point during previous waves.

The fourth wave also brought a spike in deaths from COVID-19. Since Sept. 1, 685 Albertans have died from the virus, including an additional 10 deaths reported Wednesday.

Despite the ongoing decline in cases, Alberta chief medical officer of health Dr. Deena Hinshaw said Tuesday that Albertans should stay the course and continue to follow public health measures .

“Ultimately, we know there’s still a lot of COVID out there and we do need to maintain caution,” she said.

Karlen agreed continued adherence to public health measures will help keep Alberta on track to end the fourth wave. He said seasonal effects could lead to an increase in transmission as winter approaches, but increased immunization rates could also help drive transmission down. He added officials must watch trends closely and take prompt action if necessary “to avoid a massive fifth wave.”

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Immunization efforts continue in Alberta, with more than 15,000 additional shots reported Wednesday.

Among Albertans age 12 and older, the group eligible to be vaccinated, 86.8 per cent have at least one shot and 79.4 per cent are double-vaccinated. In the general population, 73.8 per cent of people have at least one dose and 67.5 per cent have both necessary shots.

A new group of Albertans could soon be eligible to get immunized against COVID-19. An advisory committee to the United States Food and Drug Administration voted in favour of using Pfizer-BioNTech shots for those age five-to-11 Tuesday, and Health Canada is currently reviewing whether to offer the Pfizer shot to the same age group.

There are 391,584 people in Alberta between the ages of five and 11, according to provincial government data.

— With files from Dylan Short

jherring@postmedia.com

Twitter: @jasonfherring

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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