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How the pandemic disrupted Ottawa's typical real estate cycles – CTV Edmonton

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OTTAWA —
Historically, you could describe Ottawa’s real estate market the way you’d like to describe a good friend or life partner: highly stable, consistent and predictable.

But since 2020 was extraordinarily unpredictable and unprecedented, disrupting the typical, local real estate cycles and trends, it’s been difficult to predict what the real estate market would be like in 2021.

Realtor Taylor Bennett is a regular guest on CTV News at Noon.

With fewer than seven weeks left until 2022, Taylor Bennett analyzes the pre-pandemic real estate trends that have returned and the new trends are here to stay.

Bennett1

Market update

“Primarily driven by the historically low interest rates, the severe lack of inventory, and the high average household income levels, the real estate market here has seen double-digit growth in prices for almost two years, and October was no different. While we have seen the growth rate slowly decrease (the average price growth in Oct. 2021 was almost 16 per cent, compared to the Year-To-Date average of almost 25 per cent), until the inventory levels rise to normal levels, prices are unlikely to drop.”

Bennett2

Bennett3

Market update: Graphs

“In 2020, the spring market was upended by the provincial lockdown order issued in mid-March. As a result, the sales that we normally have during the busiest time of the year were pushed into the second half of the year, and we saw a record number of sales during a time when the market activity tends to slow down.  However, in 2021, the real estate sales cycle returned to normal with a traditional busy spring market, tapering off near the end of the summer, and another small increase during the fall. But until the inventory levels return to normal, buyers will have to continue to be as prepared as ever.”

Bennett4

Sale-to-list price

“Prior to 2019, properties in Ottawa typically sold for about 1.5 per cent less than their list price. But when the inventory levels started to drop in 2019, many homes started selling for more than their list prices due to multiple-offer scenarios. And when the inventory levels plummeted in 2020, multiple-offer scenarios became the norm; almost every home sold for more than asking price. During some months the average sale price was more than $80,000+ higher than the average list price.  Currently, while there are many sellers still using this marketing strategy, there are more sellers implementing a traditional pricing strategy which has helped certain buyers who were avoiding bidding wars to enter the market.”

Bennett5

Average price by style: residential

“The demand for bungalows continues to remain high. As more and more Baby Boomers enter their retirement years and the pandemic allowing many of us to work from home, many buyers have chosen to move to rural Ottawa, where bungalows are more prevalent. But despite their increasing demand, they are still the least expensive style of the three. It may be surprising that three-storey homes are the most expensive style but many three-storey homes are found in highly sought-after areas (Glebe, Westboro, Wellington Village, etc…) where lots are smaller due to their high costs, so builders are forced to increase the height to add more square footage.”

Bennett6

Average price by style: condo

“Another common option among Baby Boomers are condos, since they can offer a very comfortable low-maintenance lifestyle. And even though they are downsizing, most Baby Boomers need at least 2 bedrooms, which is why their average price has increased by more than $45,000, while one-bedroom condos saw a modest increase of 6% since 2020.  As for the two-level style condos, which are often stacked townhomes or regular townhomes, their $80,000+ increase can be attributed to the rapid price increase of free-hold townhomes – as buyers were priced out of that style of home, two-level condos became the more affordable option.”

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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