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WILD: 2021 went out with a real estate bang – Toronto Sun

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Probably the biggest sales trend that stood out was the resurgence in demand for homes within the City of Toronto

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Last year saw real estate records smashed in Toronto and the GTA.

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As we begin the New Year, the final market stats for 2021 reinforced fundamental trends we saw over the past 12 months — a chronic scarcity of active listings, rising and persistent demand from buyers, and the inevitable upward pressure on prices.

Those trends continued until the final hours of 2021 as the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) reported a record 121,712 sales — up nearly 28% compared to 2020 — but just 6.2% growth in new listings.

The combination of tight market conditions and an all-time high average selling price of $1,095,475 — up nearly 18% over December 2020 — also continued to sideline many would-be and first-time buyers.

While a number of industry experts expected house prices would have moderated, at least a little, by this time it’s difficult to see many signs of flattening, which is reflected in TRREB’s most recent numbers.

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“Despite continuing waves of COVID-19, demand for ownership housing sustained a record pace in 2021,” TRREB president Kevin Crigger said in a release.

“Growth in many sectors of the economy supported job creation, especially in positions supporting above-average earnings. Added to this was the fact that borrowing costs remained extremely low. These factors supported not only a continuation in demand for ground-oriented homes, but also a resurgence in the condo segment as well,” Crigger said.

Probably the biggest sales trend that stood out in 2021 compared to 2020 was the resurgence in demand for homes within the City of Toronto as COVID-19 restrictions loosened and many companies offered staff a hybrid work-from-home model.

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  1. Interior view of a house under construction.

    WILD: Major hurdles to new housing development are at municipal level

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    WILD: Toronto region’s November home sales hit new record

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    WILD: Starter home bidding wars frustrating first-time buyer

Overall sales in The Six increased by a substantially greater annual rate (nearly 37%) compared to sales growth for the surrounding suburbs combined (nearly 24%). Not surprisingly, the recovery was fuelled by the condominium apartment segment, which continues to be a key driver of growth.

“Tight market conditions prevailed throughout the GTA and broader Greater Golden Horseshoe in 2021, with a lack of inventory noted across all home types. The result was intense competition between buyers, pushing selling prices up by double digits year-over-year,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

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“Looking forward, the only sustainable way to moderate price growth will be to bring on more supply. History has shown that demand-side policies, such as additional taxation on principal residences, foreign buyers, and small-scale investors, have not been sustainable long-term solutions to housing affordability or supply constraints,” Mercer said.

In December 2021, 6,031 sales were reported — down by more than 1,000 transactions compared to the record of 7,154 set in December 2020. Over the same period, new listings were down nearly 12% to 5,174.

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TRREB plans to release in early February its Market Outlook and Year in Review report, which will include survey results and research, designed to provide context on the real estate market in 2022 and beyond.

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CEO John Di Michele said the findings will highlight the latest consumer polling on home buying intentions, joint research with the Toronto Region Board of Trade on the future of employment and work, plus an outlook for home sales, listings and pricing over the next year.

Looking into the crystal ball for 2022, look for those projections and indications from the provincial and federal government on measures to address supply and the chronic red tape that’s delaying new construction.

— Penelope Wild is the former Homes editor of the Toronto Sun and a realtor with Keller Williams Real Estate Associates.

penelopewild@kw.com

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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